Summary of Key Concepts in Climate Change Theory

Theory of Climate Change

  • Global Climate Change

    • Influential factors: atmospheric CO₂, seasonal solar irradiance

    • Goal: Understand quantitative reasons for climate change, focusing on Earth's energy budget.

  • Budget Equation

    • Conservation laws: Energy, water, carbon conserved but can change forms.

    • General structure: \frac{dX}{dt} = I - O (with I = input, O = output).

    • Rate of change \Delta X = X2 - X1; Predict future values using inputs/outputs, e.g., X2 = X1 + (I - O) \times \Delta t.

  • Electromagnetic Radiation

    • Definition: Waves of electric and magnetic fields, transfer energy (speed of light).

    • Spectrum: Visible light: 400nm - 700nm.

    • Energy of photons: E = h\nu = \frac{hc}{\lambda}, where h = Planck's constant, higher energies for shorter wavelengths.

  • Blackbody Radiation

    • An ideal object absorbing/emitting all radiation stated by Planck's law.

    • Total energy flux: F = \sigma T^4, with \sigma = 5.67 \times 10^{-8} \text{Wm}^{-2}\text{K}^{-4}.

    • Emissivity (ε): Material-specific (0<ε<1), e.g., water: ε = 0.96, snow: 0.8 - 0.9.

  • Earth’s Energy Balance

    • Input: Absorbed solar radiation (ASR); Output: Emitted terrestrial radiation (ETR).

    • ASR = (1 - a)S, where average albedo a ≈ 0.3; ETR: \sigma T^4.

  • Greenhouse Effect

    • Atmosphere absorbs 25-30% of solar radiation; 70-85% terrestrial radiation.

    • Key absorbers: Water vapor, CO₂, others (ozone, methane).

    • Gases lacking dipole moment cannot absorb IR; only those with dipole moments can.

  • Climate Forcings and Feedbacks

    • Radiative Forcing: Change in radiative balance; positive/negative forcing leads to warming/cooling.

    • Feedback Processes: Amplification (positive feedback) or dampening (negative feedback) of temperature response.

    • Example feedbacks: Water vapor (positive), Planck (negative), ice-albedo (positive).

  • Climate Sensitivity

    • Defined as surface temperature change for doubled CO₂; ranges from approximately 1.5 to 4.5 K.

    • Total feedbacks calculated as \gamma = \gamma{pl} + \gamma{wv} + \gamma{lr} + \gamma{ia} + \gamma_{cl}.