China I guess

Power Transition Theory

• what produced peace, according to power transition theory

  • imbalance of power, similar to blainey

• key elements of power transition theory

  • power parity, have to be similar in power for war to occur

  • statisfaction with the status quo

    • common indicators of dissatisfaction:

      • dissastifaction with international rules

      • military buildup

      • ideological similarity with the system leader

      • territorial disputes

• meisheimer/offensive realism theory

  • assumptions

    • anarchy

    • all states have offensive cpaability

    • intentions are unclear

    • survival is the most important goal

    • states seek to maximize power

• implications

  • states fear each other

  • almosy imporssible to become a global hegemon

  • regional hegemons someyimes interfere in other regions

• only usa has reached regional hegenomy

• will china be like the us

  • similarities

  • differences

• Response to Chinas Rise

  • will other countries in the region balance against china or bandwagon

    • balance against china bc china is more immediate threat than usa

• possible usa strategies

  • preventive war

  • slow chinas economic growth

  • rollback/attempt at regime change

  • containment