Population and Migration Review Notes
Population Distribution
- Learning Objective (2.A.1): Analyze population distribution at different scales.
- Factors Influencing Distribution:
- Physical: Climate, landforms, water bodies.
- Human: Cultural, economic, historical, political.
- Climate Impact: Population density varies with climate zones (tropical, subtropical, temperate, polar).
- Landforms Impact: Population density affected by altitude and physical features.
- Bodies of Water Impact: Proximity to water influences population distribution.
- Physical Factors Favoring High Density:
- Access to food, water, shelter.
- Midlatitudes (30-60° N/S).
- Moderate climates.
- Low-lying areas.
- Large bodies of water.
- Natural resources.
- Political Factors:
- Government policies (e.g., Brazil moving its capital to Brasilia to develop the interior).
- Economic Factors:
- Job opportunities (e.g., Norilsk, Siberia for nickel deposits).
- Cultural Factors:
- Shared religion or beliefs (e.g., Hinduism in India).
- Examples between East and West China due to arable land.
- Density = \frac{Population}{Area}
- China: High population density (145 people per square kilometer in 2018).
Population Density Types
Arithmetic (Crude) Density:
- Arithmetic Density = \frac{Total Population}{Total Land Area}
Physiological Density:
- Physiological Density = \frac{Total Population}{Total Arable Land}
- Indicates pressure on arable land.
- Example: Egypt's high physiological density (8,078/sq. mi) vs. arithmetic density (226/sq. mi).
Agricultural Density:
- Agricultural Density = \frac{Number of Farmers}{Total Arable Land}
- Reflects agricultural efficiency; influenced by technology and fertile land.
- Example: Bangladesh and Netherlands (B: 431/sq. mi N: 31/sq. mi)
Population Composition
- Dependency Ratio:
- Indicates economic burden; high ratio means more non-working individuals dependent on the workforce.
- Youth Dependency Ratio:
- Ratio of population under 15 to the working-age population (15-64).
- Aging Population:
- Percentage of population age 65+ increasing globally.
- Sex Ratio:
- Sex Ratio = \frac{Number of Males}{Number of Females}
- Global ratio: 101 males per 100 females; varies by region and affected by factors like childbirth mortality, emigration, war, and cultural preferences.
Population Pyramids
- Use: Project population growth/decline and predict markets.
- Structure:
- Age and sex distribution.
- Youth dependents, working population, and elder dependents.
- Periphery Country Pyramid:
- Wide base, tapers upward indicates high population growth.
- Core Country Pyramid:
- Stable
- Declining Growth:
- Narrow base, wider upper section.
Demographic Rates
- Crude Birth Rate (CBR):
- CBR = \frac{Number of Live Births}{1000 People}
- Higher in less developed regions.
- Crude Death Rate (CDR):
- CDR = \frac{Number of Deaths}{1000 People}
- Affected by population age structure.
- Natural Increase Rate (NIR):
- NIR = \frac{CBR - CDR}{10}
- Indicates population growth or decline.
- Infant Mortality Rate (IMR):
- IMR = \frac{Number of Infant Deaths}{1000 Live Births}
- Higher in developing regions.
- Life Expectancy:
- Average years a person is expected to live; higher in developed countries.
- Total Fertility Rate (TFR):
- Average number of children a woman will have (ages 15-49); replacement level fertility is slightly above 2.
Demographic Transition Model
- Stages:
- Stage 1: High birth and death rates, stable population.
- Stage 2: Declining death rates, high birth rates, rapid population growth.
- Stage 3: Declining birth rates, stabilizing population.
- Stage 4: Low birth and death rates, stable population.
- Stage 5: ?
Epidemiological Transition Model
- Stages:
- Stage 1: Famine, infectious diseases cause most deaths.
- Stage 2: Receding pandemic diseases due to improved sanitation.
- Stage 3: Degenerative diseases (heart disease, cancer) increase.
- Stage 4: Delayed degenerative diseases due to medical advances.
- Stage 5: Reemergence of infectious diseases.
Population Theories
- Malthusian Theory:
- Population growth (exponential) will outpace food production (arithmetic), leading to starvation.
- Cornucopian Theory:
- Population growth stimulates innovation and economic development.
Population Policies
- Pronatalist:
- Encourage more births and immigration (e.g., France, Japan, Sweden).
- Antinatalist:
- Discourage births (e.g., China's one-child policy).
Women and Demographic Change
- Lower Fertility Rates:
- Associated with higher education, working outside the home, access to healthcare and contraception.
- Higher Fertility Rates:
- Associated with less education, early marriage, traditional gender roles, limited access to healthcare and contraception.
Population Aging
- Consequences:
- Political (conservative voting, elder care issues).
- Social (importance of staying active).
- Economic (fewer working-age people to provide taxes).
Laws of Migration
- Most migration occurs in steps (voluntary/transnational).
- Every migration flow generates a return or counter-migration.
- The majority of migrants move a short distance (distance decay).
- Migrants who move longer distances tend to choose major sources of economic activity.
- Urban residents are often less migratory than inhabitants of rural areas.
- Families are less likely to make international moves than young adults.
- Most migrants are adults (selectivity = characteristics).
- Large towns grow by migration rather than natural population growth.
- More long distance migrants are male.
- More long distance migrants are adult individuals rather than families with children
Migration
- Push Factors:
- Negative conditions that cause people to leave (e.g., lack of jobs, environmental disasters, political instability).
- Pull Factors:
- Positive conditions that attract people (e.g., economic opportunities, religious freedom).
- Types of Migration:
- Voluntary: Migrants relocate by choice
- Forced: Movers have no choice but to relocate: Slavery, Human Trafficking
Refugees
IDP
Asylum Seekers
- Refugees:
- Flee their country due to political, social, or environmental factors.
- Leading sources: Afghanistan, Palestine, Iraq.
- Economic impacts: Can strain resources in receiving countries but also contribute to the economy.
- Guest Workers:
- Temporary migrants taking jobs in other countries; remittances sent home.
- Rural to urban
- Types of Migration:
- International (Transnational): Movement across international boundaries.
- Internal: Movement within a country.
- Emigration: Exiting.
- Immigration: Entering.
- Chain: Migrant flows from a common origin to a common destination.
- Channelized: Migratory patterns common between two points.
- Forced: Leave Homes for another location.