DP IB Economics: HL 3.2 Variations in Economic Activity (AD & AS) Notes
Aggregate Demand (AD)
Definition: Total demand for all goods and services in an economy at a given average price level.
Expenditure Approach: AD = C (Consumption) + I (Investment) + G (Government Spending) + (X - M) (Net Exports).
Components:
Consumption (C): Total spending by households on goods and services.
Investment (I): Total spending on capital goods by firms.
Government Spending (G): Spending by the government that includes salaries, public goods, etc., excluding transfer payments.
Net Exports (X-M): The difference between exports and imports.
Importance of Components: Different countries have varying components contributing to AD; for example:
In Sweden: Government spending is 53% of AD; in the UK: 25% of AD.
A 1% increase in consumption or government spending impacts economic growth more significantly than a 1% increase in net exports.
The Aggregate Demand Curve
- Characteristics:
- Downward sloping; as the average price level decreases, aggregate demand increases.
- Movements along the Curve:
- Caused by changes in the average price level.
- Increase in price level shifts the curve left, signifying a contraction.
- Decrease in price level shifts the curve right, indicating an expansion.
- Shifts in the AD Curve:
- A shift occurs due to changes in non-price determinants influencing consumption, investment, government spending, or net exports:
- Right Shift: Increase in any component of AD.
- Left Shift: Decrease in any component of AD.
Factors Influencing Components of Aggregate Demand
Consumption Influences:
- Consumer Confidence: Affects spending; if confidence is high, consumption increases.
- Interest Rates: Higher rates discourage spending, while lower rates encourage it.
- Wealth and Income Tax: Increased wealth typically leads to more consumption.
- Indebtedness: High levels of debt can restrict consumption due to higher repayments.
- Future price expectations: Anticipated price increases can increase current consumption.
Investment Influences:
- Interest Rates: Lower rates encourage borrowing for investment.
- Business Confidence: Higher confidence leads to more investments.
- Technology: Advancements can enhance productivity and incentivize investment.
- Corporate Indebtedness: High levels of debt can restrict new investments.
Government Spending Influences:
- Political Priorities: Government focus influences spending patterns.
- Economic Goals: Fiscal policies can redirect expenditure towards key sectors like infrastructure.
Net Exports Influences:
- Trading Partners' Income: Changes in income abroad affect exports; higher incomes mean higher exports.
- Exchange Rates: Currency appreciation/depreciation impacts the price competitiveness of exports and imports.
- Trade Policies: Protectionist policies usually reduce imports but might increase exports.
Short-Run Aggregate Supply (SRAS)
- Definition: Total supply of goods/services produced at specific price levels in the short-run.
- Characteristics: SRAS curve is upward sloping due to increasing production costs at higher output levels.
- Movements: Similar to AD, movements occur due to changes in average price levels affecting output.
- Shifts: Shift in SRAS occurs due to changes in costs of inputs or productivity.
Alternative Views of Aggregate Supply (AS)
Classical vs. Keynesian Views:
- Classical View: LRAS is vertical; economies self-correct to full employment in the long run.
- Keynesian View: LRAS is L-shaped; economies can remain below full employment without government intervention.
Macroeconomic Equilibrium
- Short-Run Equilibrium: Occurs where AD intersects SRAS.
- Long-Run Equilibrium: For classical economics, long-run equilibrium constantly returns to full employment, adjusting price levels accordingly.
Output Gaps
- Inflationary Gap: When real GDP exceeds potential GDP; economies overheated.
- Deflationary Gap: When real GDP is below potential GDP; indicates recession.
Government Interventions**
- Fiscal Policies: Government adjustments in spending and taxes to influence economic activity.
- Monetary Policies: Central bank adjustments to money supply/interest rates affect AD and ultimately economic growth.