FSA ACCT 302

Course Logistics and Grading Breakdown

  • Grade Composition:     * Assignments: Account for 9%9\% of the total grade. Most have been submitted, and the remaining few will not significantly impact final standing.     * Major Components: The Disclosure Project, the Financial Statement Analysis (FSA) Project, and the Final Exam constitute the majority of the grade.     * Outstanding Grade: Approximately 27%27\% of the grade is currently pending.

  • Course Schedule and Deadlines:     * Tuesday: The last formal class period of the semester.     * Wednesday: Designated as a group workday; no formal class is held.     * Thursday: No class; dedicated day for students to complete projects.     * Friday: The class semester technically ends at 05:00 PM05:00\text{ PM}. The project is due at exactly 05:00 PM05:00\text{ PM} on this Friday.

Return on Equity (ROE): Basic and Additive Models (Caterpillar Example)

  • Basic ROE Formula and Calculation:     * Net Income=$6,705\text{Net Income} = \$6,705     * \text{Average Stockholders' Equity} = \frac{\16,024 + \text{Other Value}}{2} = \16,20416,204     * ROE=$6,705$16,204=41.38%\text{ROE} = \frac{\$6,705}{\$16,204} = 41.38\%     * Note: The ROE is typically much higher than the cost of equity capital.

  • The Additive (DuPont) Model:     * Formula: ROE=Net Profit Margin×Asset Turnover×Financial Leverage\text{ROE} = \text{Net Profit Margin} \times \text{Asset Turnover} \times \text{Financial Leverage}     * Net Profit Margin: Net Income/Total Revenue\text{Net Income} / \text{Total Revenue}. Total revenue includes sales (59,42759,427) plus other income (1,2911,291), totaling $60,718\$60,718.         * Net Profit Margin=0.1104\text{Net Profit Margin} = 0.1104     * Asset Turnover: Total Revenue/Average Assets\text{Total Revenue} / \text{Average Assets}.         * Average Assets=$82,368\text{Average Assets} = \$82,368         * Asset Turnover=0.7371\text{Asset Turnover} = 0.7371         * Manufacturing companies like Caterpillar often have lower asset turnovers because they are heavily invested in Property, Plant, and Equipment (PP\&E).     * Financial Leverage: Average Assets/Average Stockholders’ Equity\text{Average Assets} / \text{Average Stockholders' Equity}.         * Financial Leverage=5.083\text{Financial Leverage} = 5.083     * Final Calculation: 0.1104×0.7371×5.083=41.38%0.1104 \times 0.7371 \times 5.083 = 41.38\%

Classification of Liabilities

  • Interest-Bearing Liabilities (IBL): Debts that require interest payments. Keywords include "Borrowings," "Debt," and "Leases."     * Examples: Short-term borrowings, long-term debt, and liability for post-employment benefits.

  • Non-Interest-Bearing Liabilities (NIBL): Obligations that do not accrue interest.     * Examples: Accounts Payable (AP), accrued expenses (utilities), accrued wages/benefits, customer advances (deferred revenue), and dividends payable.     * Rule of Thumb: If the notes to the financial statements do not explicitly break down "Other Current Liabilities" into interest items, they must be assumed as NIBL.

  • Asset Equation for NIBL Calculation:     * To simplify calculations, use: Assets=IBL+NIBL+Stockholders’ Equity\text{Assets} = \text{IBL} + \text{NIBL} + \text{Stockholders' Equity}     * Example: $82,368=$42,289+X+$16,204\$82,368 = \$42,289 + X + \$16,204     * NIBL(X)=$23,875\text{NIBL} (X) = \$23,875

Financial Drivers and Ratios

  • Operating Cycle Metrics:     * Receivable Days=108.23\text{Receivable Days} = 108.23     * Inventory Days=133.77\text{Inventory Days} = 133.77     * Operating Cycle=Receivable Days+Inventory Days=242 days\text{Operating Cycle} = \text{Receivable Days} + \text{Inventory Days} = 242\text{ days}

  • Cash-to-Cash Cycle:     * AP Days=74.34\text{AP Days} = 74.34     * Cash-to-Cash Cycle=Operating Cycle−AP Days=167.66 days\text{Cash-to-Cash Cycle} = \text{Operating Cycle} - \text{AP Days} = 167.66\text{ days}     * This represents the time from paying for raw materials to collecting cash from sales, which is nearly half a year for Caterpillar.

  • Profitability Ratios:     * Gross Profit Margin=30.42%\text{Gross Profit Margin} = 30.42\%     * SG&A to Revenue=9.31%\text{SG\&A to Revenue} = 9.31\%     * R&D to Revenue=2.99%\text{R\&D to Revenue} = 2.99\%

  • Liquidity and Coverage Ratios:     * Interest Coverage Ratio=Interest Expense+Income TaxesInterest Expense=9.704\text{Interest Coverage Ratio} = \frac{\text{Interest Expense} + \text{Income Taxes}}{\text{Interest Expense}} = 9.704     * Current Ratio=Current AssetsCurrent Liabilities=1.39\text{Current Ratio} = \frac{\text{Current Assets}}{\text{Current Liabilities}} = 1.39         * A value of 1.391.39 is considered somewhat weak; a higher ratio is generally preferred for liquidity security.

Advanced Disaggregation Model: Operating vs. Non-Operating

  • This model (a version of the DuPont model) seeks to isolate the impact of debt and leverage on ROE.

  • Return on Assets (ROA): Calculate what ROE would be in the absence of debt.     * Operating Margin=12.58%\text{Operating Margin} = 12.58\%     * Asset Turnover (Adjusted)=1.016\text{Asset Turnover (Adjusted)} = 1.016     * ROA=12.78%\text{ROA} = 12.78\%

  • Spread: The difference between ROA and the after-tax cost of borrowing.     * Spread=ROA−(Interest Expense×(1−Tax Rate)Average Interest-Bearing Liabilities)\text{Spread} = \text{ROA} - \left( \frac{\text{Interest Expense} \times (1 - \text{Tax Rate})}{\text{Average Interest-Bearing Liabilities}} \right)     * Caterpillar's after-tax cost of borrowing is very low (≈1.22%\approx 1.22\%), leading to a high spread of 10.96%10.96\%.

  • Financial Leverage: Average Interest-Bearing Liabilities/Average Stockholders’ Equity\text{Average Interest-Bearing Liabilities} / \text{Average Stockholders' Equity}.     * Leverage=2.61\text{Leverage} = 2.61

  • Effective Leverage: Spread×Leverage=28.61%\text{Spread} \times \text{Leverage} = 28.61\%

  • Final ROE Reconciliation: ROE=ROA+Effective Leverage=12.78%+28.61%=41.38%\text{ROE} = \text{ROA} + \text{Effective Leverage} = 12.78\% + 28.61\% = 41.38\%

Adjusting for Transitory Items in FSA

  • Purpose: To normalize financial statements for future forecasting by removing "noise" from accounting choices or one-time events.

  • Discontinued Operations: Never use net income after discontinued operations. Use Income from Continuing Operations as it is more reflective of the future.

  • Transitory Items: One-time charges that do not represent ongoing business reality.     * Examples: Restructuring charges, purchasing in-process R\&D, impairment losses, and certain merger expenses.

  • Example: Goodwill Impairment Adjustment:     * Caterpillar recorded a goodwill impairment of $925 million\$925\text{ million}.     * This charge is added back to net income because it is non-recurring.     * Effective Tax Rate (ETR) Adjustment:         * Reported ETR is 23.6%23.6\%. However, if certain impairments are non-tax deductible, the ETR may be artificially inflated.         * If a non-deductible portion exists (e.g., 1.8%1.8\%), the adjusted ETR for forecasting should be 21.8%(23.6%−1.8%=21.8%)21.8\% (23.6\% - 1.8\% = 21.8\%).

  • Impact of Adjustments: Removing the goodwill impairment for Caterpillar changed the ROE from 41.38%41.38\% to an "ongoing operations" ROE of 46.06%46.06\%.

Questions & Discussion

  • Metaphor on Accounting vs. Science: The professor explained that engineers (common in the MBA program) often struggle with accounting because engineering is a "hard science" where formulas are absolute. Accounting is a "social science" where different companies report identical transactions in varied ways.

  • Excel Spreadsheets: For the project, students will use pre-formatted Excel spreadsheets to enter data from financial statements, which will automatically calculate averages and adjusted ROE.

  • Final Exam Preparation:     * Formula sheets are provided; memorization of formulas is not required.     * The exam will focus on reading and extracting numbers from approximately 66 to 1010 pages of financial statements and notes.     * Practice with the Caterpillar case and the provided cash flow statements is highly recommended.