Arguments Supporting Human Role in Extinctions
Many extinctions occurred ~10,000 BC coinciding with human migration to North America.
Megafauna were not adapted to human presence, unlike in Africa where they developed survival instincts against humans.
Advanced hunting technologies contributed to a rapid decline in megafaunal populations.
Climate Change and Extinction
Climate change alone is unlikely to explain the extinctions. Other factors include:
Human activity
Potential asteroid or comet impacts
Around this time, global temperatures rose by 3 degrees, leading to biome shifts and ecosystem pressures.
Ecosystem Imbalance from Species Removal
Removing a single species can destabilize ecosystems (e.g., keystone species like Mammoths).
Loss can cause a cascade of population declines among dependent species.
Example: Alligators in the Everglades create water holes, crucial for other species' survival; their removal would endanger these species.
Predator-Prey Dynamics and Extinctions
Poor balance in predator-prey populations can lead to crashes.
Over-predation can cause a decline in prey, leading to starvation among predators.
Absence of predators can cause prey populations to explode, surpassing environmental carrying capacity, resulting in starvation.
Comparison with Polynesian Extinctions
Similar extinction patterns observed in Polynesia with human migrations.
Burney’s Recipe for Disaster
Extinction caused by a combination of factors:
Environmental stresses (climate change)
Increased hunting pressures due to reduced prey populations.
Medieval Warm Period & Little Ice Age
Medieval Warm: 9th century A.D., conducive to agriculture in Europe (e.g., vineyards).
Little Ice Age: 14th to 16th centuries, resulting in cooler temperatures, abandoned Viking settlements in Greenland.
Evidence for Climatic Changes
Historical records, pollen data, and sea temperature analyses evidence the Medieval Warm Period and its subsequent cooling.
Causes of Climatic Changes
Volcanic activity, reduced solar activity, increased productions of radioactive carbon-14 and beryllium-10.
Cooling attributed to volcanic eruptions releasing sulfur which scatters solar radiation.
IPCC Reports
Provide scientific bases for climate policy.
Address future warming scenarios and risks of climate change.
IPCC Author Selection and Funding
Scientists nominated by governments and NGOs; work is voluntary through institutions.
Review and Approval Process
Large groups of government officials and thousands of experts contribute to assure comprehensive scientific representation.
Climate System Components
Different components in models:
Atmospheric Component: simulates clouds, aerosols, and heat transport.
Land Surface Component: focuses on soil, vegetation, and water characteristics.
Ocean Component: simulates current movements and biogeochemical interactions.
Sea Ice Component: impacts solar radiation absorption and water exchanges.
Forcings in Climate Models
External factors, like greenhouse gas emissions and solar variability, impact energy absorption by the Earth.
Nitrogen in Atmosphere
Exists predominantly as N2 (78% of atmosphere).
Natural Pathways for Nitrogen
Nitrogen fixation (biological, human, lightning) re-enters atmosphere via denitrification.
Reactive Nitrogen
Forms like NH4, NO3, signaling its unstable state in the environment.
Impacts of Reactive Nitrogen
Eutrophication, air pollution, acid rain, and negative health impacts.
N2O is a potent greenhouse gas impacting climate change.
CO2 and Ocean pH
Increased atmospheric CO2 leads to ocean acidification via carbonic acid production.
Eutrophication and Coastal Waters
Nutrient overload causes algal blooms, depleting oxygen, and intensifying acidification through decomposition.
Impact on Marine Life
Acidification affects shell-forming organisms (e.g., corals, pteropods), impacting marine ecosystems.
Plastic Production
Crude oil and natural gas as primary materials.
Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Emissions during extraction, disposal, and incineration of plastics produce significant carbon emissions.
Microplastics Distribution
Found globally, including human tissues, affecting food chains and health.
Degradation of Plastics
Plastics release harmful additives and contribute to microbial disease spread, affecting aquatic ecosystems.
Human Impact: Extinctions around 10,000 BC coincide with human migration to North America; megafauna lacked survival adaptations.
Climate Change Influence: Climate change was a factor, but human activity and potential asteroid impacts also contributed to extinctions.
Ecosystem Disruption: The removal of keystone species destabilizes ecosystems, leading to population declines among dependent species.
Predator-Prey Dynamics: Imbalance in predator-prey relationships can lead to either over-predation or prey population explosions, causing ecological collapse.
Polynesian Comparison: Similar extinction patterns can be observed with human migrations in Polynesia.
Causative Factors: Extinction driven by environmental stresses alongside increased hunting pressures due to reduced prey.
Medieval Warm Period: Beneficial for agriculture in Europe; followed by the cooler Little Ice Age, which affected settlements like those in Greenland.
Evidence of Climatic Changes: Derived from historical records and scientific data reflecting temperature variations.
Climatic Change Causes: Influenced by volcanic activity and solar variations, particularly cooling from volcanic eruptions.
IPCC Reports: These provide a scientific foundation for climate policy regarding future climate risks.
Model Components: Include atmospheric, land surface, ocean, and sea ice components which simulate various climate interactions.
Climate Forcings: External elements affecting Earth’s energy balance, such as greenhouse gas emissions.
Atmospheric Nitrogen: Predominantly in N2 form; reactive forms lead to environmental issues like eutrophication and health risks.
Effects of CO2: Increased atmospheric CO2 results in ocean acidification.
Impact on Marine Life: Negatively affects organisms that rely on calcium carbonate, like corals.
Production and Emissions: Plastics produced from fossil fuels contribute extensively to greenhouse gas emissions.
Microplastics: Ubiquity in ecosystems and potential harm to food chains and human health.
Rapid Arctic Warming: Linked to global temperature rise due to loss of sea ice.
Migration Challenges: Species face complexities when migrating to optimal conditions.
Health Impacts: Climate change poses risks to vulnerable populations, exacerbating existing health issues.