Principles of Macroeconomics -- N_ Gregory Mankiw; Ronald D_ Kneebone; Kenneth J_ McKenzie; -- 5th Canadian ed_, Toronto, Ontario, 2011 -- Nelson -- 9780176502416 -- 11d69dd007dee2177e51d28f47decbce -- Anna’s Archive

Problems with the Construction of CPI

Situations Illustrating CPI Problems

  • Sony Walkman Invention

    • In the case of innovative products such as the Sony Walkman, CPI may fail to account for the introduction of new goods affecting consumer choice and quality measurement.

  • Airbags in Cars

    • The introduction of airbags raises safety standards in cars which may lead to higher prices. CPI might not accurately reflect how much value these safety features add to the product.

  • Increased PC Purchases

    • A drop in prices of personal computers can lead to increased sales, which CPI fails to capture effectively due to not accounting for consumer substitution.

  • More Raisins in Raisin Bran Packages

    • If cereal packages increase in quantity but maintain the same price, CPI may not reflect these changes in product value, leading to an overstated inflation rate.

  • Increased Use of Fuel-efficient Cars

    • After gasoline prices rise, consumers switch to fuel-efficient cars. The CPI may not account for consumer changes in behavior or preferences due to price change.

Newspaper and Wage Analysis

  • Ottawa Citizen Newspaper Price Increase

    • Price rise from $0.10 in 1970 to $0.50 in 1990:

      • Percentage increase = ((0.50 - 0.10) / 0.10) x 100 = 400%

  • Wage Increase in Manufacturing

    • Wage rose from $3.01 to $14.19:

      • Percentage increase = ((14.19 - 3.01) / 3.01) x 100 = 371.1%

  • Minutes Worked to Buy a Newspaper

    • In 1970, a worker would work about 2.52 minutes to afford a newspaper ($0.10 / $3.01/hour), while in 1990 it would take about 2.11 minutes ($0.50 / $14.19/hour).

  • Purchasing Power

    • Workers' purchasing power regarding newspapers has improved over this period

Canada Pension Plan and CPI

  • Improvements for the Elderly

    • If the elderly consume the same market basket, it suggests Canada Pension Plan benefits do not provide an improvement in standard of living considering that they may not reflect actual inflation

  • Medicine Consumption

    • Elderly consume more medical services. Since medical costs rise faster than CPI, a comprehensive basket should factor in this disparity when assessing elderly well-being.

  • Assessment of Elderly Improvement

    • A method to determine improvement involves analyzing changes in spending habits on essential goods relative to CPI changes.

##Basket of Goods Comparison

  • Individuals may have different spending habits compared to the typical Canadian household, potentially leading to different perceived inflation rates.

Tax Bracket and Bracket Creep

  • Inflation Impact in the 1970s

    • With nominal incomes rising due to inflation without indexing, more people fell into higher tax brackets without real income improvement, leading to higher government real tax revenues but potentially negative effects on disposable income.

Real vs. Nominal Interest Rate in Retirement Savings

  • When saving for retirement, workers should consider the real interest rate, which accounts for inflation, rather than just the nominal rate to ensure actual growth in savings.

Borrower and Lender Agreement Outcomes

  • Real Interest Rate

    • A higher-than-expected inflation leads to a lower real interest rate than initially agreed upon.

  • Gains and Losses

    • Borrowers gain from inflation as they repay with ‘cheaper’ dollars, while lenders lose purchasing power on repaid loans.

  • Impact on Homeowners and Banks

    • Homeowners with fixed-rate mortgages benefitted from inflation while banks suffered losses due to eroded loan values.

Economic Growth and Productivity

  • Global Income Variation

    • Rich countries exhibit higher standards of living, while poorer countries struggle. Productivity growth varies significantly across nations, impacting overall economic power.

Production and Growth Overview

  • Historical growth rates outline inequality in living standards journey; affluent countries have expanded rapidly, impacting economic strategies and policies needed for sustainable growth in developing countries.