Statistics
Probability
Range of Probability:
The probability of an event is always a number between 0 and 1.
Notation: 0 ≤ P(event) ≤ 1
The value of probability can only be 0 (impossible event) or 1 (certain event), or any value in between.
Sample Space:
The total probability of a sample space (all possible outcomes) equals 1.
Sum of probabilities for all outcomes = 100%.
Null Set:
The probability of an empty set (null set) is equal to 0.
Example: If nothing happens, the probability of any event occurring is 0.
Definition:
The complement of an event (E) includes all outcomes not in that event.
Example: For even numbers (2, 4, 6), the complement includes odd numbers (1, 3, 5).
Calculation:
P(complement) = 1 - P(event)
For even numbers: P(even) = 1 - P(odd)
General Rule:
For two events E and F, the probability that either E or F occurs is:
P(E or F) = P(E) + P(F) - P(E and F)
Example Using a Deck of Cards:
Events: Drawing a heart (E) or a queen (F).
Hearts in a deck: 13
Queens in a deck: 4 (including Queen of Hearts)
Overlap: Queen of Hearts counted twice.
Calculation Example:
P(Heart) = 13/52
P(Queen) = 4/52
P(Heart and Queen) = 1/52
By applying the addition rule:
P(Heart or Queen) = P(Heart) + P(Queen) - P(Heart and Queen)
= (13/52) + (4/52) - (1/52)
= 16/52
= 0.3077 or 30.77%.
The probability of drawing either a heart or a queen in a standard deck of cards is approximately 30.77%.