Global Change and Zoonotic Disease Study Notes

Overview and Definition of Zoonoses

  • Zoonosis Definition: An infectious disease that jumps from a non-human animal to humans.

  • Pathogen Types: Bacterial, viral, parasitic, or unconventional agents.

  • Transmission Routes: Direct contact, contact through food or water, and environmental exposure.

  • Impact: Represents a major public health challenge and causes disruptions to global trade and animal product production.

Prevalence and Historical Context

  • Human Pathogens: Approximately 1,4001,400 known human pathogens exist; 60%60\% of these are of animal origin.

  • Emergent Trends: Since 19451945, 75%75\% of newly emerged diseases in people likely originated zoonotically.

  • Timeline of Major Outbreaks: Notable diseases include HIV, SARS, H1N1H1N1, Ebola, Zika, and COVID-19.

Drivers of Emerging Infectious Diseases (EIDs)

  • Primary Driver: Land use changes are responsible for approximately 30%30\% of recently emerging infectious diseases.

  • Industry and Behavior Factors:     * Food and agricultural industry changes.     * International travel and commerce.     * Human demographics, susceptibility, and behavior.     * Medical and antimicrobial agent use.

  • Environmental Factors: Deforestation and climate change significantly increase the probability of novel disease emergence, particularly in high-risk tropical regions.

Global Change and Ecosystem Indicators

  • Living Planet Index (LPI): Measures the average decline in monitored wildlife populations relative to a 19701970 baseline (1970=100%1970 = 100\%). This includes data from 20,81120,811 populations of 4,3924,392 species.

  • Climate Trends: Global temperatures and CO2CO_2 concentrations have risen steadily from 18801880 to 20002000, with CO2CO_2 surpassing 380ppm380\,ppm.

  • Ecosystem Services: Biodiversity supports four service categories:     * Supporting: Photosynthesis, habitat, soil formation.     * Provisioning: Food, water, medicine, raw materials.     * Regulating: Climate regulation, pollination, flood control.     * Cultural: Aesthetics, recreation, education, spirituality.

Socio-Economic Feedbacks

  • The "Double-Whammy": Urbanization and increased wealth drive demand for Animal Sourced Food (ASF).

  • Livestock Intensification: Leads to high pathogen burdens and the use of prophylactic antimicrobials, contributing to Antimicrobial Resistance (AMR).

  • Resource Exploitation: Incursion into natural ecosystems and the trade of domestic or "wild" bushmeat (regulated by CITES or uncontrolled) facilitates pathogen spillover.

Research and Discussion Questions

  • What is the evidence for the zoonotic origin of COVID-19 and its crossing of the species barrier?

  • How can environmental management and the "One health" approach reduce zoonotic risk?

  • What are the risks associated with wildlife trade and bushmeat consumption?

  • Are there zoonotic risks within the UK wildlife exploitation sector?

  • Identify "reverse" zoonoses that pose a concern for conservation.