CMOs, CMBS, and Investment Portfolio Fundamentals
CMO vs. Pass-Through Mortgage-Backed Security
- CMO (Collateralized Mortgage Obligation):
- A tranche-based, sliced-up mortgage-backed security.
- Offers varied cash flow profiles to suit different needs.
- Pass-Through Mortgage-Backed Security:
- Example: 20-year Freddie Mac (FRLMC) with a 2.5% coupon.
- Weighted Average Maturity (WAM) decreases as the loan ages (inverse relationship).
- Seasoning: How long the security has been outstanding. A shorter seasoning means a newer issue.
- Price volatility is a measure of convexity and duration, estimating price changes with rate fluctuations.
Example Comparison
- Pass-Through Security:
- Yield: 3.55% (in an unchanged rate environment when the bond was a couple of years old).
- Dollar Price: Approximately 94 and 20/32.
- Price Volatility: -15%.
- CMO (made from the above pass-through):
- Lower price volatility (e.g., 5% lower).
- Slightly lower yield.
- Shorter average life.
Utility Of CMOs
- CMOs offer more options by slicing up mortgage-backed securities.
- Enable creation of shorter, more stable securities from longer-term mortgages.
- Can strip coupons to lower the dollar price.
- Offers diversification, range of coupons, and matches ALM (Asset Liability Management), liquidity, and portfolio needs.
Prepayment Rate
- CPR (Constant Prepayment Rate):
- An annualized representation of prepayments, indicating the percentage of unscheduled principal returned annually.
- Example: 9% CPR means 9% of the principal is projected to be paid back unscheduled each year.
- CPR increases (e.g., from 9% to 19%) when rates fall due to more refinance activity.
Risk vs. Reward Scenario
- A pass-through security might yield more (e.g., 3.55%) but carries more interest rate risk and a longer average life compared to a CMO.
- Example average life: Pass-through security at 6.29 years (at 9 CPR).
- A CMO might have a shorter average life (e.g., 3 years) but offers 40 basis points less yield.
Portfolio Context
- Individual bond analysis is important, but consider the entire portfolio.
- If a portfolio contains mostly low-risk, low-average-life bonds and there's an anticipated rate drop, longer-duration bonds might be added to hedge the risk.
- Conversely, if a portfolio has high price volatility bonds, shorter, more stable bonds might be added.
- Balance sheet context: Lending portfolio, deposit portfolio, and liquidity needs should all be considered.
Prepayment Expectations
- Every loan or bond purchase is a calculated bet.
- Stability in different rate scenarios affects this.
- Example: A bond with less projected prepayment offers stability.
--- ## Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS)
Key Considerations
- Agency Space:
- Focus on Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, or Ginnie Mae for protection and lack of credit risk.
- Collateral:
- Backed by multifamily loans (apartment complexes).
- Call Protection:
- Prioritize securities with prepayment and call protection.
- Mechanisms: Prepayment penalties, defeasance, or yield maintenance.
Structure
- Common structure: Fixed-rate, 10-year final maturity with 9.5 years of call protection (10-9.5 structure).
- Some structures have varying call protection periods (e.g., 10-7 structure).
Agency Products
- Fannie Mae DUS (Delegated Underwriting Service).
- Freddie Mac K Series (structured like CMOs with tranches).
- Ginnie Mae Project Loans and REMICs.
Yield Maintenance
- If a borrower voluntarily prepays during the prepayment penalty period, they must pay a yield maintenance fee.
- This fee compensates investors and can increase if rates fall below the note rate.
Cash Flow Example
- Fannie Mae DUS Bond (New Construction Apartment Complex):
- Initial interest-only period.
- Amortization begins afterward.
- May be set on a 20-25 year amortization schedule.
- Zero CPY Assumption:
- If the bond is not prepaid, the investor receives the remaining principal at the final balloon maturity.
- CPY (Constant Prepayment Yield) Assumption:
- Assumes prepayment occurs as soon as the prepayment penalty drops.
Portfolio Fit
- Different CMBS bonds can cater to various portfolio needs.
- A bond with concentrated cash flows might be suitable if there is a specific cash flow gap to fill in the portfolio.
- Spreads: CMBS may offer better spreads compared to agency or treasury securities.
--- ## Accounting Standards for Securities
Classifications
- Held to Maturity (HTM):
- Positive intent and ability to hold until maturity.
- Available for Sale (AFS):
- Default category; flexibility to buy, hold, or sell.
- Trading:
- Bought to sell quickly, aiming for short-term gains.
Usage
- Community banks typically have ~85% AFS and ~15% HTM.
- Trading is less common in community banking.
Balance Sheet Impact
- Trading: Unrealized gains/losses are marked to market through current income.
- HTM: Held at cost or book value; unrealized gains/losses are not marked to market on financial statements.
- AFS: Unrealized gains/losses are included in accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI), impacting equity capital.
- Large unrealized losses can negatively impact total or tangible equity capital.
Designations and Transfers
- Each bond is individually designated as AFS or HTM upon purchase.
- Tainting: Selling an HTM bond before maturity can taint the entire portfolio, requiring the rest of HTM bonds to be transferred to AFS.
- Transferring from AFS to HTM locks in the unrealized loss at the transfer date, which is then amortized over the remaining life of the security.
Call Report Disclosures
- Fair value and amortized cost are still reported on Schedule RCD for HTM securities, even though unrealized gains/losses are not recognized in tangible/total equity capital.
Final Question
- Available for sale securities are held on the bank’s books at what value?
- Answer: Market or fair value