National Income Accounting – Lecture 1 Comprehensive Notes
1.0 Introduction
- National income = monetary value of the flow of final goods & services produced within an economy over a specific period (usually 1 year).
- Purpose: gauges the nation’s “wealth” & guides policy.
- Key accounting identities/concepts to master:
- GDP / GDE / GDI (domestic, gross, market–price measures)
- GNP / GNE / GNI (national, gross, market–price measures)
- NNP / NNE / NNI (national, net of depreciation)
- Per–capita income = PopulationNational Income ; proxy for average living standards.
1.1 Approaches for Estimating National Income
- Three mutually‐consistent methods:
- Expenditure Approach ⇒ sum of outlays by households, firms & government (plus external sector adjustments).
- Income Approach ⇒ sum of factor earnings (wages, rent, interest, profit, etc.).
- Product / Output / Value-Added Approach ⇒ sum of value added across primary, secondary & tertiary sectors.
- Because of double-entry nature of the economy each approach must yield the same total when measurement is perfect.
1.2 Circular Flow of Income & Equality of the Three Approaches
- Households supply factors ⇒ receive incomes (Income approach).
- Firms buy factors ⇒ produce goods/services (Product approach).
- Households spend incomes buying firms’ output (Expenditure approach).
- Hence Income=Output=Expenditure.
- Simple circular-flow excludes taxes, savings, gov’t, trade, but identity still holds after adding them.
- Exam tip: If data for all three approaches are provided, each calculation must reconcile to the same GDP.
1.3 Items Excluded from National Income
- Sales of Used Goods ⇒ already counted when first produced.
- Trading of Financial Assets (T-bills, stocks, bonds) ⇒ merely swaps of ownership; no new production.
- Government Transfer Payments (e.g. LEAP, pensions, unemployment benefits) ⇒ payments without current output.
- Intermediate Products ⇒ counted only in final good to avoid double counting (e.g. wheat → flour → bread ⇒ only bread enters GDP).
- Incomes from Illegal Activities ⇒ excluded where activity is unlawful (context-specific; e.g., prostitution excluded in Ghana but legal in Netherlands).
1.4 Usefulness of National / Per-Capita Income Estimates
- Assess sectoral performance (e.g., Ghana’s agriculture share = 34 % in 2005).
- International growth comparisons (2015: China ≈ $9,000 vs USA ≈ $55,000 per-capita).
- Economic planning tool (contrast Nigeria vs South Korea; Ghana vs Malaysia trajectories).
- Guide for foreign investors ⇒ higher per-capita income ⇒ larger purchasing power.
- Track domestic living standards over time (per-capita rise from $1,000 in 2004 to $2,300 in 2015 implies better welfare, ceteris paribus).
1.5 The Expenditure Approach
- Formula for open economy GDP at market price:
GDEmp=C+I+G+(X−M) - Components:
- Household consumption C ⇒ durable, non-durable, services.
- Firm investment I ⇒ machinery, buildings, inventories (∆stocks added if positive, subtracted if negative).
- Government expenditure G ⇒ capital, recurrent & investment outlays.
- Net exports X−M ⇒ exports minus imports.
1.5.1 Gross National Expenditure (GNE)
- Adjusts for factor income flows:
GNE<em>mp=GDE</em>mp+Factor income received abroad−Factor income paid abroad
or GDEmp±net property income from abroad.
1.5.2 GNE at Factor Cost
- Remove indirect taxes, add subsidies to reveal true producer value:
GNE<em>fc=GNE</em>mp−indirect taxes+subsidies=GNEmp±net taxes
where net taxes=subsidies−indirect taxes.
1.5.3 Net National Expenditure (NNE)
- Deduct depreciation (capital consumption allowance):
NNE<em>fc=GNE</em>fc−depreciation
1.5.4 Per-Capita Income
- Per Capita Income=PopulationNNEfc
Worked Example (abbreviated from pages 23-26)
- Data given (household spending, investment, gov’t spending, trade, taxes, subsidies, factor income flows, depreciation).
- Computations:
- GDEmp=$116,800
- GNEmp=$120,900 (adding net +$4,100 factor income).
- GNEfc=$118,500 (subtract taxes 6,700, add subsidies 4,300).
- NNEfc=$116,000 (less depreciation 2,500).
- Per-capita with population 4 000 ⇒ $29 per head.
1.6 Product / Output / Value-Added Approach
- Add value added of each production sector, exclude intermediate goods & trade items:
GDPmp=Primary+Secondary+Tertiary - Sectoral definitions:
- Primary (agriculture): farming, fishing, hunting, quarrying.
- Secondary (manufacturing): convert raw inputs (e.g., Toyota Co., GHACEM).
- Tertiary (services): communication, transport, education, tourism, health, etc.
- No need for export/import figures because focus is on production, not spending.
1.6.1 Gross National Product (GNP)
- National vs domestic adjustment:
GNP<em>mp=GDP</em>mp+earnings of nationals abroad−earnings of foreigners at home=GDPmp±net factor income abroad
1.6.2 & 1.6.3 GNP at Factor Cost & NNP
- GNP<em>fc=GNP</em>mp−indirect taxes+subsidies
- NNP<em>fc=GNP</em>fc−depreciation
Worked Example (pages 32-35)
- Summed sector outputs:
- Primary = $78,300
- Secondary = $21,000
- Tertiary = $56,400
- GDPmp=$155,700
- Net factor income abroad = −$4,700 ⇒ GNPmp=$151,000
- Taxes 2,500, subsidies 2,800 ⇒ GNPfc=$151,300
- Depreciation 2,500 ⇒ NNPfc=$148,800
- Population 3 000 ⇒ per-capita ≈$49.6
1.7 The Income Approach
- Sums factor earnings:
- Employee compensation (wages & salaries, bonuses, allowances).
- Rents.
- Royalties (for mineral/oil extraction, quarrying).
- Interest on capital (physical capital, not cash).
- Profits
- Proprietors’ income (self-employed, unincorporated businesses).
- Corporate profits (distributed dividends + undistributed retained earnings).
- Gross Domestic Income at factor cost:
GDIfc=Wages+Rent+Royalties+Interest+ProprietorsIncome+CorporateProfits+Dividends+UndistributedProfits+OtherFactorEarnings - Exclusions: transfer payments, black-market incomes, exports & imports (latter are expenditure items).
- Indirect taxes & subsidies belong to market–price conversions, not income totals.
Worked Example (pages 39-41)
- GDIfc=$88,700
- GNI<em>fc=GDI</em>fc+net factor income=88,700+4,300−7,800=$85,200
- Depreciation 3,600 ⇒ NNIfc=$81,600
- Population 5 000 ⇒ per-capita $16.32
1.8 Measuring Price Changes: Real vs Nominal GDP
- Nominal GDP ⇒ values current output at current prices.
- Real GDP ⇒ values current output at constant base-year prices (e.g., 2005 dollars) ⇒ isolates quantity changes.
- GDP Deflator (implicit price index):
GDP Deflator=Real GDPNominal GDP×100 - Inflation between two years:
\text{Inflation %}=\dfrac{\text{Deflator}{t}-\text{Deflator}{t-1}}{\text{Deflator}_{t-1}}\times100
Example (2009–2010): [(111.0−109.7)/109.7]×100=1.2% - Called “deflator” because dividing nominal GDP by deflator removes price effects: Real GDP=GDP Deflator/100Nominal GDP
- Alternative explicit price indices: Consumer Price Index (CPI).
1.9 Problems in National Income Accounting
- Double counting ⇒ solved via value-added & excluding second-hand goods.
- Non-market activities (house helpers, home tutors) ⇒ underestimation.
- Data unavailability/unreliability ⇒ informal sectors, tax evasion, poor record keeping.
- Depreciation measurement challenges ⇒ different methods, uncertainty ⇒ NNP rarely published.
- Subsistence agriculture (common in developing nations) ⇒ output not marketed, leads to understatement.
1.10 Criticisms of Per-Capita Income as Welfare Measure
- Composition of Government Spending ⇒ lavish/profligate outlays inflate GDP but not welfare.
- Differences in Working Conditions ⇒ richer countries often safer, healthier workplaces; raw income ignores this qualitative factor.
- Environmental Damage Costs ⇒ GDP omits negative externalities (polluted air/water), overstating welfare.
- Poor Data Collection ⇒ especially acute in developing countries; weak statistics mislead comparisons.
- Income / Resource Distribution ⇒ high per-capita may mask severe inequality; small elite can skew average (e.g., resource-rich Gulf states).
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