Lecture Wk 6: FS Analysis & Interpretation with Ratios
Things to think about more:
Why EBIT is used;
Importance of each ratio;
Relationship charts
AI limitations in ratio calculations
FS Analysis Applications:
Informs judgements & decision making concerning:
Determining good investments;
Significance of debt burden;
Improving efficiency;
Determining sustainability long term;
Cash flow management;
Good strategy execution;
Etc. etc.
Also need:
Cash flow statements
Information regarding specific assets and liabilities
Relationships between statements:
Gaining Meaning from Financial Reporting:
Accounting as Data Storytelling:
Examine relationships between diff accounting numbers
→ E.g. ratio between profit/loss, assets/liabilities etc. etc.;
→ In isolation, single figures mean nothing (e.g. company has $50000000 yearly income but does not disclose $60000000 losses each year);
Benchmark comparisons:
→ Can provide clearer picture about relative performance;
→ Benchmarks may include: similar businesses (size, goal, etc.), same business but diff time frame, firm specific benchmarks (management and analyst forecasts, etc.), heuristics
NOTE: EBIT (Earnings Before Interest & Taxes)
→ EBIT entails business operational costs (irrespective of financing and taxation)
Ratios Types & Key Questions:
Profitability
Measures effectiveness of profit generated by firm vs operational costs;
How efficienctly assets are used to generate profit; &
Ability to turn revenue into profit
Efficiency:
Managing assets to generate sales;
Quickness in collecting customer payments; &
Efficiency of inventory &/or resource use
Liquidity:
Ability to meet short-term obligations (liabilities);
Ability to convert assets → cash (quickness and availability); &
Company resilience to short term economic volatility (unexpected events)
Leverage/Gearing/Capital Structure:
How financed is company by debt vs equity;
Ability to meet long-term obligations;
Risk from capital structure
Sustainability of debt
Market Performance:
Relative valuation of shares compared to peers;
E.g. undervalued or overvalued compared to competitors
Caveats of Interpretation and Benchmarks:
Ratios:
Based on accounting numbers;
Accounting definitions must be considered for assets, rev, etc.;
Accounting measurement bases vary (harder to get faithful or consistent valuations);
Standards may change affecting comparability w/ other companies or measurements;
Recognition and measurement often based on judgement not objective standards
Benchmarks:
Comparisons need to be apples to apples; w/
Focus on trends and change to tell story;
Still requires context
Key Ratio Interpretation Table:
Ratio Calcs:
NOTE: probably will not need to remember any formulas or even compute difficult ratios;
What calculations are used may vary depending on source;
Consistency in calculation crucial for making comparisons and analysing trends;
Focus here should be on what a ratio represents rather than computation;
E.g. qualitative analysis of performance:
Profit of A is higher than B → How much higher: not a lot, a bit, a lot, etc.
Working Capital & Cash Flow Management:
How much financial capital needed for operational costs?
→ Working Capital = Current Assets - Current Liabilities
How much Working Capital & Cash is needed for operational purposes?
→ Operating cycle = Inventory Days + Accounts Receivable Days
→ Cash cycle = Inventory Days + Account Receivable Days - Account Payable Days
Reducing operating cycle frees up funds for better use;
Can be achieved by:
→ Reducing inventory days: holding less inventory at a time (caution);
→ Reducing receivable days: Tighten credit terms, better manage receivables
Reducing cash cycle can be achieved by:
→ Reduce inventory and/or payable days (same as before);
→ Increase payable days;
Negotiate better business terms (caution);
Better manage payables (stretch payments as long as possible) (caution)
READ UP ON JUSTIFICATION FOR WHY SHORTENING CYCLES LESSENS REQUIRED CASH + CAPITAL
AI difficulties w/ ratios:
Decent for computations; but
Descriptively poor; in that
Essentially regurgitates stats but doesn;t provide any context; e.g.
Why (justification) for an interpretation (see slides)