Global Economy & International Integration – Vocabulary Flashcards
Global Economy & Economic Integration
- Global economy: the aggregate of all countries producing goods & services (g/s) and contributing to Gross World Product (GWP).
- Economic integration: removal/liberalisation of cross-border barriers to maximise output & efficiency.
- Risk: financial contagion – traders shift capital after adverse news, spreading crises.
Measures of World Output
- Gross World Product (GWP): (measured in for consistency).
- Benchmark for global growth/decline.
- GDP at Purchasing Power Parity (PPP):
- Adjusts GWP for cross-country price & exchange-rate differences.
- Allows accurate cross-country comparison.
Globalisation: Concept & Channels
- Broad definition: integration & barrier removal between nations.
- Key channels (★ = examined in detail):
- ★ Trade in Goods & Services
- ★ Financial Flows
- ★ Investment & Transnational Corporations (TNCs)
- ★ Technology, Transport & Communication
- ★ International Division of Labour & Migration
Trade in Goods & Services
- Share of global output traded: 38 % (1990) → 50 % (2018, World Bank).
- Drivers:
- ↑ Trade agreements, ↓ protection (e.g. Australia’s average tariff 2.23 % in 2018).
- Changing demand: rising affluence, tech & innovation → shifting composition (e.g. ICT, services growth).
- Directional change:
- Emerging economies’ share of global trade: 7 % → 19 % (past decade).
- Example: Australia–China trade boom post-reforms.
Financial Flows
- Most globalised sector; capital moves faster than g/s or people.
- Enablers: ICT networks, 24-hour markets.
- Main drivers:
- Financial deregulation (1970s–80s).
- Speculators/currency traders chasing short-term profit.
- Advantages:
- Access to overseas savings → ↑ investment → growth, esp. for low-saving nations.
- Disadvantages:
- ↑ Contagion risk (e.g. 2008-09 GFC).
Investment & Transnational Corporations (TNCs)
- Foreign Direct Investment (FDI): ≥10 % equity stake → controlling interest.
- Rising due to easing capital controls & deregulation.
- TNCs: production chains span multiple nations; source cheap inputs, exploit lower labour costs.
- Governments court TNCs with subsidies/tax concessions for capital & jobs.
Technology, Transport & Communication
- Freight: standardised containers, cargo tracking, lean logistics.
- Transport: efficient aircraft, high-speed rail → labour & goods mobility.
- Communication: instant info flow among International Business Giants (IBGs).
- E-commerce ↓ marketing/distribution labour costs.
- 5G → faster connectivity → ↑ productivity.
International Division of Labour & Migration
- ILO: ≈2 % of population lives & works outside origin country; may rise.
- Migrant flows polarised:
- Top end: skilled → high-income regions (EU, US) → “brain drain” from AUS/NZ.
- Bottom end: unskilled → advanced economies filling low-skill vacancies (e.g. Latin Americans to US).
- Offshoring: firms site labour-intensive stages where labour cheapest.
International & Regional Business Cycles (IBC & RBC)
- IBC: synchronised changes in global GDP.
- Impact correlates with trade openness (exports+imports % GDP).
- RBC: within regions linked by free-trade/customs/monetary unions.
- Core regions (share bulk of GDP):
- North America (USMCA)
- European Union (EU)
- East Asia (Japan, China, ASEAN)
Free Trade: Theory, Advantages & Disadvantages
- Occurs when tariffs, quotas, subsidies absent.
- Concepts:
- Absolute Advantage (AA) – produce more with given resources.
- Comparative Advantage (CA) – lower opportunity cost.
- Economies of Scale (EOS) – falls as ↑.
Advantages
- Specialisation based on CA → EOS → ↑ output & employment.
- Wider, cheaper consumer choice → ↑ living standards.
- Resource productivity ↑; competition drives innovation.
Disadvantages
- Infant industries vulnerable.
- Resource reallocation → structural unemployment, regional inequality.
- Negative externalities (pollution, labour exploitation).
- Over-specialisation, dependency, dumping, persistent CAD.
International Organisations
World Trade Organisation (WTO)
- Multilateral trade rule-maker/enforcer; promotes liberalisation.
- Doha Round (2001): aimed to cut advanced-economy farm subsidies; stalled.
- Dispute settlement: e.g. Australia vs China barley 80 % tariff (2020).
- Trade Facilitation Agreement (2017): streamline border agencies.
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
- Oversees global financial stability; emergency lending.
- Funds from advanced economies; low-interest loans.
- Mar 2020: doubled lending (>$100 bn) for pandemic response; 102/189 members sought help.
World Bank (WB)
- Development finance (loans/grants/advice) to developing countries.
- Conditionality principle → controversy (loss of autonomy).
United Nations (UN)
- Peacekeeping, human rights, humanitarian aid, SDGs (e.g. halve extreme poverty, gender equality).
Organisation for Economic Co-operation & Development (OECD)
- 37 members; policy research/advice.
- 2020: urged fiscal/monetary stimulus for COVID-19.
Government Economic Forums
- G20 (85 % GDP, 75 % trade, 66 % population): formed post-GFC; annual summits; 2014 Brisbane → pledge to lift growth 2 %.
- G7 (USA, Japan, Germany, UK, France, Italy, Canada): macro policy coordination; 2008 pledged > to IMF; declining weight (68 % → 26 % global GDP from 1998→2018).
Trading Blocs, Monetary Unions & FTAs
- Trading bloc: preferential intra-bloc trade plus common external tariffs.
- Monetary union: common currency & monetary policy (Eurozone).
- FTAs: tariff-reduction pacts.
- Bilateral (ANZCERTA), Regional (NAFTA/USMCA), Multilateral (WTO).
Advantages of FTAs/Blocs
- ↑ Export sales, ↓ trade costs → growth.
- Foster political ties.
Disadvantages
- Trade diversion from more efficient non-members.
- Risk of fragmented global economy.
Major Blocs & Agreements
- EU: customs & monetary union; Euro ↓ transaction costs; 17 % world export market; high agri protection (CAP subsidies 38 % budget 2016).
- APEC: Asia-Pacific forum; non-discriminatory; 60 % GDP, 47 % trade; effectiveness limited by size.
- NAFTA → USMCA: Canada–US–Mexico; exploit Mexico cost base; 13 % global merchandise trade; new rules on autos, agri, labour, environment (2020).
- ASEAN & AANZFTA: eliminates tariffs on 96 % of Australian exports; 20 % of AU trade.
- ANZCERTA: first bilateral to free trade in services; harmonised rules.
Protection: Motives & Methods
Reasons
- Infant industry (temporary until EOS).
- Domestic employment preservation.
- Anti-dumping.
- Defence/self-sufficiency & cultural preservation.
Instruments & Effects
Tariffs
- Raise import prices; yield govt revenue; may improve CAD via substitution.
- Downsides: retaliation, inflation, consumer welfare loss.
Subsidies
- Cash to local producers; cheaper than tariffs for consumers; reversible.
- Issues: fiscal cost, inefficiency, income redistribution to subsidised industry.
Quotas
- Quantity ceilings on imports.
Local Content Rules
- Mandate domestic input share (e.g. 55 % Australian TV content 6 a.m.–midnight).
Export Incentives
- Grants/loans to boost offshore sales (e.g. Austrade EMDG: $1 → $13.50 return).
Domestic consequences of protection
- Misallocation toward inefficient sectors; higher inflation; lower growth; constrained exports.
Global consequences
- ↓ Market access (hits developing countries); ↓ trade volume, variety, living standards; income inequality; political tension (e.g. Australia–China 2019–20 trade war).
Economic Growth vs Economic Development
- Growth: ↑ real GDP; quantitative.
- Sources: ↑ resource use (capital widening) & ↑ productivity (capital deepening).
- Development: structural change improving welfare; qualitative.
- Measured via Human Development Index (HDI) (life expectancy, education, ).
- 2019: Norway 0.95 (highest); Niger 0.38 (lowest); Australia 0.94 (6th).
Globalisation & Income Distribution
- 1 bn people left extreme poverty since 1990; yet inequality persists.
- Sub-Saharan Africa: >50 % still in extreme poverty.
- Wealth concentration: richest 1 % hold 44 % global wealth (Credit Suisse 2019).
- Oxfam: billionaires needed to match bottom 50 % fell 380 → 26 (2009→2019).
Economy Classifications (IMF)
- Advanced (39): \bar y>USD\,30{,}000; services-centric; slower growth; 40.3 % GDP, 63 % exports (2019).
- Emerging (155): upper-middle income, fast growth, industrialising; 59.7 % GDP, 37 % trade; BRICs key.
- Developing: low income, high poverty, agri-reliant, high population growth.
Reasons for Cross-Country Gaps
Global Factors
- Biased global trading system (agri protection, Doha failure).
- Volatile short-term capital flows → instability.
- Debt traps from heavy foreign borrowing.
- Unequal tech diffusion.
Domestic Factors
- Resource endowments, labour quality, infrastructure.
- Poverty cycle (low → low savings/investment → low growth).
- Low tech adoption, high population growth.
- Institutional quality: corruption, instability, weak fiscal capacity.
- Heavy debt servicing drains growth funds.
Effects of Globalisation
Economic Growth
- EOS & specialisation opportunities.
- Tech diffusion ↑ productivity.
- Contagion risk (2008–09 GFC) → need macro-coordination (G20).
Economic Development
- Brain drain from developing to advanced economies.
- Environmental & labour externalities.
Case: East Asia
- China, NIEs, ASEAN → trade/FDI boom → HDI rise, massive poverty reduction.
TNC Criticisms & Examples
- Accusations: labour exploitation, resource depletion, tax avoidance.
- 2019 Apple labour violations (China Labour Watch) – excessive contract workers.
- 2017 Apple Irish tax strategy (12.5 % vs OECD 21 %).
Environmental Sustainability
- Economic growth ↑ resource use → environmental degradation.
- Multilateral responses:
- UN Convention on Biodiversity – protect ecosystems.
- UNCLOS – safeguard marine resources.
- Paris Agreement 2015 – keep warming < 2 °C (ideally 1.5 °C).
- Targets: EU −40 % (1990 base), USA −43 % (2005 base, though US withdrew 2018 under Trump), Australia −26 % to −28 % (2005 base).
- Developing nations least capable of adapting to climate impacts.
International Business Cycle Transmission Examples
- 2006–07 resources boom (China/India demand) → high world growth; peak commodities mid-2008.
- 2008–09 GFC: rapid global downturn via financial linkages.
(Exam Requirement) Case Study Prompt
- "Undertake a case study of the influence of globalisation on an economy other than Australia …" – not provided in transcript; prepare separately.