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Population distribution
The way people are spread out across the surface of the earth.
Persons per square kilometer
Physical factors affecting population distribution
Climate
Temperature
Natural disaster
Pollution
Elevation
Coastal
Access to natural resources
Water and food
Fertile crop soil
Human factors affecting population distribution
job opportunities
Higher pay
Stability
Friends/ family
Cultural beliefs
Education
Healthcare
Taxes
War/conflict
Communication
Infrastructure
Safety
Crime rate
Political beliefs
Good government
Good economy
Standard of living
Cost
Poverty rate
Urban development
Manufacture
Scale of population distribution
Global population distribution
By physical factors over human factors
Local/regional scale
Human factors over physical factors
World Bank GNI
Dollar value of a country's final income in a year, divided by a population
Causes of Economic development
Social,historical, Economic,environmental, political
Internal Economic development
Demographics
Political systems & corruption
Natural resources
Climate & diseases
Internal Capital formation
External Economic development
Colonialisation
Trade & Financial flow
TNC
Foreign Aid
Demographics
Youthful dependent vs economically active vs elderly dependent ratio
Productivity
Economic strain
A population's future on DTM
Political systems & corruption
Policies that allow more open trade e investments
= faster more stable growth
(HK & Canada)
Compared to less transparent political systems
(North Korea) 북한
Natural resources
↑minerals, fossil fuels = ↑wealth
→ Not always true
Paradox of plenty
Could have poor management, lack of capital,poor infrastructure & corruption (drc)
Countries with ↓resources can have ↑money due to open trade &transparent political systems (Japan)
Climate & disease
Hot & humid tropical climates
breeds insects that spread diseases
malaria
dengue fever
African sleeping disease
impacts human health and development
↓capacity to attend school and learn skills and work
animals like livestock also get diseases
Internal capital formations
a country procures financial support of their own to fund development projects
LIC → low incomes
Housing, food, water = little savings
Less tax revenue = ↓ investments into development
↓infrastructure, services and education
“cycle of poverty”
Colonisation
Colonies bring skills customs, infrastructural development
BUT!!
political systems can limit high level involvement by locals
Unstable post-independent
Useless infrastructure
Aid, Trade & Financial flows
global organisations, NGOs, bilateral/multilateral if funds for countries that lack the capital to invest into their own development
political/economic strings attached
TNC or MNC invest in countries
Expect profits back and loan repayments
HIC
12,535
Institutions
safety
Education
Health
Transport
Corruption = poverty
Culture
less beliefs
↑money
belief in change
Geography
coastal
better agriculture
less disease
Internal Migration
Movement of people within a country, for a different job and life opportunities
not necessarily permanent
Often rural-urban, city to city, village to village
Voluntary
Job
Education
Healthcare
Standard of Living
Cost of living
Climate
Family
Beliefs
Core-periphery patterns
As general prosperity grows worldwide, the majority of that growth is enjoyed by a ‘core’ region of wealthy countries, regions or groups of ppl despite being severely outnumbered in population by those in a ‘periphery’ that are ignored
Core
strong foreign investment
High employment and salaries
Reliable communication and technology
Large tertiary and quaternary industry sector
Quality infrastructure
Net immigration
Cultural diversity
Periphery
Less foreign investment
High unemployment and low salaries, large informal economies
Low levels of literacy
Large primary and secondary industry sectors
Less reliable infrastructure
Possible resource shortage
Net emigration
Les cultural diversity
Semi-periphery
combination of the two economic situation improves while infrastructure also is slowly improving
Leads to increasing levels of disparity within a country
chain of production (industries)
Sectors of business
Primary - Natural resources, Agriculture
Secondary - Production
Tertiary - Services
Quaternary - Knowledge/intellect
Megacity
10 million ppl in population
Push and Pull factors for mega cities
Pull
economic
↑job+↑income
Infrastructure
Buildings, roads, transport
Network, communication
Social
Family
Friends
Cultural
Majority religions
Political
Freedom, transparency
Health
Healthcare services
Push
Economic
↓Trade +↓Economic
Flow= low employment
Conflict
War or conflict
Infrastructure
Unsafe, low quality
Too expensive
Demographic Transition Model
The Demographic Transition Model (DTM) is a model that describes the transition from high birth and death rates to low birth and death rates as a country develops from a pre-industrial to an industrialized economic system. It is a widely used model in the field of demography and helps to explain changes in population growth rates over time.
Natural increase
The difference between the number of births and the number of deaths recorded over a period. When the number of births exceeds the number of deaths resulting in an increase in population
Total Fertility Rate
Average no. Of births per 1000 women of child bearing age
status of women → leaves of education
Location of residence →religion
Health of mother → economic prosperity
Need for children
Life expectancy
Average lifespan of a person in their lifetime
Composition of a population
division of males and females
Division of age groups
Often in a population pyramid
dependency ratio
Ratio between economically active ppl within a country and dependent population
↓Economically active, ↑strain on government resources to meet population needs
formula= 100(P(0-14)+P(+64)/P(15-65))
Consequences of Megacities
not all needs are meet => over populated
Slums
Homelessness
Crime
Congestion
Urban sprawl
Pollution
Societal Consequences of megacities
Congestion
insufficient funds to provide transport infrastructure
Urban sprawl
cities spread horizontally to cover more land
More used of private/public transport = more carbon emissions, pollution and congestion
Air and Water pollution
small areas makes dispersal of pollutants and waste difficult
Forced Migration
When a migrant has to leave their home as a result of racial religious, political etc. reasons and would be at risk of they stayed
Causes of Forced Migration
Natural Disasters, flooding, earthquakes or volcanoes
Outbreak of disease such as malaria
War
Political persecution → religious, personal identity
Drought and famine
Economic development
Large construction
Other disasters
Deforestation
Sea-level change
Leak of radio active material
consequences of forced migration and internal displacement
destination
impact of job opportunities
↑competition
strain on those with low wages
pressure of public services, infrastructure, and government finances
housing, education, healthcare
↑language barriers
social and political tensions
may cause less foreign investment in the destination
Migrants
poor living conditions, with high population densities
↓sanitation, food, health
loss of family and friends
depression
↑disease → diarrhoea and cholera - malnutrition
China and USA case study - uneven population distribution
Contemporary megacity growth
Informal Settlements
ProNatalist Policies - Japan
Demographic dividend - Thailand
Forced Migration - Syria and Sahel
Family Size
a group of people who make a common provision for food, shelter, and other essentials for living
Sex Ratio
ratio of males to females in a population
102:100 → global
Ageing/Greying
↑life expenctancy ↓mortality↓fertility
Policies related to ageing societies
Increasing retirement age
when people can receive government pensions
Increases Tax revenue
Increased Labour
Increased skill set
unpopular with population → especially blue collar jobs
increasing taxes
means-test pensions
obligatory private pensions
Pronatalist policies
baby bonuses or monthly cashouts
for every child born
free public transport for children
income tax reductions = ↑children ↓taxes
tax penalties → for those without children
paid maternity and paternity leave
government subsidies for childcare
government aid for housing
free education and healthcare and dental care for children
Gender equality
when all gender have equal access to resources and opportunities
Gender equality policies - Iceland
law that makes it illegal for men to have higher salaries
levelling the playing field for both women and men
Iceland’s population is only 380k
not enough economic productivity in the country if only men worked
+both men and women can have paid parental leave
Anti-trafficking policies - Italy
patrolling of libyan coast line
curb human trafficking and bring migrants from smugglers’ boats to Libya
200,000 accommodations for migrants and refugees
GOAL:
captures the smugglers behind trafficking
arrest boat drivers
set laws in place to persecute those whose actions resulted in the death of migrants
Demographic Dividend
accelerated economic growth when a population has many working age people
empowered
educated
employed
↓family size + ↑lifespan = demographic dividend
labour supply
saving
human capital
economic growth
key investments are necessary to lower fertility and mortality and allow population structure to change
Investments towards demographic dividend
Health
improving child’s health
healthy adulthood
adolescent delay childbearing
youth transition to healthy, productive adults
keeps adults participating in the work force and economic growth
Education
education increases skilled workforce
after every year of school, wages ↑10%
youth can compete in global economy
Economics
foster growth in the skilled workforce
foster domestic savings and expand access to economic opportunities
Governance
laws, efficiency, accountability and transparency
strong and transparent institutions
Atmosphere
a thin layer of gas surrounding the earth that is ~500km thick = <0.5% of the depth to the centre of the earth’s core
Solar radiation
aka insolation
incoming solar radiation
short wave energy entering from the sun
long wave radiation
energy reflected by the earth’s surface
long wave (infrared) radiation
energy balance
the difference in energy between solar and long wave radiation
amount of solar radiation coming in and long wave radiation is in balance in order to maintain a stable average temperature and stable climate clime on earth
EX:
100 incoming
-23 insolation reflected by clouds
-7 insolation reflected by the earth’s surface
-49 longwave radiation from atmosphere
-9 longwave radiation from clouds
-12 long wave radiation from the earth’s surface
43% of insolation is visible light
absorbed by water, land, and vegetation into heat energy and re-radiated as long wave radiation (invisible)
incoming radiation >outgoing radiation = global warming
incoming radiation <outgoing radiation = global cooling
natural greenhouse effect
A phenomenon caused by gasses naturally present in the atmosphere that affect the behavior of the energy radiated by the sun
Incoming solar radiation, aka Insolation, from the sun enters the earth’s atmosphere
Insolation is reflected off clouds and areas such as snow and ice as they have a high albedo = high reflectivity of surface
Insolation is also absorbed by clouds, CO2, water vapour and dust, as well as the earth’s surface
Light that is absorb is turned into infrared/long-wave radiation (heat)
Reradiated back out to space
However, greenhouse gasses, such as carbon dioxide delay the escape of heat and causes the heat that is trapped to reradiate back to the earth’s surface
Milankovitch Cycles
Earth’s orbital movements affect how much insolation reaches the top of the earth's atmosphere
[1] eccentricity : orbit shape
Affects distance between sun and earth
[2] Obliquity : earth's tilt
More tilt more extreme sun seasons
[3] precession: wobble
As the sun rotates it wobbles upon its axis
Makes seasonal contrasts more extreme in one hemisphere & less in another
Feedback loops
positive and negative = dynamic equillibrium
negative =↓change by reducing inputs
returning stabilty
positive =↑change, snowball effect
overload = imbalance
Global energy balance - External forcing
External forcing
Sun cycle every 11 years
Changes how much insolation the sun gets
Changes in the sun's activity increases or decreases sunspots
More
Global energy balance - Volcanic eruption
Volcanic eruptions and global dimming
Volcanic eruptions eject ash particles and soulful rich gasses into the earths atmosphere
Water droplets with particulate matter form clouds, therefore the particles from the volcanic eruption form a barrier that block sunlight
And the sulfur rich gasses from acidic aerosols that absorb Insolation
Terrestrial albedo changes - feedback loop
Sea ice is melting/decreasing
declined between a third and a half
albedo of the artic ice decreases as the ice decreases
ice reflects light back into space v effectively = >70%
melting ice = moreseas water
more sunlight is absorbed into oceans
more infrared radiation
Methane gas release - Feedback loop
as ice freeze, methane rises to the surface
trapped in the surface of the ice
permafrost in thawing due to the high temperatures which causes ground surface to collapse
any organic matter that was in the permafrost will get released into the water, releasing methane (decomposing material releases gases)
methane raises to the surface of the lakes and is released into the atmosphere when the ice melts
contributes to the rising temperatures causing the melting of permafrost
The enhanced greenhouse effect
The disruption to the earth’s climate equilibrium caused by the increase concentrations of greenhouse gasses that has led to an increase in global average surface temperatures
GHG: carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide, methane, water vapour, prevent long wave radiation from leaving the atmosphere
reradiating the heat back to earth
**** FOSSIL FUELS
The amount of GHGs emitted by a country is linked to the levels of econ development, globalization and trade
Development and globalisation that contribute to enhanced greenhouse effect
All countries start with subsistence farming then move into mechanized agriculture that require less people in farms and result on people moving to urban cities to work in secondary sectors, as education rises and life expectancy increases as well more people move into tertiary and quaternary sectors.
Then there is a need to build urban areas, transportation, public infrastructure and electricity resulting in higher greenhouse gas emissions
Mechanisation of Agriculture
releases people from the land, facilitating the development of the industry
initiates large amounts of carbon emissions
running machinery
produce GMOs, fertilisers, pesticides
then,
construction of urban areas
transport links and buildings
public infrastructure
electricity
waster generation
Economic Development
Agricultural dependence to industrial economy
Combustion of fossil fuels increases
Drive towards development has lead to an increase in GHG emissions
HICs - GHG emissions
not necassarily the largest emitters anymore
as they have moved from heavy industry & manufacturing → services
outsourcing to middle or lower income countries
Green Movement
environmental laws are strict and legislation require industry to clean up emissions at source
deforestation restricted, reforestation increasing
kyoto protocol
target the reduction of GHG emission
KOF Index
measures economic, political and social globalisation by accessing economic flows, restrictions, information flows, personal contact, and cultural proximity
Globalisation
↑international interactions
↑integration of nations, governments, companies and people
driven by free trade, information technology, improvements in transportation and freer movement of capital, goods and services
Pros
job creation
FDI in LICs
sharing of ideas and culture
awareness of globalisation
Cons
disparity between rich and poor
domination by TNCs
loss of cultural identity
Isostatic and Eustatic Changes
Isostatic (local impact)
vertical movement of land and sea level rise
land can come up after weight of glaciers is gone
land can go down due to accumulation of sediment
Eustatic (global)
change of volume of water in the seas or (change in ocean basin shape)
tectonics move and alter the shape and volume of ocean basins
Carbon Stores - Oceans
dissolution of atmospheric CO2 it temperature dependent
Polar regions have higher absorption as water is cooler
Increased warming results in lower absorption
Acid depositions from acid rain result in lower absorption as a result in the change in chemical composition of the oceans
Carbon Stores - Ice
organic matter is stored in permafrost and ice sheets, as cold temperatures stall the chemical decomposition of organic matter
However, as ice and permafrost melt the carbon dioxide gets returned to the atmosphere
Extreme Weather - Hurricane
Warming climate = more hurricanes
as all storms require moisture, energy, wind conditions
Warmer the sea surface the more water vapor is evaporated is more water vapor drives the hurricane
↑heat nourishes storm - ↑heat energy = ↑more hurricanes
formation
humid air condenses after it rises from the sea, with wind present → thunderclouds form
rising air builds up a storm system, the rotation of the earth causes the system to spin
air pushed back in and out, cloudless eye of storm consists of dense cold air spinning at a min of 119km/hr
Extreme Weather - Heatwaves
a period of at least 5days with a temperature 5 degrees above average
impact health of wildelife and ppl
Extreme Weather - Floods
deforestation removes natural vegetation that stores and increases overland flow of water, moves the water faster
urbanisation stops the water from draining into the soil and increases overland flow
Extreme Weather - Droughts
sustained period of unusually dry weather causing water shortage and crop damage - famine
↑temp = movement of air
shift in precipitation patters → uneven distribution
↑temp = ↑evaporation
Extreme weather - Forest fires
↑temp = ↑evaporation = ↑dry soil
heat + oxygen + fuel
exacerbated by global warming
Spacial Changes in Biomes
tundra → willow and alder shrubs once stunted by the harsh winters are now the heigh of trees
by 2050 warm enough for lush vegetation
↑temp= ↓snow coverage - ↓albedo
change in climate patterns, changes habitat and migratory patterns of animals
treelike shrubs are likely to spread - when snowfalls it forms a continuous white blanket to reflect the insolation
trees rise above the snow breaking up the white and darkening the land surface =↓albedo
high temps also result in drying of plants that can increase risk of forest fires and desertification
Spacial Changes in Habitats
Artic
↑temp → ↑risk of biodiversity loss → ↓permafrost and sea ice coverage
more shipping and exploitation of oil and gas resources
↑land and water temperatures
species migrate to colder climates
disease carrying insects into new areas
migration of species damage industries such as forestry and tourism, agriculture
tensions between nations over shifting resources
Spacial Changes in Animal Migratory Patterns
Changes to Agriculture - Crops
impacted by climate
Increase in the mid-to high latitude regions
Decrease in low latitudes, where majority of LICs are located
High levels of CO2, with moderate warming may increase rate of photosynthesis
The benefit is limited by water availability and nutrient levels
Severe heat, waves, droughts, and floods impact crop field
Extreme rain or temperature events can reduce crop growth
Plants, get dried out or get washed out
Spring seasons, come earlier due to increase temperature
Hot summers can create heat, stress and crops and dry out the soil
Changes to agriculture – limits of cultivation
High temperatures can lengthen growing seasons
Can allow range of props to be increased, spreading into higher altitudes and latitude
Equator regions have limited crap, Rangers were many crops are reaching Maximum thermal tolerance
Changes to agriculture- Soil erosion
increase in temperature, resulting increase decomposition rates and lower amount of organic carbon in soil
Organic matter improves soils, nutrients, and water carrying capacity
Lost, makes soil, more triable and easier to crumble and blow away
Drying affect of warming on soils decreases soil moisture storage and increases salt levels of soil
Increase of precipitation intensity
Well-drained soil suffer from greater rates of leaching And lowers soil fertility
Health Hazards
Many infectious diseases, including water, borne ones are sensitive to climate conditions.
Climate change, lengthen the transmission season and expand the geographical range of many diseases.
Heat waves and extreme weather
Heat stress can increase the risk of cardiovascular, respiratory and renal disease
Malnutrition and undernourishment
food insecurity is related to floods and droughts
Highly impacts, those that are relying on subsistence farming
Migration in relation to climate change
Climate refugees
Climate, refugees or environmental migrants are people who are forced to leave their homes in due to sudden or long-term changes to the local environment
Compromises their well-being, insecure, livelihood
Examples include droughts desert, furcation, rising sea levels
Ocean transport routes
artic is potentially a faster and more direct route between Asian ports in Europe in eastern North America
Has become more direct voyage times could fall to less than three weeks in some cases, making Artic shipping potentially more attractive than Southern routes
ice melts creating more open sea
Continuous movement result in increased of melting and risk of oil spills, creating more disruption to the habitat
Location on impact of climate change and vulnerability
Changing patterns of rainfall, increase in temperature and flooding are more frequent
Long droughts affect harvest in food security
Droughts and water shortages in syria contribute to the Civil War
Water security in Palestine Israel, Algeria, Lebanon and Jordan are places that are sensitive to small changes in the water supply
In Spain, if temperatures rise over 2°C. Much of southern Spain and the Mediterranean basin would be a desert
Wealth on impact of climate change and vulnerability
Climate change will impose heavy costs on the American economy that will exacerbate wealth disparity and inequality
An increase in global temperatures of 1.5° is likely to reduce annual output by up to 1.7%.
The effects of climate change will impact the poor communities more than the wealthier ones in America
Contrasting effects of climate change
In South America
Results in falling crop yields and labour productivity
Increase in mortality in crime
North-west America
More mild winters
Agricultural yields can rise due to less extreme climate
People who are of lower income are more susceptible to the effects of climate change, as they’re unable to put themselves in a position in which they won’t be greatly affected
Such as relying on agriculture for income
Measuring vulnerability
CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY INDEX (CCVI)
Composite indicator that combines 3 single composite indicators
Evaluates 42 economic, environmental + social factors linked to human sensitivity
Carbon Trading
Market based system aimed at reducing greenhouse gasses
Only a certain amount of carbon credits are issued every year which allows companies to emit carbons
Allows gov to control GHG emissions
Can buy and sell emissions
Carbon Emissions Offsetting
Investing in environmental projects around the world (mostly LICS) in order to balance out their own carbon footprints
Offsets carbon emission levels
Age on climate vulnerability
Impact on pregnant, mothers and babies with adverse outcomes such as low-birth-weight, preterm birth
Young children are more susceptible to asthma, diarrhoeal illness, and heat related illnesses
Outdoor activities increase the risk of heat-related illnesses, vectorborne, and waterborne diseases and respiratory effects from pollution
Elderly are more vulnerable
Age is correlated with bone density laws, limiting, mobility, and more chronic health problems
Many disease-spreading insects are spreading range, affect more elderly as they have weaker immune systems
Women on climate vulnerability
Women in LICs are charged with securing water, food, and fuel for cooking and heating, rising temperature, result in lower supplies of water as a result of droughts
Hindering education in some African countries
Risk Perception
Subjective judgement people make about a particular risk, (severity and possible impact)
Factors
Level of knowledge, confirmation bias
Gender
Cultural/belief systems
Media coverage
Prior knowledge
Trust in government
Immediate threat, high or low
Paris Climate Agreement
plans for countries to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions and adaptations to the impacts of climate change
Wealthier nations (US & Europe) will contribute $$ towards helping poorer countries develop clean power systems and reduce deforestations
GOALS
Green climate fund and global environment fund to help LICS
100 billion by HICs
Reduce reliance on GHGs and increase carbon sinks to restore energy balance
Increase adaptive cap of a city and climate resilience of most vulnerable, w/o threatening food prod.
PROS
Holds large emitters accountable
International support
Aims to mitigate and adapt to climate change
Transparent method for measuring & assessing how well each country is meeting its targets
CONS
non-legally binding
No specific roadmap for each country
Any one can leave as and when they want to
Current efforts and pledges do not help stay below the 1.5c mark
Societies with contrasting vulnerability - Switzerland and Canada
Civil society and corporate strategies to address climate change - Greenpeace & Marks and Spencer’s
Giant Sunshade
Ejecting chalk or aerosols 20 km in the atmosphere to either change the chemical composition of clouds to make them have higher albedo or mimic the effects of global dimming by volcanic eruptions and blocking sunlight from entering the earth's atmosphere
safe
has potential for monopolisation
exclusive dealing, price discrimination, refusal to supply
Issues
sun to water causes rain = cause droughts
a reason for ppl to pollute more
Carbon Sequestration
The removal of carbon dioxide from either the atmosphere or organic matter such as plant waster to be made pure and used in other industries or buried and stored Ex: Charm industries turns plant waste into oil that is pumped into the ground
expensive
unsure of environmental implications
Ocean Mirrors
White foam (high albedo) is created on the surface of the ocean (low albedo) to increase the reflectivity of incoming solar radiation to reduce global temps
Use boats that are fitted with mechanisms to form bubbles with compressed air
high energy to do
short term
Poverty
The state of being extremely poor lacking material possessions or money