Group Decision Making, Leadership, and Power

Fundamentals of Group Decision Making

  • Introduction to Collective Intelligence     - A foundational principle in social psychology, as stated by Myers (2002), is: ‘None of us alone is as smart as all of us together.’     - Advantages of Group Composition         - Increased Information: More people in a group naturally provide access to a larger pool of information and perspective.         - Enhanced Productivity: More people allow for a greater volume of work to be accomplished in a shorter time frame.         - Specialization: Members can delegate tasks so individuals do what they are best at (specialization of labor).         - Analytical Processing: Groups can discuss and process information more critically by checking for errors and vetting ideas.         - Decision Standards: Groups utilize established standards for reaching a conclusion, such as majority rule.         - Commitment and Follow-through: People are empirically more likely to follow through on a plan if they were part of the group that collectively decided upon it.         - Process Complexity: The effectiveness of a group is not attributed to a single mechanism but is driven by several interrelated processes.     - Real-World Examples: Typical effective decision-making groups include investment groups, advisory boards, and medical teams/doctors.

Comparative Effectiveness: Individuals vs. Groups

  • Majorie E. Shaw’s (1932) Research     - Shaw conducted a landmark study comparing individuals to groups using the missionary/cannibal dilemma.     - Finding: Individuals solved significantly fewer problems than groups did when presented with the same challenges.

  • Specific Group Success Indicators     - Groups have been scientifically shown to:         - Diagnose complex problems with higher accuracy.         - Locate and retrieve information quicker than individuals acting alone.         - Achieve better academic grades in collaborative settings.

  • Factors Contributing to Group Ineffectiveness     - Despite their advantages, groups can fail due to:         - Over-sampling shared information: Focusing only on what everyone already knows rather than unique data.         - Social Loafing: Not everyone pulls their own weight; often, a few members do the bulk of the work.         - Manipulation: Conversations and discussions can be steered or manipulated by dominant personalities.         - Riskiness: Group dynamics can sometimes lead to riskier decisions than individuals would make.         - Cohesion Issues: Excessive focus on group harmony can lead to groupthink.

Taxonomy and Anatomy of Group Decisions

  • Types of Decisions     - The effectiveness of a group depends heavily on the nature of the task and whether a ‘correct’ solution exists:         - Intellective Tasks: These have a definitive right or wrong answer (e.g., mathematical problems). Groups are usually superior in these tasks.         - Judgmental Tasks: These involve value judgments with no single objective correct answer (e.g., a jury’s verdict). Groups are generally less effective here than in intellective tasks.

  • Functional Theory of Group Decision Making     - This theory suggests that skilled decision-making groups are more likely to utilize specific procedures that improve the gathering, analysis, and weighting of information.

  • The Functional Model of Decision Making (Stages)     - 1. Orientation: Defining the problem and planning the process.     - 2. Discussion: Gathering and reviewing information.     - 3. Decision: Selecting an alternative.     - 4. Implementation: Putting the decision into action.     - 5. Post-mortem discussion: Reviewing the outcome and process.

The Orientation Phase and Brainstorming

  • Orientation Specifics     - The group defines the problem and maps out the strategy, goals, resources, and potential challenges.     - Performance Correlation: Spending more time in the orientation stage typically results in better overall performance, though groups often rush through this phase.     - Shared Mental Model: This stage involves developing common knowledge, tasks, and expectations, which assists in all subsequent stages.

  • Brainstorming (Alex Osborn)     - Alex Osborn developed this technique after finding that traditional business meetings often inhibited the generation of new ideas.     - Purpose: To allow for spontaneous, uninhibited idea generation.     - The Four Rules of Brainstorming:         - Be Expressive: Say whatever ideas come to mind.         - Postpone Evaluation: No criticism is allowed during the generation phase.         - Seek Quantity: The more ideas, the better.         - Piggyback Ideas: Combine or build upon the ideas of others.         - Equal Worth: Every person and every idea is treated as having equal value.

The Discussion Phase: Collective Information Processing

  • Information Distribution in Comments     - Approximately 30%30\% of comments relate to opinions or analysis.     - Approximately 10%10\% are suggestions.     - Approximately 10%10\% focus on orientation.

  • Dialogue vs. Debate     - Dialogue: Enables more facts to be shared and fosters a greater understanding of those facts. It makes participants feel more included in the discussion.     - Debate: Often focuses on winning an argument rather than collective understanding.

  • Collective Memory Mechanisms     - Cross-cueing: Recall is improved when one member’s statement triggers a memory in another member.     - Transactive Memory: A system where information is distributed across different members so the group collectively ‘knows’ more than any individual.     - Collaborative vs. Nominal Memory: Differences exist between how a group remembers together (collaborative) versus the sum of individual memories (nominal).     - Record Keeping: Meeting minutes are critical for maintaining the group’s collective memory and preventing the loss of information.     - Efficiency Risks: Loafing and free-riding can compromise the quality of the collective memory and discussion.

  • Alternative Generation     - All alternatives are gathered with the understanding that there are no ‘wrong’ alternatives at this stage.     - Consequences for each alternative must be discussed.     - The group determines which alternatives are ready for final consideration; mutual encouragement is vital.

Deciding: Social Decision Schemes and Vroom’s Model

  • Social Decision Schemes     - These are the strategies (explicit or implicit) used to select a single alternative:         - Delegation: An individual or subgroup (oligarchy) makes the decision for the whole.         - Statistical Aggregation/Averaging: Individual decisions are averaged (e.g., the MHS example).         - Voting/Plurality: Utilizing majority rule; sometimes a higher threshold (supermajority) is required.         - Consensus/Unanimous Decision: Continuous discussion until everyone agrees (standard for juries).         - Random Choice: Leaving the decision to chance.

  • Vroom’s Normative Model of Decision Making     - This model predicts the effectiveness of decision procedures across various group settings:         - Autocratic I & II (Decide): The leader either solves the problem alone or gathers information and then decides alone.         - Consultative I & II (Consult): The leader consults either selected members or the full group before making the final decision.         - Group (Facilitate/Delegate): The leader discusses the issue with the group, and together they develop a solution. The leader acts as a chairperson without pushing a specific solution, allowing the group to make the final choice.

  • Discussion Obstacles     - Discussion is rarely equal; not all voices are heard.     - Shared Information Bias: The tendency for groups to over-sample shared information.         - Hidden Profiles: Unique information held by individuals may be missed because the group focuses on common knowledge.         - Causes: Informational influence, normative influence, prioritizing consensus over correctness, initial individual preferences, and impression management goals.         - Solutions: Better leadership, increasing group diversity, and using Group Decision Support Systems (GDSS).

Implementation and Post-Mortem Analysis

  • Implementation Dynamics     - People generally desire closure once a decision is reached.     - Continuous evaluation is necessary; the level of participation in the decision directly affects the degree of acceptance during implementation.

  • Coch & French (1948) – Harwood Manufacturing Company Study     - Studied industrial resistance to change.     - Finding: High levels of participation significantly reduce resistance to change.     - Negative Outcomes: If participation is limited, it leads to hostility, high turnover, and decreased efficiency.

  • Post-Mortem Discussions     - These are used to bring closure and provide learning opportunities for future decisions.     - Process: The group reconvenes (though this rarely happens in practice) to evaluate both the final decision and the process used to reach it.     - Review: They review the implementation results, identify lessons learned, and record them for the next project.

Group Polarization and Groupthink

  • Group Polarization     - Contrary to moving toward a moderate mean, group responses often become more extreme following a discussion.

  • Groupthink (Janis)     - Defined as distorted thinking that prevents rational decision-making due to a desire for unanimous agreement despite conflicting evidence.     - Historical Disasters: Kennedy’s Bay of Pigs invasion and the NASA Challenger disaster.

  • Symptoms of Groupthink     - Overestimation of the Group: Illusions of invulnerability and an unquestioned belief in the group’s morality.     - Close-mindedness: Collective rationalizations and stereotyping of outgroups.     - Pressure Toward Uniformity:         - Self-censorship: Members withhold doubts.         - Illusion of Unanimity: Silence is mistaken for agreement.         - Direct Pressure: Applied to any member who expresses dissent.         - Mindguards: Self-appointed members who shield the group from dissenting information.     - The Abilene Paradox (Harvey, 1988): Related to pluralistic ignorance, where a group decides on a course of action that no individual member actually wants.     - Sunk Costs: Entrapment based on previous investments.

  • Causes of Groupthink     - High cohesiveness and overly cordial relationships.     - A lack of internal conflict or debate.     - Structural faults such as insulation of the group and tight leader control.     - Stressful situational contexts and the tendency to exaggerate positives while minimizing negatives.

  • Prevention of Groupthink     - Avoid reaching a consensus prematurely.     - Maintain an open leadership style.     - Assign a ‘Devil’s Advocate’ role or use subgroup discussions.     - Consciously correct misperceptions and biases using structured decision-making techniques.