Real GDP and Standards of Living

  • Real GDP tells us how much output is produced in a country and whether more was produced in one year relative to another.
  • This matters because productivity ties directly to standards of living.
  • However, real GDP doesn't tell you everything you need to know to determine standards of living in a given country. Let's see why.

The Pizza Analogy

  • Suppose Julia orders 10 pizzas for a party and asks if that’s enough.
  • If 10 people are coming, that’s one pizza per person, which is likely enough.
  • If 200 people are coming, each person would get only one twentieth of a pizza, which is not enough.
  • Real GDP works the same way: it tells you how many pizzas (output) there are, but not what the average person will consume.
  • Real GDP per capita (real GDP per person) helps address this by dividing total output by population.

Real GDP per Capita: Definition and Calculation

  • Calculating real GDP per capita is straightforward: you take a country's real GDP in a given year and divide it by the country's population.
  • Formula:
    \text{Real GDP per capita} = \frac{\text{Real GDP}}{\text{Population}}
  • Using real data (as an illustration):
    • Canada:
    • Real GDP ≈ 900{,}000{,}000{,}000
    • Population ≈ 35{,}000{,}000
    • Real GDP per capita ≈ \frac{900{,}000{,}000{,}000}{35{,}000{,}000} \approx 26{,}000 per person (about 26{,}000 per person).
    • Brazil:
    • Real GDP ≈ 950{,}000{,}000{,}000
    • Population ≈ 200{,}000{,}000
    • Real GDP per capita ≈ \frac{950{,}000{,}000{,}000}{200{,}000{,}000} \approx 4{,}750 per person.
  • From these numbers, we would expect standards of living to be much lower in Brazil than in Canada.

Canada Example

  • Real GDP: 9\times 10^{11} dollars (≈ 900{,}000{,}000{,}000)
  • Population: 3.5\times 10^{7} people (≈ 35{,}000{,}000)
  • Real GDP per capita: ≈ 2.6\times 10^{4} dollars per person (about 26{,}000)
  • Interpretation: Canada has a relatively high standard of living relative to many parts of the world.

Brazil Example

  • Real GDP: 9.5\times 10^{11} dollars (≈ 950{,}000{,}000{,}000)
  • Population: 2.0\times 10^{8} people (≈ 200{,}000{,}000)
  • Real GDP per capita: ≈ 4{,}750 dollars per person
  • Interpretation: Brazil is developing and growing quickly, but its standard of living is still well below Canada’s.

Limitations of Real GDP per Capita

  • It is an average, so it can mask disparities in the distribution of income within a country.
  • It is based on measuring expenditures in the marketplace, so it will understate incomes in countries that have a lot of non-market transactions.
  • Despite these faults, real GDP per capita still correlates highly with commonly used measures of well-being.

Non-Market Transactions and Income Distribution

  • Non-market transactions: activities not bought/sold in the marketplace (e.g., certain household work, informal economy).
  • When a large share of income is paid through non-market means or is distributed very unevenly, real GDP per capita may misrepresent the typical standard of living for an average person.
  • Distributional issues mean two countries with the same real GDP per capita could have very different living standards for many people.

Correlation with Well-Being Metrics and Real-World Relevance

  • Real GDP per capita still correlates highly with well-being indicators such as:
    • Literacy rates
    • Infant mortality rates
    • Life expectancy
  • This makes real GDP per capita a valuable tool in the economic toolkit for understanding the world we live in, even if it is imperfect.

Takeaway

  • Real GDP measures the total output and growth over time, but real GDP per capita provides a closer proxy for average living standards by accounting for population size.
  • Canada’s per-capita figure (~26{,}000) is higher than Brazil’s (~4{,}750), illustrating the gap in average living standards despite similar overall GDP magnitudes.
  • Use real GDP per capita as one of several tools to assess living standards, keeping in mind its limitations due to distribution, non-market activities, and other welfare indicators.