4.1 & 4.2 Financial Assets and Real/Nominal Interest Rates

Unit Four: Money and Banking

Overview of Modules 4.1 and 4.2

  • Focus on financial assets and the distinction between nominal and real interest rates.

  • Aim: Understand money flow in the financial system and the nuances of borrowing costs.

The Financial System as a Matchmaking Service

  • Definition: The financial system connects savers with borrowers.

  • Savers: Individuals or institutions with surplus cash.

  • Borrowers: Businesses, governments, and individuals seeking funds for various projects (e.g., factories, highways, homes).

  • Financial Intermediaries: Institutions, like banks, that facilitate connections between savers and borrowers.

  • Functionality:

    • Money deposited in banks is lent out, creating benefits for savers (interest earnings), borrowers (funding for projects), and banks (profit from the interest spread).

Key Vocabulary

  • Asset: Anything of value that provides future benefits (e.g., factories, bonds).

  • Liability: An obligation to pay money in the future (e.g., loans, mortgages).

  • Perspective: An item can be an asset for one party and a liability for another (Example: A car loan is a liability for the borrower and an asset for the bank).

Types of Assets

Two Main Categories
  1. Real Assets (Physical Assets): Tangible items (e.g., factories, machinery, real estate).

  2. Financial Assets:

    • Definition: Contractual claims on something of value.

    • Four main types to know for AP Macro:

      • Cash and Bank Deposits: Highly liquid.

      • Bonds: Securities representing a loan made by an investor to a borrower. Bonds are interest-bearing assets.

      • Promise to pay fixed interest and return principal.

      • Liquid and can be resold.

      • Stocks: Represent ownership in a company.

      • Entitlement to a portion of profit and potential appreciation in value.

      • Derivatives: Contracts whose value is derived from an underlying asset (e.g., stocks, bonds, commodities). Used for hedging risk, speculation, and leverage.

Example of Stock Issuance
  • Company Example: "Fields Follies" raises money via an initial public offering (IPO).

    • Sells 100 shares at $100 each, raising $10,000.

    • Shareholder Jacob buys 1 share for $100; after one year, receives $9.99 in dividends and sells the share for $120.

    • Total return = Increase in value + Dividends = $20 + $9.99 = $29.99.

Liquidity

  • Definition: The ease of converting an asset into cash without losing value.

  • Cash: Perfectly liquid.

  • Bank Deposits: Nearly as liquid as cash; can withdraw immediately.

  • Stocks and Bonds: Relatively liquid, often sold quickly, but price may fluctuate.

  • Physical Assets: Typically illiquid (e.g., selling a house may take months).

Trade-off Between Liquidity and Returns
  • More liquid assets may offer lower returns (e.g., cash, checking accounts).

  • Less liquid assets may provide higher returns (e.g., savings accounts, stocks).

  • Opportunity Cost of Holding Cash: Example of $100 kept in wallet (0% interest) versus savings account (5% interest), resulting in a $5 opportunity cost if cash is held.

Interest Rates

  • Definition: The opportunity cost of holding wealth as cash.

  • Role of Banks: Pay interest to savers to compensate for allowing banks to use their funds.

  • Bonds Explored:

    • Features of Bonds:

    1. Face Value: Amount paid back at maturity (e.g., $1,000 bond).

    2. Maturity: Duration until repayment (e.g., 10 years).

    3. Coupon Payments: Payments made at a specified interest rate (e.g., 5% coupon on a $1,000 bond = $50 per year).

  • Total Return on Bonds: Includes coupon payments and principal repayment.

Inverse Relationship Between Bond Prices and Interest Rates
  • Concept: When interest rates rise, bond prices fall; when interest rates fall, bond prices rise.

  • Example: Selling an old bond when new bonds offer higher returns leads to a decrease in the bond's market price to attract buyers.

Nominal vs. Real Interest Rates

  • Nominal Interest Rate: Advertised rate (e.g., 5%, 10%), the rate written into loan agreements.

  • Real Interest Rate: Adjusted for inflation, the rate that affects purchasing power.

  • Importance: Inflation erodes the real value of money.

  • Example: If nominal is 5% and inflation is 5%, purchasing power remains unchanged.

  • Calculation: Real Interest Rate = Nominal Rate - Inflation Rate.

Bank Interest Rate Decisions

  • Banks set nominal rates based on desired real interest and projected inflation.

  • Example: If a bank wants a 5% real rate and expects 3% inflation the required nominal rate would be 8%.

Fischer Effect

  • Principle: When expected inflation increases, nominal interest rates adjust correspondingly, leaving the real interest rate unchanged.

  • Nominal Interest = Real Interest + Inflation.

  • Impact of Inflation Surprises: Unexpected inflation benefits borrowers and hurts lenders, while disinflation benefits lenders.

Zero Lower Bound

  • Definition: Nominal interest rates cannot fall below zero.

  • Concept: Negative rates mean lenders would effectively pay borrowers, which is impractical.

  • Real interest rates can be negative if inflation exceeds the nominal rate.

Summary of Key Relationships
  • Financial system channels savings into investments through financial assets: stocks (ownership) offer dividends, bonds (loans) include principal and interest.

  • Bond prices inversely correlate with interest rates due to opportunity costs.

  • Importance of distinguishing nominal and real interest rates, capturing the Fisher Equation, and understanding the implications of expected vs. unexpected inflation.

  • These principles relate to broader topics like monetary policy, which will be explored further in the course.