Monetary Policy Notes

Monetary Policy

2.1 Interest Rate Rules, Taylor Principle, Yield Curve

2.2 Transmission Mechanism, QE, QT

  • Interest Rate Rules

  • Taylor Principle

  • Yield Curve

  • Transmission Mechanism

  • QE (Quantitative Easing)

  • QT (Quantitative Tightening)

The Transmission Mechanism

  • Conventional monetary policy's transmission mechanism involves the lag in transmitting a policy rate change to the real economy, particularly the response of investment.

  • Carlin and Soskice diagram illustrates the transmission mechanism of monetary policy (based on earlier BoE work).

  • Unconventional monetary policy (QE) has a markedly different transmission mechanism than conventional monetary policy.

  • The Bank of England (BoE) has provided schema expressing the latest thinking, similar to versions presented in Carlin and Soskice.

The Conventional Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism

  • The transmission mechanism of conventional monetary policy describes how a change in the policy rate influences the real economy and prices through various channels.

    Source: Mann (2023), “Expectations, lags, and the transmission of monetary policy”.

  • Chart 1 shows a stylised representation of the main channels through which monetary policymakers expect changes in policy rates to transmit through the economy.

  • The effectiveness of monetary policy is influenced by the functioning of these individual channels and the interactions between them.

Conventional Monetary Policy and Aggregate Demand

  • Conventional monetary policy affects aggregate demand using the policy rate, operating through four main channels:

    • Market Rates: ii \downarrow (interest rate decreases) leads to more desirable borrowing, less saving, resulting in ADAD \uparrow (aggregate demand increases).

    • Asset Prices: ii \downarrow leads to asset price increases, boosting household wealth, which increases consumption CC \uparrow (via Permanent Income Hypothesis - PIH).

    • Expectations/Confidence: ii \downarrow might indicate central bank commitment to an accommodative policy stance, leading to ADAD \uparrow.

    • Exchange Rate Channel: ii \downarrow leads to ee \uparrow (nominal exchange rate increases), resulting in QQ \uparrow (real exchange rate increases), boosting net exports (XM)(X - M) \uparrow, and ADAD \uparrow.

  • Here: PIH stands for “Permanent Income Hypothesis”, e is nominal exchange rate; Q is real exchange rate, X is exports and M is imports

Quantitative Easing (QE)

  • Quantitative easing (QE) is an unconventional monetary policy where the central bank purchases government bonds or other financial assets (e.g., corporate bonds) outright.

  • These purchases can involve existing or newly-issued bonds.

  • In the UK, QE involved buying existing bonds.

  • Bonds can be bought at any point on the maturity spectrum.

  • QE bond purchases are funded by creating reserves at the central bank.

QE Methods

  • During QE, the BoE created central bank money ('reserves') to buy UK government debt ('gilts') and eligible corporate bonds from private investors in 'secondary markets'.

  • These assets are held in the Asset Purchase Facility (APF).

UK Government Bonds (Gilts)

  • Bonds are IOUs that pay interest as a percentage of the fixed face value.

  • Example: 4.25% Treasury Gilt 2027 (UKT 4.25% 12/07/27; LSE: TR27).

  • The market price is quoted in terms of price per £100 face value.

  • The coupon rate (e.g., 4.25%) reflects the market interest rate at the time of issue.

  • Holding bonds with a face value of £100 gains a fixed payment of £4.25 per year, paid semi-annually.

  • The maturity date (e.g., 12 July 2027) is when £100 is received for each £100 nominal.

  • Gilt prices are quoted per £100 face value but can be traded in units as small as 1 penny.

Central Bank (CB) Transactions with Gilts

  • Open Market Operations (OMOs): The BoE buys UK government bonds (gilts) from eligible counterparties via reverse repos in exchange for reserves.

  • BoE Operational Standing Facilities (OSFs): Allow counterparties to deposit or borrow reserves directly from the BoE to ensure gilt market functioning/liquidity.

    • Example spreads: Bank Rate 4.75%, borrowing through OSF lending 5.00%, placing reserves with BoE through OSF deposits: 4.50%.

  • QE: The BoE’s subsidiary, the Asset Purchase Facility (APF), bought bonds, indemnified by HMT (Her Majesty's Treasury). HMT receives APF profits and covers APF losses.

  • Difference between OMO and QE gilt purchases:

    • OMO: Gilt purchases adjust the quantity of reserves to target an ideal policy rate.

    • QE: Gilt purchases influence long-term interest rates.

An Increase in Reserves

  • An increase in reserves is a by-product of QE, not an aim or a transmission channel

  • QE Leads to:

    • An increase in the monetary base: the central bank creates money to purchase the assets, in the form of reserves, which are money held by commercial banks in accounts at the central bank.

      • Reserves are part of the monetary base.

    • Reserves are not included in the broad money measure as that is designed to capture money available for spending (broad money is cash, deposit accounts).

    • Central bank money is created only in the process of buying – and therefore removing – an asset from the private sector (usually government bonds). It’s not a transfer of wealth – it’s an asset swap. As far as the private sector is concerned, QE simply replaces one interest-bearing claim on the public sector (gilts) with another (central bank reserves).

The Primary Policy Aim of QE

  • The primary policy aim of QE is to reduce yields, not create money.

  • QE affects the economy only to the extent it affects interest rates. There is no separate ‘money’ channel that can unleash inflation.

  • In a system where the Bank pays interest on reserves and where reserves are one of many liquid assets held by commercial banks, the quantity of reserves is completely incidental to how the policy works, its aims, or its success.

  • It’s only by changing interest rates and asset prices that monetary policy, including so-called ‘unconventional’ policy, can work. These prices are in some sense a ‘sufficient statistic’ for what policy does. Other indicators (including, say, monetary aggregates) wouldn’t give you any additional information about its impact.

QE Aims

  • The aim of QE was to lower the effective interest rates or ‘yields’ on those assets.

  • The ultimate aim of QE was to make it cheaper for households and businesses to borrow money, to encourage spending.

UK Monetary Policy Objective

  • The UK government has set the central bank the monetary policy objective of maintaining price stability (currently specified as a 2% inflation target), and, subject to that, supporting the Government’s economic policy, including its objectives on growth and employment.

  • The MPC of the BoE implements monetary policy by:

    • setting Bank Rate which is applied to reserves balances held with us by eligible financial firms. This helps to ensure it is passed through to households and businesses.

    • using QE: asset purchases, which can then be unwound (quantitative tightening, QT).

UK Timeline: QE, Conventional, and Other Unconventional Monetary Policy Measures

  • QE started in March 2009. The November 2020 QE5 tranche took the total quantity of QE purchases made during QE1-QE5 to £895 billion.

  • Driven primarily by QE, the total stock of reserves increased to a peak of £978 billion in January 2022.

  • QE purchases were undertaken in a series of “reverse auctions” in which the Bank offered to buy given amounts of bonds at various maturities. QE5 was completed with the reverse auction of 15 December 2021.

UK QE and QT: Asset Holdings, Stock of Reserves

  • Bank of England Market Operations Guide: Our objectives (How we use the assets and liabilities on our balance sheet to achieve our mission), Chart 1

Non-QE ‘Unconventional’ Policy Measures

  • Funding Schemes:

    • The Funding for Lending Scheme, the Term Funding Scheme, and the Term Funding Scheme (SMEs) offered Bank of England funds at rates at or close to Bank Rate to commercial banks who committed to lend to firms or households.

    • The Bank regards them as “schemes to improve the monetary transmission mechanism. SMEs (small and medium-sized enterprises) were targeted in the third scheme because they “typically bear the brunt of contractions in the supply of credit during periods of heightened risk aversion and economic downturns”.

    • There is some evidence that similar ECB funding schemes significantly stimulated bank lending whereas there is a lack of evidence of QE’s impact on bank lending.

  • Forward Guidance:

    • A March 2022 speech by Ben Broadbent, BoE Deputy Governor (Monetary Policy), explains that in practice forward guidance took the form of central bank statements about the future path of interest rates (ideally conditional “if .. then” statements, but often interpreted as unconditional), designed to guide or correct market and public expectations, which can reduce interest rate shocks and macroeconomic volatility, and can tie the policymaker’s hands, thus alleviating the time-inconsistency problem.

How does QE work?

  • Intuitive explanation

  • QE neutrality: why QE should not work

  • The theory behind the intuitive explanation

  • Portfolio rebalancing channel

  • Preferred habitat investors

  • Local supply channel

  • Duration channel

  • The QE transmission mechanism’s other explanations

How does QE work? ‘Intuitive’ explanation

‘Intuitive’ explanation

  • QE involves buying bonds to push up their prices and bring down long-term interest rates. In turn, that increases how much people spend overall which puts upward pressure on the prices of goods and services.*
    Asset purchases may signal that the Bank will keep its policy rate low for a long time. This should reduce long-term interest rates in the economy by lowering expected future rates.

How does QE work?

  1. QE reduces effective interest rates or ‘yields’:

    • The BoE bought UK government bonds and corporate bonds from investors such as asset managers.

    • The decrease in bond supply would tend to push up bond prices compared to the coupon. If the price of a bond goes up, compared with its coupon, the rate of return on the bond, or ‘yield’, goes down.

      Example:

      • Suppose a bond price is £100 and its coupon is £5 per year: the interest rate (current yield) on that bond is 5%. If the bond price increases to £120, then the £5 coupon payment now represents a yield of 5 as a percentage of 120, which is 4.2%.

    • Bond prices and yields are inversely related.

  2. QE aims to make it cheaper for households and businesses to borrow money, and encourage spending:

    • QE was expected to lead to a fall in interest rates on bank loans:

      • Interest rates on government bonds act as a ‘benchmark’ for other interest rates in the economy: there is some signalling effect of a reduction in gilt yields.

      • A decline in returns on financial assets makes a given expected return on bank lending to firms relatively attractive.

      • Money market interest rate declines increase expected corporate profitability (since higher growth is expected). This should stimulate bank lending to firms.

    • In addition, QE might have a wealth effect since it raises a wide range of financial asset prices, and that increase in wealth should stimulate spending.

More on QE Working

  • QE is only used when there is no further scope to use conventional monetary policy – policy rate reductions – to counter an adverse economic shock

  • QE is used when short-term interest rates are at the zero lower bound

  • Because short-term rates cannot go lower, QE purchases focused on longer-maturity government securities

  • The aim was to reduce longer-term interest rates

  • QE would therefore alter the slope and shape of the yield curve

  • QE could not change the short end of the yield curve: yields were already at their lowest possible level (no institution would trade those bonds at a lower yield)

  • QE therefore aimed to raise the price and reduce the yield of bonds with longer maturity

  • If effective, those QE bond purchases would pivot the yield curve

Stylised impacts on the yield curve of QE and expansionary conventional monetary policy

Yield curve: Relationship between nominal interest rate (yield to maturity) and time to maturity

  • i<em>S=i</em>S=0i<em>S' = i</em>S'' = 0 represents the zero (or effective) lower bound to nominal interest rates

Policy interventions and the yield curve

  • Panel a: Simplified yield curve (YC)

    • 2 types of bonds: short term (S) and long term (L), with interest rates i<em>Si<em>S and i</em>Li</em>L.

    • Note: For yield curve analysis, i<em>Si<em>S refers to short-term interest rate (elsewhere, i</em>Si</em>S refers to the stabilising interest rate)

    • YC is drawn upward-sloping.

    • In general, a positive slope will arise reflecting a higher risk premium from holding a bond over the longer term due to uncertainty (‘term premium’). The slope of the curve is usually dominated by future interest rate expectations.

  • Panel b: Conventional monetary policy

    • Central bank cuts interest rates in response to a negative AD shock.

    • YC shifts down, but the spread between i<em>Si<em>S and i</em>Li</em>L stays the same.

    • Even if i<em>Si<em>S = 0 (or slightly negative), i</em>Li</em>L might still be too high to stabilise the economy.

    • The zero (or effective) lower bound has been reached.

    • The level of iLi_L is economically important because bank lending to the private sector is longer-term.

  • Panel c: Quantitative Easing

    • YCʹ pivots down to YCʹʹ, and i<em>Li<em>L is reduced to i</em>Li</em>L^{''}.

    • QE can stimulate the economy to the extent that a lower iLi_L boosts consumption and investment.

QE Neutrality

  • The idea that QE should have any impact on the yield curve can be contested

  • Under the core assumptionsǂ of finance textbooks, QE bond purchases would not affect yields at all (so QE would have no effect on the yield curve: the yield curve would not pivot clockwise)

    • ǂ The assumptions include:

      • no frictions (including that investors do not have preferred habitats)

      • no credit or liquidity risk

      • These imply: Assets are valued only for their pecuniary returns.

      • All investors can purchase arbitrary quantities of the same assets at the same (market) prices

  • This is the QE neutrality result

More of QE Neutrality

  • Under those assumptions:

    • Investors are equally happy to hold assets of any maturity; the value of an asset lies only in its return; assets’ prices simply reflect their return; there is no desired feature beyond return; non-pecuniary features of assets do not influence preferences.

    • When the central bank buys government bonds with reserves, it is only exchanging one type of interest-bearing government liability for another. Investors are equally content to hold either form of asset: bond purchase prices under QE fully reflect the returns on bonds and reserves, which is the only feature that matters to investors.

    • Investors would be equally happy to hold reserves, short-term bonds and long-term bonds.

  • Bond yields will simply equal the average of current and expected future short-term interest rates.

  • The bond-supply-reducing effect of QE purchases would have no role in affecting asset prices, so no effect on yields and no impact on the yield curve.

  • The increase in reserves is regarded as an equivalent replacement of those bonds.

  • So QE should have no impact on the yield curve … unless the extent of QE signals future interest rates.
    Claim: QE would have no independent role (beyond signalling future interest rates).

Numerical example of bond yield based on future interest rates:

  • Recall that when discussing the yield curve we showed the case of a 5-year bond yield i5ti_{5t} being related to current and expected future 1-year interest rates:

    • Total return over 5 years = (1+i<em>1t)(1+i</em>1t+1E)(1+i<em>1t+2E)(1+i</em>1t+3E)(1+i<em>1t+4E)=(1+i</em>5t)5(1 + i<em>{1t})(1 + i</em>{1t+1}^E)(1 + i<em>{1t+2}^E)(1 + i</em>{1t+3}^E)(1 + i<em>{1t+4}^E) = (1 + i</em>{5t})^5

    • where i5ti_{5t} is the yield on a 5-year bond.

    • Numerical subscripts indicate the maturity of the bond, i<em>1i<em>1 being a 1-period bond and i</em>5i</em>5 a 5-year bond. Superscript E is an expectations operator, reflecting the fact that the future interest rates are not known for certain. Time subscripts (tt, t+1t + 1, etc) indicate the time of purchase of the bond.

Stylised QE Transmission Mechanism

  • Source: Busetto, Filippo, Matthieu Chavaz, Maren Froemel, Michael Joyce, Iryna Kaminska and Jack Worlidge (2022), “QE at the Bank of England: a perspective on its functioning and effectiveness”, Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Q1 (May)

QE Transmission

  • QE is intended to lower longer-term borrowing costs for firms and consumers.

  • There are several potential transmission channels through which it is thought this might happen.

  • Research has identified several types of transmission channel for QE:

    • the portfolio rebalancing channel

    • signalling (signalling future conventional monetary policy stance: interest rates)

    • grouped here, since these are similar: liquidity, market functioning and uncertainty

    • (possibly, though the role is less certain: bank lending)

Summary of How QE Transmission Channels Might Work:

  • portfolio rebalancing:

    • money from bonds sold to the CB can be used to buy other financial assets, which lowers yield and boosts demand

  • liquidity, market functioning, uncertainty, confidence:

    • directly affect asset prices and/or the ability of financial markets to operate (which impacts the real economy); encourages trading and boosts liquidity during distress

  • signalling:

    • QE shows commitment to i=0i = 0, helping to anchor πeπ_e and helping prevent a deflation trap

Portfolio Rebalancing Theory

  • The intuitive explanation set out earlier corresponds to ‘portfolio rebalancing’ theory

  • Portfolio rebalancing is a channel of the QE transmission mechanism often highlighted by the Bank of England

  • To understand the portfolio rebalancing channel, we need to understand how it explains why – contrary to QE neutrality – QE might lead to bond price rises and yield reductions.

  • In what ways are the strict assumptions underlying QE neutrality violated?

  • In what ways are markets imperfect?

  • We now explain (portfolio reallocation and) portfolio rebalancing while describing the imperfections, so the process and the role of the imperfections is clear:

Assumptions

  • The QE neutrality result breaks down in the presence of certain kinds of friction (imperfection) in the market or in information.

  • One such imperfection arises if there are some investors who have preferred habitats.

  • We know that QE involves portfolio reallocation: investors swap bonds for interest-bearing reserves.

  • That portfolio reallocation will only have an impact if markets are not perfectly efficient – in particular, if “some investors do not view the bank deposits they receive in exchange for bonds as a perfect substitute” (Busetto et al (2022), Box A section 2).

  • Investors with preferred habitats do not regard all assets as equal. For example, they may have a preference for bonds of a particular maturity, because that asset maturity matches the duration of their liabilities.

  • As we explain after examining empirical evidence on whether preferred habitat investors exist, this imperfection means that changes in the relative quantity of different assets can affect yields: QE would not be neutral.

Preferred Habitats

  • Gliese et al (2024) shows that there is investors with a preferred duration habitat exists in the UK government bond market

  • They identified investor groups each with different habitats throughout the term structure.

    • Foreign central banks are present at the shorter end of the yield curve, largely targeting duration habitats of 5 years or less

    • Domestic banks are also concentrated at the shorter end of the yield curve

    • Pension funds tend to target duration habitats of 15 years or greater

    • Insurance companies sit somewhere between those two

  • These preferred habitat investors, who often hold the vast majority of the stock of gilts, are less price-sensitive than other investors.

  • The tighter the habitat preference of the investor group, the less sensitive they are to changes in the relative cost of a bond (increasingly inelastic demand).

Portfolio Rebalancing

  • Portfolio rebalancing is a switch of investors’ funds into other types of assets.

  • We will discuss two particular routes through which portfolio rebalancing and the presence of preferred habitat investors can lead to QE having impacts on yields and the wider economy:

    • local supply channel

    • duration channel

Local Supply Effect

  • If investors are not indifferent to the type of assets they hold:

    • QE can reduce the yield and raise the price of (a) purchased bonds and (b) close substitutes, because preferred habitat investors

      • are content to continue holding remaining lower-yielding bonds: preferred habitat investors place value in holding bonds of a particular maturity, even though their yield has declined. E.g. pension funds have an inelastic demand for safe assets of certain maturities.

      • will sell bonds via QE and use reserves to purchase other assets. The shift in demand towards other assets will raise those assets’ prices rise and reduce their yields. In this way, the interest rate reduction can spread beyond the purchased gilts to a spectrum of other assets. If investors have preferred habitats, the impact will be larger on closer substitutes.

    • This is the local supply channel, part of the portfolio rebalancing channel.

Duration Effect

  • QE purchases reduced the supply of longer-dated assets …

  • … skewing investors’ portfolios towards shorter-dated assets which have lower duration risk.

  • The duration of an asset is defined as its sensitivity to interest rate changes: shorter duration bonds are less sensitive to changing rates.

  • Overall expected returns and spending should rise.

  • This is known as the duration channel of QE, and falls within the broad portfolio rebalancing channel.

QE Shortens Maturity of Available Gilts

  • QE purchases of longer maturity gilts reduced the average maturity of the remaining free float (yellow line). “All gilts” includes APF holdings.

Duration of a Bond

  • Duration is a measure of the sensitivity of the price of a bond or other debt instrument to a change in interest rates.

  • In general, the higher the duration, the more a bond’s price will drop as interest rates rise, and the higher the interest rate risk.

  • Various different formulae can be used to calculate duration. In all cases, duration depends positively on maturity and negatively on the coupon rate of the bond.

  • Time to maturity: The longer the maturity, the higher the duration. Consider two bonds that each yield 5% and cost £1,000, but have different maturities (5 vs 10 years). The 5-year bond matures faster and will repay the investment sooner the 10-year bond. Consequently, the shorter-maturity bond has a lower duration and less interest rate risk.

  • Coupon rate: Consider two bonds identical apart from coupon rate (5% vs 10%).The bond with the higher coupon rate will pay back the original investment faster than the lower-coupon bond. The higher the coupon rate, the lower the duration, and the lower the interest rate risk.

More on Portfolio Rebalancing

  • The portfolio rebalancing channel requires that other market participants cannot, or do not, act to ‘undo’ the effects.

  • It “rests on the idea of limits to arbitrage” (Tenreyro, 2023)

  • In the absence of frictions (imperfections) there would be an incentive to act in a way that unwinds the effects because the portfolio rebalancing channel entails differential treatment of some assets by (some) investors. In particular, assets held by preferred habitat investors will have relatively high prices. There will be potential arbitrage opportunities across government bonds and between gilts and other assets.

  • Why might arbitrage opportunities not be exploited?

    • Risk aversion

    • Financial constraints

Evidence of a Portfolio Rebalancing Channel?

  • If the reduction of gilt supply under QE lowers yields through the portfolio rebalancing channel, there should be larger falls in yields of bonds (announced to be) purchased, and their close substitutes.

  • Empirical work by Froemel, Joyce and Kaminska (2022) confirms the importance of local supply effects: there were larger falls in the yields of gilts that are more likely to be purchased by the Bank, or that could be seen as substitutes.

  • However, later rounds of QE indicate that yields responded to factors other than the reduced supply of particular bonds.

Signalling Channel

The general idea of the signalling channel is as follows:

  • Asset purchases may signal that the Bank will keep its policy rate low for a long time. This should reduce long-term interest rates in the economy by lowering expected future rates.

  • Consider i<em>5t=f(i</em>1t,i<em>1t+1E,i</em>1t+2E,i<em>1t+3E,i</em>1t+4E)i<em>{5t} = f(i</em>{1t}, i<em>{1t+1}^E, i</em>{1t+2}^E, i<em>{1t+3}^E, i</em>{1t+4}^E) where i5ti_{5t} is the yield on a 5−year bond.

  • QE should lower any or all of i<em>1t+1E,i</em>1t+2E,i<em>1t+3E,i</em>1t+4E<br>ewlinei<em>{1t+1}^E, i</em>{1t+2}^E, i<em>{1t+3}^E, i</em>{1t+4}^E <br>ewline which will lower i5ti_{5t}
    The signalling channel incorporates two separate mechanisms:

  1. QE purchases provide a commitment to keep rates low for longer

  2. QE can help convey news about the state of the economy or communicate the central bank’s reaction function:

QE as a commitment device

  1. QE purchases provide a commitment to keep rates low for longer

    • Why should asset purchases provide any more commitment than forward guidance (a simple promise, or announcement, that the policy rate will be held low for longer)?

    • QE would need to make it more costly for the central bank to raise rates once inflation rises above target.

    • These costs would need to be sufficient to prevent the Bank acting then, even if at that point it was in the Bank’s interest to raise rates (the costs need to solve the time inconsistency problem).

More on the QE Commitment Device

  • Do QE balance-sheet changes provide a commitment device?

  • If a central bank holds many long-term government bonds because of QE, raising rates would generate balance sheet losses (yields up, prices down).

  • Perhaps QE leads a central bank to want to delay rate rises to avoid losses – so QE could act as a commitment device.

  • If so, announcing QE could reduce future interest rate expectations and long-term interest rates.

  • But in the UK, HMT has indemnified the central bank against balance sheet losses. This is also true for many other countries. Monetary policymakers therefore have no incentive to care about balance sheet losses, so QE would not be an effective commitment device for an independent central bank.

  • “QE is unlikely to commit central banks to any particular path for the short-term rate, at least not any more than forward guidance could” (Tenreyro, 2023)

QE Conveys Information

  1. QE purchases provide a commitment to keep rates low for longer

  2. QE can help convey news about the state of the economy or communicate the central bank’s reaction function

    • It is plausible that QE might help

    • signal the Bank’s private news about the state of the economy

    • reveal the central bank’s reaction function at the effective lower bound

  • However,

    • It is not clear whether this signalling impact operated in practice

    • If this signalling impact did operate, it is not clear whether it can account for the sometimes large observed changes in yields.

Liquidity, Market Functioning, and Uncertainty Channels

  • Liquidity (related to market functioning and uncertainty):

    • The promise to buy bonds through QE can reassure market participants that they could sell if they wished. This reduces the liquidity premium.

    • The yield on bonds falls, since Yield=riskfreerate+liquiditypremiumYield = risk - free rate + liquidity premium

    • The liquidity premium is higher on longer-term bonds: the longer the investor has to wait for their bond to mature, the less liquid it is.

    • QE can increase market liquidity by offering to purchase longer-term bonds in exchange for highly-liquid reserves.

    • The liquidity channel relies on the existence of a market or informational friction or quantity constraint, which creates a role for central bank asset purchases in encouraging trading and reducing liquidity premia.

    • This channel is most effective when financial markets are stressed and demand for liquidity is high.

QE Market Dysfunction

  • QE did appear to have its largest impact in reducing yields when financial market dysfunction was highest.

  • But note that QE transmission channels can interact:

    • Portfolio rebalancing effects will be stronger at times of market illiquidity because arbitrageurs who might counter the impact of preferred-habitat investors will have restricted funds and less appetite for risk.

Other Channels of QE Transmission

  • Other channels are possible, but are not regarded as so important by most researchers and the BoE.

  • Some researchers have proposed money or bank lending channels: reserves are very liquid assets for banks, so perhaps the creation of more reserves could encourage bank lending.

  • But Tenreyro, 2023 views “such a channel as less likely in the current UK context where the reserves and the gilts purchased are seen as equivalent assets in regulatory liquidity ratios”

I understand that the provided content is a direct transcription of lecture slides. While this ensures accuracy, it may lack the additional explanations, examples, or connections that can enhance understanding. If you have specific questions about any of the points covered, or if you'd like me to elaborate on any particular section, please let me know. I can also help with summarizing key concepts or creating examples to illustrate the material.

I understand that the provided content is a direct transcription of lecture slides. While this ensures accuracy, it may lack the additional explanations, examples, or connections that can enhance understanding. If you have specific questions about any of the points covered, or if you'd like me to elaborate on any particular section, please let me know. I can also help with summarizing key concepts or creating examples to illustrate the material.