Urban areas experience thicker and up to 10% more frequent cloud cover than rural areas.
This is attributed to:
Convection currents caused by higher temperatures.
A greater abundance of condensation nuclei.
Precipitation
Mean annual precipitation is 5-15% higher in urban areas.
Days with less than 5 mm of rainfall are 5-15% greater in urban areas.
Reasons are similar to cloud formation (thermals, condensation nuclei).
Strong thermals in urban areas increase:
Thunder likelihood by 25%.
Hail occurrence by up to 400%.
Higher urban temperatures can change snow to sleet.
They limit the number of days with snow on the ground by up to 15%.
Fog frequency, length, and intensity are much greater in urban areas, especially under anticyclonic conditions.
Winter fog may be up to 100% more frequent.
Summer fog may be up to 25% more frequent.
Caused by condensation nuclei concentration.
Atmospheric Composition
Dust particle concentration may be 3-7 times higher in cities.
Burning fossil fuels, industrial processes, and car exhausts release impurities.
Urban areas can have:
Up to 200 times more sulphur dioxide.
10 times more nitrogen oxide (acid rain components).
10 times more hydrocarbons.
Twice as much carbon dioxide.
Pollutants increase cloud cover and precipitation.
They cause smog, higher temperatures, and reduced sunlight.
Forest and Lake Microclimates
Different land surfaces create distinct local climates.
Further research is needed to confirm some microclimate characteristics.
Forest Microclimates (Coniferous and Deciduous)
Incoming Radiation and Albedo:
Much radiation is absorbed and trapped.
Albedo:
Coniferous: 15%.
Deciduous: 25% (summer), 35% (winter).
Desert scrub: 40%.
Temperature:
Small diurnal range due to canopy's blanket effect.
Forest floor is protected from direct sunlight.
Some heat lost by evapotranspiration.
Relative Humidity:
Higher during daytime and in summer, especially in deciduous forests.
Evapotranspiration depends on day length, leaf surface area, wind speed, etc.
Precipitation:
Heavy rain can be caused by high evapotranspiration rates (e.g., tropical rainforests).
30-35% of rain is intercepted on average; more in deciduous woodland in summer.
Wind Speed and Direction:
Trees reduce wind speeds, particularly at ground level.
Trees are often planted as windbreaks.
Trees can produce eddies.
Water Surface Microclimates (Lake, River)
Incoming Radiation and Albedo:
Less insolation is absorbed and trapped.
Albedo may be over 60%, higher than overseas/oceans, especially on calm days.
Temperature:
Small diurnal range due to water's high specific heat capacity.
Cooler summers and milder winters.
Lakesides have a longer growing season.
Relative Humidity:
Very high, especially in summer due to high evaporation rates.
Air is humid.
Precipitation:
If air rises, it can be unstable, producing cloud and rain.
Amounts may not be great due to fewer condensation nuclei.
Fogs form in calm weather.
Wind:
Wind may be strong due to reduced friction.
Large lakes can create land and sea breezes.
Weather Maps and Forecasting in Britain
A weather map or synoptic chart shows weather for a specific area at a specific time.
It results from collecting and collating data at numerous weather stations.
Data are refined using computers and plotted using international weather symbols.
Weather maps serve different purposes and scales.
Types of Weather Maps
Daily Weather Map
Gives a simplified impression of the weather.
Synoptic Map
Shows selected meteorological characteristics for specific stations.
Station model includes:
Temperature.
Pressure.
Cloud cover.
Present weather (e.g., precipitation type).
Wind direction.
Wind speed.
Detailed Maps from the Meteorological Office
Show finite detail, e.g., cloud amounts at different levels, dew point temperatures, barometric tendency.
Weather forecasters determine the speed and direction of air masses and fronts.
They predict the type of weather these movements will bring.
Satellite images are crucial for short-term weather trend prediction.
Forecasting uses satellites, radar, and computers to model upper and surface air conditions in 3D.
Atmospheric complexity and unpredictability can still surprise forecasters.
Meteorological information is a sample, not a total picture, risking anomalies.
Measures of Dispersion
Mean climatic figures are averages over a 30-year timescale.
The range or degree of variation from the mean is often significant.
Three statistical techniques measure dispersion:
The range.
The interquartile range.
The standard deviation.
These techniques apply to geography where the mean alone may be misleading.
Using quantitative techniques does not guarantee objective interpretation; appropriate methods must be chosen.
Range
Calculates the difference between the highest and lowest values.
Example: London's annual temperature range is 14°C (July 18°C, January 4°C).
Emphasises extreme values and ignores the distribution of the rest.
Interquartile Range
Consists of the middle 50% of values in a distribution, 25% each side of the median.
Shows how closely values are grouped around the median.
Easy to calculate, unaffected by extreme values, useful for comparing similar data sets.
Climatic Change
Climates constantly change at all scales and timescales.
There have been surges of change over time.
Evidence of Past Climatic Changes
Rocks formed under different climatic conditions.
Coal formed under hot, wet tropical conditions.
Sandstones laid down during arid times.
Limestones accumulated in warm seas.
Glacial deposits left by retreating ice sheets.
Fossil landscapes produced by geomorphological processes that no longer operate.
Glacially eroded highlands.
Granite tors on Dartmoor.
Wadis formed during wetter periods in deserts.
Evidence of changes in sea-level and lake levels.
Vegetation belts have shifted.
Pollen Analysis
Shows which plants were dominant at a given time.
Each plant species has a distinctively shaped pollen grain.
Grains trapped in peat form a representative vegetation sample, indicating past climatic conditions.
Dendrochronology (Tree-Ring Dating)
Determines tree age by coring the trunk.
Tree growth is rapid in spring, slower in autumn, stops in winter.
Each year's growth is shown by a ring.
Ring size reflects climatic changes (warm, wet = larger ring).
Chemical Methods
Study of oxygen and carbon isotopes.
Isotopes are forms of an element with different atomic weights.
O-16 vaporizes more readily; O-18 condenses more easily.
Warm, dry periods leave water enriched with O-18, preserved in polar ice.
Colder, wetter periods have higher levels of O-16 in ice.
Carbon-14 Dating
C-14 is a radioactive carbon isotope.
Plants take in carbon during the carbon cycle.
C-14 decays at a known rate and is compared with non-decaying C-12.
Scientists can date organic matter up to 50,000 years old with ± 5 % error.
Historical Records
Cave paintings of animals in different regions.
Vine cultivation in southern England between AD 1000 and 1300.
Changes in grave digging depth in Greenland related to permafrost.
Fairs held on the frozen River Thames in Tudor times.
Measurement of alpine glacier and polar sea-ice advances and retreats.
Causes of Climatic Change
Multiple factors contribute to climatic change over different timescales.
Variations in Solar Energy
Sunspot activity cycles may affect climate - high temperatures on Earth appear to correlate with maximum sunspot activity.
Astronomical Relationships
Milankovitch cycles (changes in Earth's orbit, tilt, wobble) cause variations in solar radiation.
Changes in Oceanic Circulation
Affect heat exchange between oceans and atmosphere.
Long-term effects: Quaternary ice age current direction changes.
Short-term effects: El Niño.
North Atlantic Drift as a conveyor belt; shutdown could dramatically cool climate.
Meteorites
Meteor impacts can cause extinction events.
Reduce incoming radiation, deplete ozone, lower global temperatures.
Volcanic Activity
Lowers world temperatures after large eruptions (Mount Pinatubo, Krakatoa).
Increased dust particles absorb and scatter incoming radiation.
May temporarily offset the greenhouse effect.
Increases precipitation due to hygroscopic nuclei.
Plate Tectonics
Redistributes land masses and affects climate long-term.
'Drifting' land masses enter different latitudes.
Fold mountains lead to colder climates and act as atmospheric circulation barriers (Tibetan Plateau creating Asian monsoon).
Atmospheric Composition
Gases change with volcanic eruptions.
Concern over buildup of CO₂ and other greenhouse gases.
Use of aerosols and release of CFCs deplete ozone.
Climatic Change in Britain
Climate has changed in the long, Quaternary, and short terms.
Following the 'little ice age,' temperatures generally increased to a peak in about 1940.
After that time, summers became cooler and wetter, springs later, autumns milder, winters unpredictable.
Since the 1980s, there has been a considerable warming, with eight of the ten warmest years on record in the last decade.
Increased variations from the norm add evidence to the concept of global warming.
Case Study: Short-term and Long-term Climatic Changes
A. Short-term change: El Niño and La Niña
Oceans influence world climates due to their heat storage capacity. Ocean temperature changes have large effects on weather patterns of adjacent land masses.
Interactions between the ocean and atmosphere have become a major area of scientific study.
El Niño and La Niña events occur periodically in the Pacific Ocean, representing an ocean-atmosphere interrelationship.
Normal Atmospheric Conditions
Pressure rises over the eastern Pacific Ocean (off the coast of South America) and falls over the western Pacific Ocean (towards Indonesia and the Philippines).
Descending air over the eastern Pacific gives clear, dry conditions (Atacama Desert in Peru).
Warm, moist ascending air over the western Pacific gives heavy convectional rainfall.
Air movement creates the Walker circulation cell.
Upper air moves from west to east.
Surface air moves from east to west as trade winds.
Trade winds:
Push surface water westward.
Sea-level in the Philippines is usually 60 cm higher than in Panama and Colombia.
Allow water flowing westward as the equatorial current to remain near the ocean surface, where it gradually heats.
The western Pacific has the world's highest ocean temperature, usually above 28°C.
As warm water is pushed away from South America, it is replaced by an upwelling of colder, nutrient-rich water.
Colder water lowers temperatures, sometimes to below 20°C, but provides plankton for Peru's fishing industry.
El Niño
An El Niño event, scientifically referred to as an El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), occurs on average every three to four years.
It appears just after Christmas and usually lasts for 12-18 months.
There is a reversal in the equatorial Pacific region in pressure, precipitation, winds, and ocean currents, contrasting normal conditions.
Changes During El Niño
Pressure rises over the western Pacific and falls over the eastern Pacific.
The ITCZ migrates southwards.
Trade winds weaken or reverse in direction.
Descending air (now over South-east Asia) gives much drier conditions.
Air over the eastern Pacific is now rising, giving much wetter conditions.
Surface water tends to be pushed eastwards, so sea-level in South-east Asia falls while it rises in tropical South America.
Surface water temperatures in excess of 28°C extend much further eastwards.
The upwelling of cold water off South America is reduced, allowing sea temperatures to rise by up to 6°C.
Warmer water in the eastern Pacific lacks oxygen, nutrients, and plankton, which has an adverse effect on Peru's fishing industry.
Global Impacts of El Niño
Drier conditions in South-east Asia and wetter conditions in South America.
Severe droughts in the Sahel and southern Africa, as well as across the Indian subcontinent
Extremely cold winters in central North America, and stormy conditions with floods in California.
Exceptionally wet, mild, and windy winters in Britain and north-west Europe.
La Niña
La Niña, or 'little girl,' has climatic conditions that are the reverse of those of El Niño.
Its occurrence is less frequent and, consequently, effects are harder to predict due to less data.
Changes During La Niña
Low pressure over the western Pacific becomes even lower, and high pressure over the eastern Pacific becomes even higher, compared to normal conditions.
Rainfall increases over South-east Asia.
Drought conditions occur in South America.
Trade winds strengthen due to the increased pressure difference.
The stronger trade winds:
Push large amounts of water westwards, giving a higher than normal sea-level in Indonesia and the Philippines.
Increase the equatorial undercurrent and significantly enhance the upwelling of cold water off the Peruvian coast.
Global Impact of La Niña
Linked with increased hurricane activity in the Caribbean.
Can interrupt the jet stream over Britain, resulting in stormier, wetter, and cooler conditions.