The Global Economic Environment

The Global Economic Environment

Overview of the World Economy

  • Economic Integration:

    • Early 20th century: Economic integration was 10%.

    • Present day: Economic integration has increased to 50%.

  • Key Economic Partnerships:

    • European Union (EU) and North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), now referred to as the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), are significant examples of integrated economies.

  • Global Competition:

    • Global competitors have begun to displace or absorb local competitors in various markets.

Economic Systems

Considerations When Analyzing Economic Systems
  • Types of Economies:

    • Categories include advanced industrial states, emerging economies, transitioning economies, and developing nations.

  • Government Types:

    • Examples include monarchy, dictatorship, one-party systems, democracies, or states dominated by terrorism or other countries.

  • Trade and Capital Flows:

    • Analyze trade policy: Is it free trade or part of a trading bloc?

    • Consider any currency board or exchange controls affecting capital flows.

  • Ownership of Key Sectors:

    • Review who owns the commanding heights of the economy, specifically the transportation, communications, and energy sectors (state, private, or a mixed-ownership model).

Role of the State and Market in Economies
  • State Services:

    • Services provided or funded by the state include pensions, healthcare, and education.

  • Institutional Characteristics:

    • Is the country characterized by transparency, high standards, and an absence of corruption?

    • Or is it marked by a compromised court system and ignored standards?

  • Market Characteristics:

    • Are there opportunities for high-risk/high-reward entrepreneurial ventures?

    • Is the market socialized with government-dominated pricing and wage controls?

Economic Systems Diagram

  • Types of Economic Systems:

    • A diagram should illustrate the relationships between resource ownership, resource allocation in the following models:

    • Market Capitalism: Private resource ownership and market resource allocation.

    • Centrally Planned Capitalism: Command resource allocation within an environment of private resource ownership.

    • Centrally Planned Socialism: State owns resources and controls allocation entirely.

    • Market Socialism: Market allocation allowed alongside state ownership.

Detailing Economic Systems

Market Capitalism
  • Resource Allocation:

    • Individuals and firms allocate resources based on market demand.

  • Ownership:

    • Resources are privately owned.

  • Market Drive:

    • Driven by consumer demand and competition.

  • Government Role:

    • The government promotes competition and protects consumers.

Centrally Planned Socialism
  • Opposition to Market Capitalism:

    • Characterized by the state taking broad authoritative powers to serve the public interest, where the government decides what is produced and in what quantities.

  • Ownership:

    • The government owns entire industries and controls their distribution.

  • Market Dynamics:

    • Typically, demand exceeds supply, with little emphasis on product differentiation or innovative marketing strategies.

Centrally Planned Capitalism
  • Description:

    • A system where resource allocation is primarily through central command despite private ownership of resources.

Market Socialism
  • Description:

    • Policies allow market allocation of goods within a framework of state ownership.

    • Example:

    • Sweden: The government controls two-thirds of all spending, illustrating a blend of centrally planned socialism and market capitalism.

Stages of Market Development

  • World Bank Classification:

    • High-Income:

    • Upper Middle Income:

    • Lower Middle Income:

    • Low Income:

  • Measurement:

    • The World Bank categorizes economies based on Gross National Income (GNI).

Characteristics of Low-Income Countries

  • GNI per Capita: $1,005 or less.

  • Common Features:

    • Limited industrialization and a high percentage of the population engaged in farming.

    • High birth rates coupled with low literacy rates.

    • Heavy reliance on foreign aid and facing political instability.

    • Many are concentrated in the Sub-Saharan African region.

Misconceptions about Bottom of the Pyramid (BOP) Markets

  1. Supply of Money: There is a belief that the poor have no money.

  2. Consumer Behavior: The poor are too focused on basic needs to spend money on non-essentials.

  3. Market Viability: Entering BOP markets is often seen as unprofitable due to low price points.

  4. Technology Use: There is a misconception that individuals in BOP markets cannot utilize technology.

  5. Exploitation Accusations: Global companies are often criticized for allegedly exploiting the poor when attempting to enter these markets.

Characteristics of Lower-Middle-Income Countries

  • GNI per Capita: $1,006 to $3,955.

  • Features:

    • Rapidly expanding consumer markets, motivated labor force, and established labor-intensive industries like footwear and textiles.

    • The bottom 50 ranked countries are classified as Least Developed Countries (LDCs).

    • India is categorized as the only BRICS nation among these.

    • Emerging opportunities in countries like Tajikistan and Uzbekistan.

Characteristics of Upper-Middle-Income Countries

  • GNI per Capita: $3,956 to $12,235.

  • Common Traits:

    • Rapid industrialization with decreasing reliance on agricultural employment.

    • Increased rates of urbanization, rising wages, and high literacy and education levels.

    • Lower wage costs compared to developed countries.

    • Countries included in this classification are part of the BRICS group (Brazil, Russia, China, South Africa).

    • Example: Nestle's investment in Brazil, amounting to $83 billion for a plant and additional investment across the country.

Characteristics of High-Income Countries

  • GNI per Capita: $12,236 or more.

  • Alternate Labels: Also referred to as advanced, developed, industrialized, or post-industrial countries.

  • Economic Dynamics:

    • Characterized by sustained economic growth through disciplined innovation and high consumer ownership of essential services/products.

Economic Freedom Indicators

  • Ranking Categories:

    • Countries are rated as “free,” “mostly free,” “mostly unfree,” or “repressed.”

  • Variables for Evaluation:

    • Trade policies, taxation, capital flows, foreign investment, banking policies, wage, and price controls, as well as property rights and the black market.

2017 Economic Freedom Rankings

  • Free Countries:

    1. Hong Kong

    2. Singapore

    3. New Zealand

    4. Australia

    5. Switzerland

  • Mostly Free Countries:

    1. Estonia

    2. Canada

    3. United Arab Emirates

    4. Ireland

    5. Chile

    • United States ranking: 17.

  • Repressed Countries:

    1. Turkmenistan

    2. Djibouti

    3. Algeria

    4. Timor-Leste

    5. Equatorial Guinea

    6. Zimbabwe

    7. Eritrea

    8. Republic of Congo

    9. Cuba

    10. Venezuela

    11. North Korea

  • Unranked Countries:

    • Iraq, Libya, Liechtenstein, Somalia, Syria, Yemen.

Global Economic Groups

G-7 (Group of Seven)
  • Membership:

    • U.S., Japan, Germany, France, Britain, Canada, and Italy.

    • Goal: Achieve global economic stability and prosperity.

    • Russia was included from 1998, altering it to G-8, but was suspended from membership in 2014 following the annexation of Crimea.

G-20 (Group of Twenty)
  • Formation: Established in 1999.

  • Composition:

    • Features finance ministers and central bank governors from 19 countries and the European Union.

    • Noteworthy for including developing countries such as Argentina, Brazil, India, Indonesia, and Turkey.

    • Russia remains part of this group despite its suspension from G-7.

OECD (Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development)
  • Composition:

    • Consists of 35 nations; origins trace back to post-World War II Europe (Paris-based).

    • Notable members include Canada, U.S. (joined in 1961), and Japan (joined in 1964).

  • Objectives:

    • Promote economic growth and social well-being, focusing on world trade and addressing global economic issues, including labor market deregulation and anti-bribery conventions.