Wealth Management and Financial Planning
Marginal Utility of Wealth
- The marginal utility of wealth decreases as wealth increases.
- Beyond a certain point, additional wealth may have negative value.
- Example: A dollar given to a starving person has immense utility.
- As one moves out of poverty and fulfills basic needs, the utility of an extra dollar decreases.
How Much Wealth is Enough?
- This concept raises questions about how much wealth is sufficient.
- Earning more money than one can use in a lifetime leads to questions about the purpose of wealth accumulation.
- There is an argument that excessive wealth can diminish motivation.
- Marginal incremental wealth might become negative.
Purpose of Wealth
- Why are we creating wealth?
- Why are we working hard?
- How do we ensure our wealth continues to be useful as we grow?
- How do we recycle wealth productively?
Potential Adverse Consequences of Excessive Wealth
- Some people work themselves to death.
- Excessive wealth may ruin children.
Rate of Return on Working Assets
- What rate of return do we need from our financial portfolio, real estate investments, or operating business to achieve certain goals?
- Consider leakages when determining the required rate of return.
Leakages
- Distributions: Dividends, excess earnings, coupons, income from real estate.
- Wealth Management Fees: Family office costs, accountants, trust and estate lawyers, custody fees, staff costs.
- Typical range: 0.5% to 1.4% per year.
- Taxes: Driven by the nature of assets and investment strategy. Important factor in leakage analysis.
- Inflation: Long-term inflation rate.
- Using 3% as a baseline, but the cost of living well may have a higher inflation rate.
- Intergenerational Factor: Wealth dilution across generations.
- Example: With multiple children, maintaining wealth across generations becomes challenging.
Chart Analysis
- X-axis: Various spending rates after tax.
- Y-axis: Required gross compounded rate of return needed to achieve goals, including asset management fees
- Yellow Band: Rough approximation of expected returns from a well-managed portfolio of stocks and bonds.
- Conservative approach (20% stock, 80% bond): ~3.5% per year before tax.
- Aggressive approach (80% stock): ~7-8% per year.
- Caution advised if a financial advisor promises 15% returns year after year.
Goal 1: Spend All Wealth Before Death
- Nico wants to spend all his million dollars, leaving nothing to his kids.
- He can spend $40,000 to $55,000 a year.
- Problem: Longevity risk - outliving his money.
- This strategy works for 15-20 years, but checks may start bouncing before death.
Goal 2: Maintain Nominal Value of Wealth
- Nico wants to maintain the million dollars for the rest of his life, possibly giving it to kids or charity.
- He can spend around $40,000 a year.
- Problem: Loss of purchasing power due to inflation.
- Annuities generally do not grow with inflation.
Goal 3: Maintain Real Value of Wealth
- Nico wants to maintain the real value of his million dollars and purchasing power.
- This requires higher rates of return to offset inflation and spending.
- When adding leakages, achieving this goal becomes very difficult.
- Taxes vary based on portfolio mix and management style.
Goal 4: Maintain Real Per Capita Wealth
- This goal considers the intergenerational factor (growing family size).
- Requires very high rates of return.
Tax Considerations
- Tax-efficient portfolios can lower the required rates of return.
- Private equity and alternative investments may offer opportunities to increase returns, but they are not easy to achieve.
Communicating with Family
- Use the math-based analysis to facilitate conversations with family about wealth management and expectations.
- Example: Share balance sheet and spending rate with children to encourage them to supplement their inheritance with their own income.
Family Trusts and Distribution Policies
- Pooling assets into a single pool with a unified investment strategy.
- Implementing a common distribution policy.
- Example: Distributing 3% of the trailing five-year average assets of the trust.
- Temporarily cutting distributions during financial crises to conserve value and encourage financial responsibility.
Spending as a Risk Factor
- Higher spending increases risk.
- Example: Market downturns can significantly impact portfolios, especially with high spending rates.
- Taxes on gains during downturns exacerbate the problem.
- Spending should be tied to the state of the world, connecting family members to the value of assets.
- Base distributions on a percentage of the average value of the portfolio over the previous five years.
- Implement a safeguard: Measure the distribution against the current year's value; cut the distribution if it is too high.
Annuities
- Investing in annuities to protect against longevity risk
- Annuities have purchasing power risk as payouts often don't grow with inflation
- Consecutive years of market downturns can severely impact portfolios.
- It's essential to prepare financial models that account for market downturns rather than assume normal distribution of returns.
Geopolitical Risk
- Need to build cushion because of geopolitical risks in the world today.
Impact on Individuals with Limited Resources
- Those on fixed incomes may not be able to take risk.
- They are at risk of not being able to afford basic needs.
- For people in advantageous situations, there is flexibility to spend less.
Communication with family
- Allows children to be involved and understand trade-offs
Tax-Free Municipal Bonds
- Investing in Tax-Free Municipal Bonds will hurt purchasing power
- Good option for someone who prioritizes sleeping well at night
Financial Portfolio
- Operating assets and liquid assets should be separated
Equity vs Bonds
- Equities are better than bonds
Liquidity Events
- Executives who are paid via equity compensation are encouraged to diversify the portfolio.
Balance Sheets
- It is important to use Roth IRA and get kids to work
- Complicated area to structure so will likely need good advice.
Deferred Tax Liability
- More is better
- Occurs when assets are given without transferring the cost basis
- Cool because government takes disproportionate risk on downside. Can harvest losses and offset gains.
- A free loan from the government with no maturity date or interest rate.
- The government is a silent partner.
Accounting Equation
- Incomplete Picture: Assets = Liabilities + Owner's Equity
- Can fine-tune amount to show relative to business or non-business assets.
Deferred Taxes as Risk Mitigation
- Government gets disproportionately impacted when value drops.
- If capital gains rise or lower, the deferred tax liability changes immediately.
Switching Investments
- When considering selling Assets to buy new ones, there is a lot of friction
- Consider all angles before switching investment to new investments
Concentrated Position
- Diversification is not always better. If you're already diversified, then focus on diversification.
Planning for Extended Lifespans
- Longevity is increasing.
- If a couple is aged 65, there is a 25% chance one reachers 94.
- Useful to discuss financial needs that span over the upcoming future.
Foundation Discussions About Spending
- It is important to let younger generations plan for long-term spending
Retirement Plans
- Important opportunity to push retirement plans early
- Great way to teach kids about wealth management and growth of financial assets without talking amount of family assets
Family Trusts
- Grantor Trusts - power of trusts to transfer wealth.
- Husband and wife - when one spouse dies, ability to step up the basis.