Definition: Structured methods that help businesses evaluate options and make strategic decisions.
Decision Trees
Critical Path Analysis (CPA)
Force Field Analysis
Cost-Benefit Analysis
SWOT Analysis
PESTLE Analysis
Definition: A visual diagram that maps out the different options, outcomes, probabilities, and financial impacts of a business decision.
Decision Nodes (Square): Points where a decision must be made.
Chance Nodes (Circle): Points of uncertainty with different possible outcomes.
Branches: Represent the different options available.
Expected Monetary Value (EMV): Calculated for each option to determine the best choice.
EMV=∑(Probability×Payoff)EMV = \sum (Probability \times Payoff)EMV=∑(Probability×Payoff)
Add up the weighted values of each possible outcome.
Visual representation of complex decisions.
Quantitative evaluation of options.
Helps compare risk vs. reward.
Encourages thorough analysis.
Relies on accurate data and probabilities.
Does not consider qualitative factors.
Can become overly complex with many branches.
Assumes probabilities are constant, which may not be true.
Definition: A project management tool that outlines the sequence of activities needed to complete a project, identifying the longest path (critical path).
Nodes: Represent the start and end of activities.
Activities: Represented by arrows between nodes.
Earliest Start Time (EST): The earliest time an activity can start.
Latest Finish Time (LFT): The latest time an activity can finish without delaying the project.
By identifying the path through the project that takes the longest time. Any delay in these activities will delay the entire project.
Highlights bottlenecks and dependencies.
Helps allocate resources efficiently.
Identifies float time for non-critical activities.
Improves project time management.
Assumes accurate time estimates.
Does not account for cost or resource availability.
Can be overly complex for large projects.
External risks like weather or supplier delays are not included.
Definition: A tool used to analyze the forces for and against a change or decision.
Driving Forces: Push towards change (e.g., market demand, cost savings).
Restraining Forces: Resist change (e.g., employee resistance, high costs).
Each force is given a weight to assess its impact.
Clear visual representation of pros and cons.
Helps identify barriers to change.
Allows for strategic planning to overcome obstacles.
Subjective weighting of forces.
Ignores the time element of changes.
May oversimplify complex situations.
Definition: A financial evaluation of the costs and benefits of a project or decision.
Net Benefit=Total Benefits−Total CostsNet \ Benefit = Total \ Benefits - Total \ CostsNet Benefit=Total Benefits−Total Costs
If Net Benefit > 0, the project is financially viable.
Simple method to evaluate profitability.
Quantifies both costs and benefits.
Helps in budget allocation.
Hard to quantify intangible benefits.
May overlook external costs (e.g., environmental damage).
Ignores the time value of money if not discounted.
Definition: A strategic planning tool used to identify a business's Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats.
Strengths: Internal capabilities that give an advantage.
Weaknesses: Internal limitations that could hinder objectives.
Opportunities: External chances to improve performance.
Threats: External factors that could cause trouble.
Definition: A strategic framework for analyzing the external macro-environment of a business.
Factors include: Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal, Environmental.
For market entry decisions.
To evaluate external risks.
During strategic planning for expansion or diversification.
When analyzing decision-making techniques in exams:
Link back to the case study.
Show both quantitative and qualitative evaluation.
Recommend the most feasible option based on the analysis.