DP IB Economics: HL 3.2 Variations in Economic Activity (AD & AS) Notes

Aggregate Demand (AD)

  • Definition: Total demand for all goods and services in an economy at a given average price level.

  • Expenditure Approach: AD = C (Consumption) + I (Investment) + G (Government Spending) + (X - M) (Net Exports).

  • Components:

  • Consumption (C): Total spending by households on goods and services.

  • Investment (I): Total spending on capital goods by firms.

  • Government Spending (G): Spending by the government that includes salaries, public goods, etc., excluding transfer payments.

  • Net Exports (X-M): The difference between exports and imports.

  • Importance of Components: Different countries have varying components contributing to AD; for example:

  • In Sweden: Government spending is 53% of AD; in the UK: 25% of AD.

  • A 1% increase in consumption or government spending impacts economic growth more significantly than a 1% increase in net exports.

The Aggregate Demand Curve

  • Characteristics:
  • Downward sloping; as the average price level decreases, aggregate demand increases.
  • Movements along the Curve:
  • Caused by changes in the average price level.
  • Increase in price level shifts the curve left, signifying a contraction.
  • Decrease in price level shifts the curve right, indicating an expansion.
  • Shifts in the AD Curve:
  • A shift occurs due to changes in non-price determinants influencing consumption, investment, government spending, or net exports:
    • Right Shift: Increase in any component of AD.
    • Left Shift: Decrease in any component of AD.

Factors Influencing Components of Aggregate Demand

Consumption Influences:

  • Consumer Confidence: Affects spending; if confidence is high, consumption increases.
  • Interest Rates: Higher rates discourage spending, while lower rates encourage it.
  • Wealth and Income Tax: Increased wealth typically leads to more consumption.
  • Indebtedness: High levels of debt can restrict consumption due to higher repayments.
  • Future price expectations: Anticipated price increases can increase current consumption.

Investment Influences:

  • Interest Rates: Lower rates encourage borrowing for investment.
  • Business Confidence: Higher confidence leads to more investments.
  • Technology: Advancements can enhance productivity and incentivize investment.
  • Corporate Indebtedness: High levels of debt can restrict new investments.

Government Spending Influences:

  • Political Priorities: Government focus influences spending patterns.
  • Economic Goals: Fiscal policies can redirect expenditure towards key sectors like infrastructure.

Net Exports Influences:

  • Trading Partners' Income: Changes in income abroad affect exports; higher incomes mean higher exports.
  • Exchange Rates: Currency appreciation/depreciation impacts the price competitiveness of exports and imports.
  • Trade Policies: Protectionist policies usually reduce imports but might increase exports.

Short-Run Aggregate Supply (SRAS)

  • Definition: Total supply of goods/services produced at specific price levels in the short-run.
  • Characteristics: SRAS curve is upward sloping due to increasing production costs at higher output levels.
  • Movements: Similar to AD, movements occur due to changes in average price levels affecting output.
  • Shifts: Shift in SRAS occurs due to changes in costs of inputs or productivity.

Alternative Views of Aggregate Supply (AS)

Classical vs. Keynesian Views:

  • Classical View: LRAS is vertical; economies self-correct to full employment in the long run.
  • Keynesian View: LRAS is L-shaped; economies can remain below full employment without government intervention.

Macroeconomic Equilibrium

  • Short-Run Equilibrium: Occurs where AD intersects SRAS.
  • Long-Run Equilibrium: For classical economics, long-run equilibrium constantly returns to full employment, adjusting price levels accordingly.

Output Gaps

  • Inflationary Gap: When real GDP exceeds potential GDP; economies overheated.
  • Deflationary Gap: When real GDP is below potential GDP; indicates recession.

Government Interventions**

  • Fiscal Policies: Government adjustments in spending and taxes to influence economic activity.
  • Monetary Policies: Central bank adjustments to money supply/interest rates affect AD and ultimately economic growth.