CHAPTER 9: FV and PV of Annuities (part 1)
Annuity Basics
- Annuity: a series of equal payments in equal time periods; time period is usually 1 year.
- Annuity due: payments at the beginning of each period; ordinary annuity: payments at the end; most annuities are ordinary.
- Present value (PV) and future value (FV) extend to annuities: FV is the value of future payments; PV is the value today of future payments.
Future Value of Annuity
- Future value of an ordinary annuity (payments at end of each period):
FVOA=Ar(1+r)n−1. - Future value of an annuity due (payments at beginning):
FVAD=Ar(1+r)n−1×(1+r). - Relationship between FV for due and ordinary:
FV<em>AD=FV</em>OA×(1+r)
and
FV<em>OA=1+rFV</em>AD. - Difference between FVAD and FVOA:
FVAD−FVOA=A((1+r)n−1). - Timing note: the last payment of an ordinary annuity earns no interest; the last payment of an annuity due earns interest during the last period.
- Example (ordinary annuity): deposit $100 per period, r = 0.06/12 per month, n = 120 months →
FVOA≈16,387.93. - Example (annuity due): beginning-of-period deposits yield an additional amount relative to the ordinary case (due to one extra period of interest).
Present Value of Annuity
- Present value of an annuity (payments at end):
PVA=Ar1−(1+r)−n. - Present value of an annuity due:
PVAAD=Ar1−(1+r)−n×(1+r). - Examples:
1) Lottery paid as installments: $50{,}000$ per year for 20 years discounted at 5%:
PV=50,0000.051−(1+0.05)−20≈623,110.52.
2) Mortgage loan amount (end-of-period payments): with monthly rate $r = 0.05/12$ and $n = 360$,
PV = A \frac{1 - (1+r)^{-n}}{r},
\quad A = PV \cdot \frac{r}{1 - (1+r)^{-n}}.
Example yields about $186{,}281.62$ for a $1$-monthly payment, given the loan amount.
3) Monthly mortgage example: $200{,}000$ loan at 6% annual rate for 30 years (monthly):
A=PV1−(1+r)−nr,r=0.06/12,n=360,
giving about \$1{,}199.10$ per month.
Time Value, Inflation, and Real Values
- Real (today’s) value of a future amount given inflation i:
Real FV=(1+i)nFV. - Example: $1{,}000{,}000$ in 50 years at 3% inflation is worth
(1+0.03)501,000,000≈228,107.08. - If you save $2,000 per year for 50 years at 5% nominal, the nominal FV is
FVOA=2,0000.05(1+0.05)50−1≈418,695.99. - Real value in today’s dollars (3% inflation):
(1+0.03)50418,695.99≈95,507.52. - Extra value of starting earlier (annuity due vs ordinary):
- Nominal extra in FV: FVAD−FVOA=A((1+r)n−1).
- Real extra in today’s dollars: (\frac{A\bigl((1+r)^n - 1\bigr)}{(1+i)^n}).
Present Value, NPV, and Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
- Mixed streams: Present value is the sum of the PV of each payment:
PVA<em>mixed=∑</em>t(1+r)tCFt. - Net Present Value (NPV):
NPV=PV of inflows−PV of outflows. - Decision rule in capital budgeting:
- Hurdle rate (discount rate) DR; if NPV > 0 or IRR >= DR, invest.
- IRR: the discount rate that sets NPV to 0; if IRR ≥ DR, invest; otherwise, reject.
- IRR formula (cash flows CF):
NPV(IRR)=∑<em>t=0n(1+IRR)tCF</em>t=0. - Note: IRR can be difficult to solve algebraically; spreadsheets provide IRR/NPV tools.
Using Excel (PV, NPV, FV) for Investments
- Key functions:
- Present Value: PV(rate,nper,pmt,fv,type)
- Future Value: FV(rate,nper,pmt,pv,type)
- Net Present Value: NPV(rate,value1,value2,…)
- Type argument:
- 0 = payments at end of period; 1 = payments at beginning.
- Important input notes:
- Payments are entered as negative numbers if you pay them; positive if you receive.
- If there is no series of payments, leave that input blank and provide FV or PV instead.
- Examples from practice:
- PV of $1{,}000{,}000 to be received at age 65 with 3% inflation over 35 years:
PV=PV(0.03,35,,−1000000)≈355,383.40. - Saving $4{,}000 annually for 40 years at 5%:
- End of year payments:
FV(0.05,40,−4000,,)≈483,199.10. - Beginning of year payments:
FV(0.05,40,−4000,,1)≈507,359.05. - With $10{,}000 already saved (PV input):
FV(0.05,40,−4000,−10000,1)≈577,758.94.
- Ordinary annuity FV: FVOA=Ar(1+r)n−1.
- Annuity due FV: FVAD=Ar(1+r)n−1(1+r).
- PV of annuity: PVA=Ar1−(1+r)−n.
- PV of annuity due: PVAAD=Ar1−(1+r)−n(1+r).
- Solve for payment A given PV: A=PV⋅1−(1+r)−nr.
- Relationship between FV due and FV ordinary: FV<em>AD=FV</em>OA(1+r).
- IRR condition: IRR \ge DR implies invest; IRR is the rate that makes NPV 0.
Additional Examples (from the transcript)
- Mortgage payment example (30-year loan, end-of-period): for a $1$-period monthly rate $r = 0.05/12$ over 360 periods, the payment is found by solving:
A=PV⋅1−(1+r)−nr. - Beginning vs end payments: starting earlier increases FV by about one period of compounding; starting earlier yields higher FV by the factor of the annuity term.