NTA Spring 2025: Danny Werfel (former IRS Commissioner)

Waste in Government

Origins of Waste Reduction Campaigns

  • Every administration aims to cut taxpayer dollar waste.
  • Vice President Joe Biden launched a campaign to cut waste in 2012, but it was largely forgotten, unlike more explosive events.
  • The speaker quarterbacked Biden's 2012 campaign.
  • Every administration should hunt for misspent dollars to improve efficiency and maintain taxpayer trust.
  • Waste reduction efforts have predecessors in multiple administrations (Obama, Trump, etc.), going back to Hoover.

Understanding Government Waste

  • Key Question: What is government waste, why does it exist, and how can it be tackled smartly?
  • The approach to waste reduction often influences how the problem is communicated.
Sources of Misspent Dollars
  • Is waste due to incompetence?
  • Take Medicare fraud, for example.
  • Is it because the government just doesn't want to detect it or is there something else going on?
  • Politicians often claim they can cut hundreds of billions from Medicare/Medicaid, but this wouldn't cover tax cuts.
Error as a Cost of Doing Business
  • Can hundreds of billions in fraud error be realistically eliminated, or is it a cost of doing business?
  • She spent years looking at improper payments error during the formation of the Bush administration's effort.
  • She shared hard-won lessons because Doge (the current effort) is facing the same issues today.
How to Attack Improper Payments
  • When payments go out, the government usually doesn't know if they are improper.
  • To figure out the error, collect more information or take more time to evaluate.
Collecting More Information
  • Determining if a payment is proper demands more information about the recipient.
  • This can be burdensome.
  • For example, Medicare originally began asking hospitals for paperwork before reimbursements, but they pushed back due to the burden.
  • An equilibrium is established with some error as part of the process.
  • Eliminating errors means increasing the administrative burden.
Taking More Time
  • The second way to reduce improper payment is to pause and evaluate more information.
  • Pausing for review adds more delays to the process.
Example: Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC)
  • Medicare has the highest improper payment amount, while EITC has the highest error rate.
  • An idea to end improper payments in EITC: require parents to swipe their child's ID when they leave the house.
  • This would track exactly who lived with whom. We won't even need to ask this. We will aggregate exactly who lived with the
  • This is macro to American values/privacy.
  • Oklahoma uses this for childcare subsidies, which require parents to swipe in/out daily.
  • Moving away from comprehensive tracking leads to error and improper payments as a cost of doing business.
  • Sharing taxpayer information with the SBA to solve improper payments has costs, like data risk and privacy infringement.
Lessons About Waste
  • If hunting for waste, aim before you shoot.
  • Verify the issue is significant and not "stupid" before announcing it publicly.
  • Conduct thorough diligence to avoid backtracking.

IRS Considerations

  • The IRS is unique because adding staff decreases the deficit.
  • Historically, increased enforcement staff didn't count against discretionary tax because it saved taxpayer dollars.
  • Attacking government waste by reducing IRS enforcement staff doesn't make sense mathematically.
The Impact of a Smaller IRS
  • A smaller IRS doesn't mean lower taxes.
  • It only means that those who don't play by the rules shift the burden to those who do.
  • Most Americans pay their taxes and play by the rules.
  • Shrinking the IRS empowers tax cheats to do more.
  • To be fiscally responsible, we have to prioritize funding for the IRS.
  • A successful United States relies on paying and collecting taxes effectively.
Current State of the IRS
  • The current state of the IRS is uncertain; it is like a storm at nighttime with the damage as it is still taking place.
  • We have to wait for the dawn and for the winds to stop before we can really assess the situation to see how damaged it actually is.
  • Damage includes a growing tax gap, loss of institutional knowledge, and reduced voluntary compliance, a lagging indicator.
  • Service levels are also a concern like announcements about workforce reductions.
  • The explanation claims technology will solve service issues by automating processes.
Modernization and Technology
  • Modernization is positive if technology works effectively, is safe, secure, and meets taxpayers' needs.
  • The IRS is responsible for all the things associated with the taxpayer bill of rights.
  • However, consider the timing of technology implementation versus staff reductions and we need to find out when the technology takes hold before enacting RIF reductions.
Workforce Morale
  • Employees need physical and psychological safety to be productive.
  • Training, career paths, security, and respect are essential.
  • There are open questions about psychological safety within the IRS.
  • Administrations must ensure employees can thrive.
  • Hire people incentivized to work for the government.
  • Challenge the status quo realistically.
  • Eliminating all error means more paperwork and less privacy.
  • A public dialogue about these trade-offs is necessary.

Questions and Comments

Transparency in Government Processes
  • A transparency play could help preserve the core function in government.
  • The IRS has an image problem, especially outside the Beltway.
Civics Literacy
  • People don't understand why government matters.
  • Civics education should explain the positives and negatives of deregulation or agency elimination.
  • Civics gaps exist from senators to the media.
  • Need for a marketing campaign that frames the IRS and tax payment as patriotic in a non-political way.
Legacy of IRA Investments
  • The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) funding had two goals:
    • Plug immediate gaps.
    • Modernize the IRS.
  • Service levels were low, and staff sizes were at 1970s levels.
  • Thousands of people were hired to fill walk-in centers, call centers, and submission processing.
  • Modernization involved technology upgrades, changes to taxpayer accounts, and the launch of Direct File.
  • The legacy is a decision: destroy the initial progress while building long-term solutions, or build on the spans.
Rebuilding Principles
  • Avoid overcorrection and instead seek a balanced approach.
  • The Campaign to Cut Waste overcorrected by essentially canceling all conferences.
  • When rebuilding, don't throw everything out and seek a balanced approach (transition time, respect employees).
  • Find a middle ground between speed and thoughtful transitions.
Legislative Process
  • IRS, Treasury, and Congress should proactively simplify complicated legislation and say, "This is bloody complicated."
  • This also requires leadership to say we need to do this.
  • Winners and losers exist in every tax bill.
  • The focus is on financial winners and losers, not on simplicity for taxpayers or IRS implementation.
  • Ongoing complex tax laws and diminishing IRS capacity create tax and service gaps.
Advice for IRS Employees
  • Those at the IRS are part of a great company of tremendous individuals, public servants, selfless, smart and talented.
  • Public servants try to take one step back, and then try to take two steps further than mistakes we made.
  • We need to find our collective voice to create change as a community of public servants.
  • Find a diet solution instead of a radical operation. 2019 was not the answer, but we need to reset the values.