* system by which imperial gov’ts used military power to enrich themselves and their supporters → enhance their military power. * favored mother countries
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Hegemony
The predominance of one nation-state over others
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Decolonization
* The process of colonial possessions winning ind * esp during the rapid end of the European empires in Africa, Asia, and the Caribbean between the 1940s and the 1960s.
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Cold War
* superpowers + allies sought to max global influence, wanted gains in wealth * **NATO**: US + Canada + W Europe, attack on any = attack on all * **Warsaw Pact:** Soviet Union + Eastern bloc * Eastern vs. Western blocs, rise of third world * most dominant countries occupied with war/rebuilding * colonial areas neglected → pressure for ind → **de-colonization** * now world composed of sovereign states
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Interests
What actors want to achieve through political action
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Actors
* The basic unit for the analysis of international politics * states, bureaucracies, transnational NGOs, voters, elected representatives, corporations
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State
* a central authority that has the ability to make and enforce laws, rules, and decision within a specified territory central * always composed of multiplicity of diff groups * however, ppl want safety and strong economic base
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Sovereignty
The expectation that states have legal and political supremacy—or ultimate authority—within their territorial boundaries.
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Anarchy
The absence of a central authority with the ability to make and enforce laws that bind all actors.
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National Interest
Interests attributed to the state itself, usually security and power.
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Interactions
the ways in which the choices of 2+ actors combine to produce political outcomes
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Cooperation
* interaction where 2+ actors adopt policies that make at least one actor better off relative to the status quo w/o making others worse off * positive-sum game * easier for smaller # of actors
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how do institutions affect cooperation
* setting standards of behavior * verifying compliance * reducing transaction costs of joint decision making * selecting rules of interaction that make coop more likely
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Coordination
* type of cooperative interaction * actors benefit from all making the same choices → have no incentive not to comply
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Collaboration
* type of cooperative interaction
* actors gain from working together, however, have incentives not to comply with any agreement * (ex Prisoner’s Dilemma, Global public goods)
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Bargaining
* interaction in which 2+ actors must decide how to distribute something of value * outcomes make one better off at the expense of another * zero-sum game
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Public Good
* nonexcludable, nonrival * ex. nat’l defense
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Collective Action Problems
obstacles to cooperation that occur when actors have incentive to collab but each acts w the expectation that others will pay the costs of collabing
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Free Ride
fail to contribute to a public good while benefitting from it
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Iteration
Repeated interactions with the same actors
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Linkage
link coop on one issue to interactions on a second one
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Power
ability to have someone make concessions and do what you want w/o having to make concessions yourself
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Coercion
strat of imposing/threatening to impose costs on actors in order to induce a change in their behavior
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Outside Options
The alternatives to bargaining with a specific actor
* for states, this is war
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Agenda
Actions taken before or during bargaining that make the reversion outcome more favorable for one party
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Institutions
* set of rules that structure interaction in specific ways * are not neutral, actors try to tilt them in their direction * ex. NATO, world bank, world trade org
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War
* an event involving the organized use of military force by 2+ parties that reaches a minimum threshold of severity (sustained, 1000 battle deaths) * if the thing fighting over is divisible, there should always be a split that both states should prefer to war
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Prisoner’s dilemma
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why do wars happen
* incomplete information (uncertainty about resolve + capabilities) * commitment problems * indivisible goods
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purpose of war
* not to fight, but to obtain. disputes over: * territory, policies, regime type
* arises when efforts that state makes to defend themselves cause other states to feel less secure * can lead to arms races/war bc of fear of being attacked
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costs of war diminish
the value of expected war outcome to each state
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Crisis Bargaining
at least one actor threatens to use force in the event that its demands are not met
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Coercive Diplomacy
use of threats to advance specific demands in a bargain
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Bargaining Range
* set of deals that both parties in a bargaining interaction prefer over the reversion outcome. * when reversion outcome is war, the BR is the set of deals that both sides prefer over war
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Compellence
* an effort to change the status quo through threat of force (give me x or else)
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Deterrence
* An effort to preserve the status quo through the threat of force. (don’t do x or else)
* extended deterrence: dont attack ally x or else
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Resolve
* actor’s willingness to endure costs in order to acquire a particular good
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communicating resolve
* costly signals * brinkmanship * tying hands: Obama states red line but does not follow through * paying for power: committing resources, mobilizing troops
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credible resolve
* credible resolve - big problem is “cheap talk” * all countries should declare their willingness to incur costs in order to deter others, but not all would follow up
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Risk-Return trade-off
In crisis bargaining, the trade-off between trying to get a better deal and trying to avoid a war.
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Brinksmanship
* strategy in which adversaries take actions that increase the risk of accidental war, with the hope that the other will lose its nerve first and make concessions * JFK put missile crews on alert against Cuba
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Audience Costs
* negative repercussions for failing to follow through on a threat/commitment
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Preventative War
* war fought w the intention of preventing an adversary from becoming stronger in the future * arise because a state whose power is increasing cannot commit not to exploit that power in future bargaining interactions * ex the US vs Iraq in 2003 to prevent WMD development
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Preemptive War
* fought w the anticipation that an attack by the enemy is imminent
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First-Strike Advantge
* situation when military tech/strategies and/or geography give a significant adv to whoever attacks first
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length of wars
* 40% of interstate wars last six months or less.
* longest wars have been fought between declining and rising states when preventive motivations are the largest.
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war less likely now bc
* democracies less likely to go to war * Raise costs—nuclear weapons, international trade * Increase transparency—satellite monitoring, international organizations (IAEA) * Outside enforcement—UN peacekeepers; great power securit * Declining interest in territorial expansion—the norm of “territorial integrity”
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Indivisible Good
* A good that cannot be divided without destroying its value.
* ex Jerusalem * Claims of indivisibility may be more strategic. - may well be divisible after all.
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Nationalism
* political ideology that prioritizes attachment to one's nation * nations are groups defined by common origin, ethnicity, language, or cultural ties.
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Bureaucracy
the collection of orgs (military, diplomatic corps, intelligence agencies) that carry out most tasks of governance within a state
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Interest Groups
Groups of individuals with common interests that organize to influence public policy in a manner that benefits their members.
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Rally Effect
* a short term boost in gov’t approval from a foreign policy crisis
* rally for - reelection, to reestablish legitimacy if nondemocratic * makes bargaining range smaller
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Diversionary Incentive
* The temptation that state leaders have to start international crises in order to rally public support at home.
* right before invading Falkland Islands, there was many protests * war w Britain shifted public’s attention away from domestic issues * Britain distracting from their econ recession - Thatcher approval ratings went from 29 to 51%
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Military-Industrial Complex
An alliance between military leaders and the industries that benefit from international conflict, such as arms manufacturers
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military may favor war
* its purpose is to wage war * war = increased budgets, promotion opportunities * most important bureaucratic actor about war; best info abt capabilities + resolve * yet in practice, military often cautious/reluctant to go to war * ability to topple a gov’t (Zimbabwe) gives them sig influence over politics
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negative economy effects of war
* less trade btwn states * less interest in investing (ex build factory) if it could be destroyed * people don’t work in normal jobs if they are fighting
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private companies generally opposed to war except
* arms dealers * firms that own/want to own resources in other countries
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collective action
* smaller groups tend to be better organized * larger groups suffer from free riding (ex consumers) * special interests are more successful when there are: conc benefits + diffused costs
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hawks
* favor war: perceive lower costs from war * hawkish interests not sufficient to cause war on their own * to tamp down hawkish interests: free and fair elections, party comp, free media
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doves
* oppose war: perceive higher costs from war * bargaining w dovish interests in state a = bargaining range shifted more toward state b (ovv)
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democratic institutions may discourage war
* forces consensus btwn elite + masses * leaders accountable * masses bear costs * promotes norms of negotiation * more transparent (open debate on policies) = less incomplete info * democratic process is slow, leaves time for interstate bargaining * public can protest abt war * democracies do not CAUSE peace, maybe its their shared institutions/strategic interests
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Democratic Peace
* norms of nonviolence in their dealing with each other as they may see themselves as a shared community of states * public support for war among them is low * risk voter support by declaring war * democracies much less likely to go to war w one another * democracies are no less likely to go to war with autocracies
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Democracy
political system in which candidates compete for political office through frequent, fair elections in which a sizable portion of the adult population can vote
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Autocracy
political system in which an individual or small group exercises power with few constraints and no meaningful competition or participation by the general public
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Accountability
* the ability to punish or reward leaders for the decisions they make * frequent, fair elections enable voters to hold elected officials responsible for their actions by granting or withholding access to political office
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challenges to “democracy causes peace” argument
* spread of democracy = young democracies = may empower groups like United Fruit that face huge gains from war
* Common (alternative) cause: what if economic development makes democracy more likely and thus reduces likelihood of conflict? * Reverse causation: what if peaceful int’l relations are necessary for the est of democracy? * Spurious association: what if what really matters is that democracies happened to be allies after WWII against Russia?
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sources of order in int’l relations
* alliances * collective security orgs
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Alliances
Institutions that help their members cooperate militarily in the event of a war. Compare collective security organizations.
* shared security concerns, common ideology/identity
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cost of alliances
* high * typically commit to spending blood + treausre to defined ally * limit freedom (must consult w allies)
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types of alliances
* bilateral (among several states, NATO) vs multilateral * offensive (Axis powers in WWII) vs defensive (US/SK, US/Japan) * asymmetric (powerful state commits to defending a weaker, US/SK)
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why form alliances?
* weak state: gains protection
* strong state: signal its resolve to defend weak state * combining resources may economize → greater defense * temper conflicts * formalize a sphere of influence (Warsaw Pact)
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Balance of Power
A situation in which the military capabilities of two states or groups of states are roughly equal.
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Bandwagoning
A strategy in which states join forces with the stronger side in a conflict.
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bargaining model
* if A & C become allies → reduces likelihood that B invades * should reduce likelihood of war..right? * however, by making outcome more favorable to A, this could actually increase chance of war (entrapment, moral hazard)
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Entrapment
emboldened ally may trap protector
* ex. some fear that Israeli attack on Iran’s nukes would drag US into war
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do alliances work?
* no: WWI/II: any local conflict could suddenly rope in unrelated countries * yes: Cold War: no direct conflict happened, allies centered around 2 superpowers
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NATO
* NATO expansion: formed during Cold War (vs Warsaw Pact) * continued post-Soviet Union collapse in 1991 * deepen security cooperation
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Warsaw Pact
* collective defense treaty during cold war of Soviet Union + allies
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League of Nations
* post WWI * first intergovernmental org to promote international coop, peace, security
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United Nations
* General Assembly: all members, vote on commitee budgets
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United Nation Security Council
* main governing body of the UN * authority to identify threats to international peace and security and to prescribe the organization's response, including military and/or economic sanctions.
* P5 + 10 on rotating 2 year term basis. Decisions binding on all members
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Permanent Five (P5)
The five permanent members of the UN Security Council:
* the United States, Great Britain, France, Russia, China.
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Veto Power (P5)
* Russia vetos resolutions to condemn killing of civilians in Syrian civil war * US vetos “ in Israel vs. Palestine
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Collective Security Organization
influence interactions in pacifist ways (deter, end, prevent recurrence of interstate and civil wars)
* ex league of nations, UN
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CSO problems
* joint decision-making: diff prefs
* free rider: if you’re going to benefit from the peace whether you intervene or not, why intervene? * most likely to see successful intervention when large states have vested interest ex. Iraq invasion of Kuwait threatened US oil * scope
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Genocide
Intentional and systematic killing aimed at eliminating an identifiable (ethnic, religious, etc) group of people
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Humanitarian Interventions
Interventions designed to relieve humanitarian crises stemming from civil conflicts or large-scale human rights abuses, including genocide.
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Peace enforcement Operation
A military operation in which force is used to make and/or enforce peace among warring parties that have not agreed to end their fighting.
* intervene in active conflict iot coerce aggressor to stop * authorize use of force against agressor
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Peacekeeping Operation
An operation in which troops and observers are deployed to monitor a cease-fire or peace agreement.
* impartial monitor of cond on the ground * send peacekeepers as a buffer (Korean war, Gulf war) * probably raises cost of aggressor action since they would need to harm neutral int’l actors to get to opponent * help w stability tasks ex. election * quite a few going on rn
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UN peacekeeping ex
* Yugoslavia 92: Serbs ethnic cleansed Muslim Bosnian men * UN peacekeeprs lightly armed, scattered, fire in self-defense * conflict ended when NATO intervened
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p5 problem
* uneven implementation * ex Cold War, Russia v Ukraine, China’s activity in South China Sea
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R2P
* R2P initiative: responsibility to protect pops from “genocide, war, ethnic cleansing, crimes against humanity” * UN designed to limit int’l conflict * joint request technically needed for peacekeeping (both countries must ask) * but if one is committing atrocities and doesn’t want attn..R2P
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civil war
* civil conflict: 25+ battle deaths * civil war: 1000+ bds * actors in civil wars often supported by int’l agents + have far reaching repercussions
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reasons for civil war
* gov’t mistreatment of specific pops * ex Egypt / Coptic Christians * greed: desire to control natural resources * ex. CAR diamonds, gold, oil * territorial: separatism * ex US South * irredentism (want to leave one country + join another) * coups * ex Syria + Libya * conflicts of interest
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why resort to war?
* civil war = bargaining failure * information asymmetries btwn gov’t/rebel groups * commitment problems * how can rebels ensure state will live up to promises? * resolution usually req rebel group to disarm * indivisible goods, or considering divisible goods (oil) as indivisible
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groups organize for rebellion when
* they share ethnic/tribe/religious/linguistic affinity * have access to resources to garner support * provide benefits only obtained by joining rebel group (blood diamonds, cocaine) * share a sense of injustice directed @ gov’t