Initial hypothesis: “Eyewitness testimony is accurate.”
Data findings:
When suspects were viewed in a lineup, witnesses wrongly identified the “criminal” approximately frac13 of the time.
When suspects were viewed one at a time, witnesses made a mistaken identification less than 10extextperthousand of the time.
1.11 Does echinacea help fight colds? (data)
Initial hypothesis was not supported by data.
All 4 groups were equally likely to catch a cold with symptoms lasting about 3 days.
1.8 Controlling variables makes experiments more powerful
Key components:
Treatment: any experimental condition applied to individuals.
Experimental group: individuals exposed to a particular treatment.
Control group: individuals treated identically except they are not exposed to the treatment.
Variables: characteristics that can change; independent vs. dependent.
1.9 Controlling variables (continued) / Common pitfalls
The goal is to minimize differences between control and experimental groups other than the treatment.
Poor experimental design can lead to flawed conclusions (no control group).
1.9 (cont.) The placebo effect
The placebo effect: people respond favorably to any treatment.
Highlights the need for comparing treatment effects with an appropriate control group.
1.10 Designing experiments
Blind design: subjects do not know which treatment they are receiving.
Double-blind design: neither the subjects nor the experimenter know which treatment is administered.
Randomized design: random assignment and blinding where possible.
1.9 THIS IS HOW WE DO IT: knee arthroscopy study (example of evaluating a treatment)
Experimental setup (2 of 2) – Three treatments:
1) Arthroscopic surgery with debridement
2) Arthroscopic surgery with lavage
3) Placebo surgery
Question: How does general scientific literacy help in evaluating results?
1.9 Study results (knee surgery)
Mean pain scores by group:
Debridement: 51±23
Lavage: 54±24
Placebo: 52±24
Take Home Message 1.9
Evidence from well-controlled studies designed with solid scientific thinking can illuminate when we should change our minds.
Everyday choices should be questioned for veracity of assumptions.
1.10 Bias in scientific publishing
PERCENTAGE OF PAPERS PUBLISHED WITH FEMALE FIRST AUTHOR
When reviewers knew the sex of the author: 23.7%
When reviewers did NOT know the sex of the author: 31.6%
1.11 Repeating experiments
Replication: repeating a study to increase confidence in results and isolate variables responsible for outcomes.
Repeated experiments defend against biases.
1.12 What are theories? When do hypotheses become theories?
Hypothesis: a proposed explanation for a phenomenon; good hypotheses lead to testable predictions.
Theories:
Are exceptionally well-supported hypotheses.
Are repeatedly tested.
Are unlikely to be altered by new evidence.
Are broader in scope than hypotheses.
1.12 Visual displays of data can help us understand phenomena
Common visual displays of data used in biology:
Bar graph: data represented by bars; compare data among categories; example: number of days of rain for each month.
Line graph: data points connected by a line/curve; plot trends across many data points; example: world population over time.
Pie chart: data represented by pie slices; compare data as a proportion of the whole; example: allocation of monthly earnings.
1.13 Common elements of visual displays
TITLE: Describes the content of the display.
X-AXIS (independent variable): Horizontal axis; label with units; represents the starting measurable entity that can be changed.
Y-AXIS (dependent variable): Vertical axis; label with units; represents the measurable response.
DATA POINTS: Individual measurements plotted within the display.
Example labeling: “Performance on midterm exams (%)” vs “EFFECT OF STUDY TIME ON EXAM PERFORMANCE.”
1.14 Variables (definitions)
Independent variables: measurable entity available at the start and can be changed; generally on the x-axis.
Dependent variables: created by the process and cannot be controlled; generally on the y-axis.
1.15 Misleading displays of data
Reasons graphs can mislead:
Ambiguity in labeling or scales.
Incomplete information about data collection.
Biases or hidden assumptions.
Unknown/unreliable data sources.
Insufficient/inappropriate context for data presentation.
1.13 Statistics can help us make decisions
Statistics: analytical and mathematical tools to gain understanding from data.
Drawing conclusions from limited observations is risky.
1.14 Making wise decisions about concrete things
Example: textbook access and exam performance
Students with a textbook: average 81%±8% on exams.
Students without a textbook: average 76%±7% on exams.
1.15 Drawing conclusions based on statistics
The greater the difference and the smaller the variation between two groups, the more confident we can be that the difference is real (not due to chance).
1.13 Relationships and correlation
Statistics help identify relationships (or lack thereof) between variables:
Positive correlation: as one variable increases, the other increases.
Important caveat: "Correlation is not causation."
Statistical analyses help organize and summarize observations and evidence.
1.14 Pseudoscience and anecdotal evidence can obscure the truth
Pseudoscience: scientific-sounding claims not supported by trustworthy, methodical studies (e.g., "four out of five dentists…").
Anecdotal observations: based on one or a few observations; can lead to erroneous conclusions.
Bad science can lead to dangerous behavior (e.g., vaccines and autism myth).
1.15 There are limits to what science can do
The scientific method is empirical.
Value judgments and subjective information fall outside science.
Science does not generate moral statements or provide ethical solutions.
Technology is the application of research, not science itself.
1.16 Important themes unify biology
Core questions in biology:
What is life? Try to define life.
Characteristics shared by all living organisms and living systems:
Complex, ordered organization of one or more cells
Use and transformation of energy to perform work
Sensitivity and responsiveness to the external environment
Regulation and homeostasis
Growth, development, and reproduction
Evolutionary adaptation where traits in populations change over time
Five central themes in biology
Evolution
Structure and function
Information flow, exchange, and storage
Pathways and transformation of energy and matter
Systems
2. Additional foundational concepts mentioned
Biology is the study of life, but life itself invites a working definition and exploration of its boundaries.
Distinction between science and technology: science seeks to understand; technology applies that understanding.
Evidence-based reasoning, replication, controlled experiments, and critical thinking are essential for reliable conclusions.
Experimental design basics: randomization, blinding, controls, and careful variable management.
Data visualization literacy: understanding and evaluating how data are presented to avoid misinterpretation.
The role of ethics, public understanding, and responsible communication in scientific practice.