CEE QUIZ 2

CEE 307 ENGINEERING ECONOMICS

Evaluation Methods for Proposed Capital Projects

  • Proposed projects can be evaluated using several financial metrics:

    • Present worth (PW)

    • Future worth (FW)

    • Annual worth (AW)

    • Internal rate of return (IRR)

    • External rate of return (ERR)

    • Payback period (generally not appropriate as a primary decision rule)

    • Benefit–Cost ratio method

Minimum Attractive Rate of Return (MARR)

  • To be considered attractive, a capital project must provide a return that exceeds a minimum level established by the organization.

  • MARR reflects this minimum level.

  • Definition: MARR is an interest rate that one is willing to accept, or the rate one desires to earn on investments.

  • It determines when the rate-of-return on an investment equals the benefits and costs.

Determination of MARR

  • MARR is determined based on various factors, including:

    • Amount, source, and cost of money available

    • Number and purpose of good projects available

    • Perceived risk of investment opportunities

    • Type of organization

Decision Making: Comparing Alternatives

  • Making decisions involves examining feasible design alternatives, focusing on mutually exclusive alternatives where the selection of one excludes the others.

Mutually Exclusive Alternatives (MEAs)

  • Under economic considerations, alternatives can have different initial investments with varying annual revenues and costs, yet must provide comparable usefulness in performance and quality.

  • Basic methods from Chapter 5 provide the foundation for economic comparison of alternatives.

Types of Alternatives

  1. Investment Alternatives

    • These require an initial capital investment that generates positive cash flows from increased revenue or cost savings.

    • The present worth of all cash flows must be positive at the MARR to be considered attractive.

    • Choose the alternative with the largest PW.

  2. Cost Alternatives

    • These alternatives typically involve all negative cash flows with a possible positive cash flow from asset disposal at the end of the project's life.

    • The PW of all cash flows will be negative, and the alternative with the smallest absolute PW should be chosen.

Present Worth (PW) Method

  • The present worth is commonly found by discounting all cash inflows and outflows to the present using an interest rate typically set as the MARR.

Present Worth of $1,000
  • Cash received at the end of year k at an interest rate of i% per year can be represented mathematically:
    PW=rac1,000(1+i)kPW = rac{1,000}{(1+i)^k}

  • The effects of MARR values on future cash flows include:

    • Higher MARR reduces future cash flow value.

    • Lower MARR increases future cash flow value.

Present Worth Analysis

  • To evaluate and compare mutually exclusive alternatives, the net present worth (NPW) of life-cycle cash flows is computed using:
    NetextPW=PW(Revenues)PW(Costs)Net ext{ }PW = PW(Revenues) - PW(Costs)

  • Cash flows incorporate all lifecycle revenues and costs.

Interpretation of Net PW
  • Zero Net PW: Alternative is as good as “do nothing”; rate-of-return equals MARR.

  • Positive Net PW: Indicates an economical alternative, better than “do nothing” and exceeds MARR.

  • Negative Net PW: Indicates the alternative is not economical and falls below MARR.

Assumptions of the PW Method

  1. Certainty about future cash flows.

  2. Ability to borrow and lend money at the same interest rate—idealized “perfect capital markets” (no taxes/commissions).

Present Worth Example 1

  • Scenario: Initial investment of $50,000 returning $18,000 annually for 4 years at MARR of 12%.

    • Calculation:
      NetextPW=PW(Revenues)PW(Costs)Net ext{ }PW = PW(Revenues) - PW(Costs)
      PW=18,000(P/A,12PW = 18,000 (P/A, 12%, 4) - 50,000
      PW=54,671.450,000=4,671.40PW = 54,671.4 - 50,000 = 4,671.40

    • Conclusion: This investment is good!

Comparing Alternatives - PW Analysis

  • Highest net PW for investment alternatives is preferred.

  • Lowest PW of costs for cost alternatives is preferred.

  • All alternatives must be assessed within the same analysis period.

Present Worth Example 2 - Investment Alternative

  • Choosing between two investments (A & B) with their respective cash flows.

    • MARR of 10% applied.

    • Calculations yield respective PW values revealing that Alternative B is economically superior despite both being attractive.

Present Worth Example 3 - Cost Alternative

  • Analysis with MARR of 12% compares costs of two alternatives (C & D).

    • Results indicate Alternative D is preferred due to its lesser negative PW.

Cash-Flow Diagrams

  • Necessary for visual comparison of cash flows from alternatives, emphasizing their differences.

Fundraising Example

  • Discussion of how to determine necessary funds for an endowment that covers scholarships and awards using the capitalized worth method.

Capitalized Worth (CW)

  • CW: A variation of present worth, representing the present worth of all revenues or expenses over a perpetual period.

  • Useful for endowments and public projects with indefinite lifetimes.

Summary of PW Method

  • Analysis is predicated on the MARR.

  • Alternatives with higher net PWs are preferred.

  • The choice of preferred alternatives is contingent upon the MARR value and must utilize the same analysis period for accurate comparison.