Oligopolies
Game Theory and Dominant Strategies
- In any scenario where both partners are involved in a decision-making process, there is often a lack of incentive for either party to deviate from their chosen strategy.
- Attempting to divert from the set strategy can lead to negative outcomes for oneself.
- Each participant possesses a dominant strategy which indicates that they will choose a particular outcome regardless of the action taken by the other party.
- Example: Thomas has a specific strategy he adheres to strictly.
Overview of Game Theory
- The discussion revolves around game theory, specifically the Prisoner's Dilemma.
- In a Prisoner's Dilemma, the primary question is to identify whether a dominant strategy exists and what that strategy entails.
- Central to the analysis within game theory is the concept of Nash Equilibrium:
- A situation where no player has an incentive to change their strategy because they are already at an optimal outcome given the other players' strategies.
Characteristics of Oligopolies
- The focus of the discussion relates to oligopolies.
- Oligopolies consist of a market structure where a few firms dominate the market space.
- The defining feature of oligopolies is interdependence among firms:
- The outcome or decision-making of one firm significantly depends not only on their own actions but also on the actions of other firms in the market.
- Firms must strategize based on potential reactions from the competition, making their decision-making process more complex.
Price and Output in Different Market Structures
- Under oligopolies, firms may operate at different quantities and pricing strategies compared to perfectly competitive industries.
- Example: A non-competitively priced firm will establish production where Marginal Revenue (MR) = Marginal Cost (MC).
- This results in a lower quantity produced (denoted as ) than a perfectly competitive firm, which produces at a higher output (denoted as ).
- Pricing strategies differ distinctly between competitive firms and oligopolies:
- Competitive firms function efficiently at the lowest point of the Average Total Cost (ATC) curve, leading to productive efficiency.
- In contrast, firms within monopolistic competition do not operate at this lowest efficiency point, leading to decreased output levels and higher pricing.
Efficiency Comparisons
- Perfect competition is characterized by:
- Allocative efficiency: resources are distributed in a way that maximizes total welfare.
- Productive efficiency: production occurs at the lowest average total cost.
- Monopolistic competition, on the other hand, does not achieve this efficiency and operates generally to the left of the ATC curve:
- Resultantly less efficient than perfectly competitive markets.
Measuring Oligopoly: Concentration Ratios
- There are specific methodologies to differentiate between market structures, notably through concentration ratios:
- Four-firm concentration ratio (CR4): Measures the total market share held by the four largest firms.
- If greater than 40%, the market is classified as an oligopoly. Less than this suggests a competitive market.
- A more comprehensive method involves assessing all firms in a market, but this is more complex and costly.
Market Share Calculation Example
- Consider an industry composed of 10 firms:
- Two firms possess 14% market shares each, while the remaining eight firms have 9% each.
- Calculation of market shares provides insight into the market landscape and competitive dynamics.
Price Stability in Oligopolies
- Historical context involves consumer behavior in retail settings, such as shopping malls, leading to changes in price strategies:
- In the market, firms must consider potential outcomes when adjusting prices (both up and down).
- An increase in price by one firm may not be matched by competitors, leading to a loss of customers for the raising firm.
- Conversely, lowering prices could lead to losses as well due to the inelastic demand response.
- As a result, firms often choose price stability, avoiding significant deviations from their original pricing.
Kinked Demand Curve Model
- A model describing firm behavior in oligopoly markets is the kinked demand curve:
- Reflects that firms ignore price increases from competition but match any price decreases:
- This leads to a kink at a specific price point (the red dot symbolizing 'You are here').
- The demand curve is illustrated as having a kink:
- Above the point, demand is elastic (consumers reduce quantity demanded with higher prices).
- Below, demand is inelastic (consumers increase quantity demanded with lower prices).
- The kink leads to price stability since firms do not want to disrupt their sales by adjusting prices.
Marginal Cost and Price Setting
- The intersection of the kink demand curve with the marginal cost (MC) creates a unique pricing strategy:
- Changes in MC do not significantly affect the price or output for firms in this model until a large change occurs.
Collusion and Cartels
- In contrast, when firms work together (e.g., forming a cartel), they act as a collective monopoly:
- This creates a central opportunity to set higher prices collectively and restrict outputs to optimize profits.
- Price leadership occurs when a dominant firm sets a price level and other firms in the market follow suit to avoid competitive losses.
- This cooperation, while effective, is typically illegal under competition laws in many jurisdictions.