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Epidemiological studies
What type of studies are conducted to know more about things like the frequency of hypertension or what causes mental disorders?
Accurate reflections of reality
How must the findings of epidemiological studies reflect reality for them to answer questions reliably?
Uncertainties
What are already introduced in findings by studying only a fraction of the population (sample)?
Mask a true association OR Introduce an association which does not exist in the first place
What are two ways factors introduced by studying a sample may affect findings?
Designing and conducting research studies OR Reviewing and critiquing studies designed and executed by others
When is knowledge of epidemiology essential?
Validity, reliability, bias, and confounding
When critically appraising epidemiological studies, which concepts may determine whether the results of a study should be trusted?
Reliability
What term refers to the degree of stability exhibited when a measurement is repeated under identical conditions?
Reliability
What term refers to the degree to which the results obtained by measurement or procedure can be replicated?
Divergences between observers or instruments of measurement OR Instability of the attribute being measured
What are two potential causes for a lack of reliability?
Measurement validity
What is defined as an expression of the degree to which a measurement measures what it purports to measure?
The thermometer displays the same temperature every time
In the example of measuring liquid temperature (Example 1), what finding indicates reliable results?
The thermometer is probably malfunctioning
In Example 1, why might a thermometer's measurements not be valid, even if conditions are controlled?
Low reliability
If several different doctors use the same symptom questionnaire but give different diagnoses for the same patient (Example 2), what does this indicate?
High validity
If a symptom questionnaire results in a reliable diagnosis when answered at different times and with different doctors, what does this indicate?
Reliability on its own
What measurement characteristic is not enough to ensure validity?
The result is 2 degrees lower than the true value
In the example of the uncalibrated thermometer, why is the reliable measurement still not valid?
Reading comprehension
If a test designed to measure working memory yields reliable results but correlates strongly with this factor, the test may be measuring this instead, indicating low validity.
Reliability
When comparing the two, which concept focuses on reproducing the same results each time measurement is done under the same, controlled conditions?
Validity
When comparing the two, which concept asks whether researchers are truly measuring what they are supposed to measure?
Checking the consistency of the results
How is reliability assessed?
Across time, across different observers, and across different parts of the test itself
What three aspects are used to check the consistency of results when assessing reliability?
Checking how well the results correspond to established theories and other measures of the same concept
How is validity assessed?
Interrater reliability
What type of reliability is assessed by checking consistency across different observers?
Intra-observer reliability
What specific term indicates how stable responses are obtained from the same respondent at different time points?
Test-retest reliability
What type of reliability measures the consistency of a measure across time?
High test-retest reliability
If participants complete a personality questionnaire days or weeks apart and give the same answers, what does this indicate?
Interrater Reliability
What type of reliability measures consistency across raters or observers?
Low interrater reliability
If 5 examiners submit substantially different results for the same student project using the same checklist, what does this assessment checklist indicate?
Internal Consistency
What type of reliability measures the consistency of the measure itself?
A strong correlation between the 2 sets of results
If you randomly split the results of a self-esteem questionnaire into two halves, what finding indicates a high degree of internal consistency?
Test-retest reliability, low reliability
What type of reliability and level of reliability is demonstrated when a group completes a personality questionnaire on two occasions with significantly different answers?
Construct validity
What is the extent to which the measurement corresponds to theoretical concepts (constructs) concerning the phenomenon under study?
Content validity
What is the extent to which the measurement incorporates the domain of the phenomenon under study?
Reflect such change
If, on theoretical grounds, a phenomenon should change with age, what should a measurement with construct validity do?
Activities of daily living such as occupational, family, social functioning, etc.
What should a measurement of functional health status embrace to ensure content validity?
Adherence of a measure to existing theory and knowledge of the concept being measured
How is construct validity defined?
Social skills and optimism
What are two examples of associated traits that might be measured alongside self-esteem to indicate construct validity?
A strong correlation between the scores
What indicates high construct validity between self-esteem and associated traits?
Listening component
If a Spanish language test lacks this component, experts would agree it lacks content validity.
Criterion validity
What is the extent to which the measurement correlates with an external criterion of the phenomenon under study?
Concurrent validity and predictive validity
What are the two aspects of criterion validity?
Concurrent Validity
Which aspect of criterion validity means the measurement and the criterion refer to the same point in time?
Predictive Validity
Which aspect of criterion validity is expressed in terms of the measurement’s ability to predict the criterion?
Academic aptitude test validated against subsequent academic performance
Give an example of predictive validity.
Measuring the true value
What does validity depend on?
How consistent the test is when used by different observers or over different periods of time
What does reliability assess?
Good validity
According to Figure 2, if the true value lies close to the mean of measurements recorded, what is achieved?
Good reliability
According to Figure 2, what condition is met if there is less dispersion or variance of the measurements, resulting in a thinner graph and a higher peak?
Low or less reliability
What is indicated by a lower graph with a longer spread (Figure 2)?
X-axis
In Figure 3, which axis represents Validity?
Y-axis
In Figure 3, which axis represents Reliability?
Bull’s eye
In Figure 3, what represents the true value?
Measurements should be around the bull’s eye
If a test has High Validity (Figure 3), where should the measurements be located?
The values should be close to one another
What is the defining characteristic of high reliability in Figure 3, regardless of whether the values are centered on the bull’s eye?
High Validity and Low Reliability
In the dartboard illustration, what scenario occurs if measurements are far from the bull’s eye, but their average is actually hitting the bull’s eye?
Accuracy
What is an alternative term for Validity?
Precision
What is an alternative term for Reliability?
Points are close together and close to the true value (bull’s eye)
What characteristics define High Accuracy/Validity and High Precision/Reliability?
Internal validity
What type of study validity assumes a true association exists among the group of patients being studied (e.g., in Case #1)?
Extended or generalized to the source population
When critiquing a study, what question must be considered regarding the sample data findings?
Internal validity
What must first be followed before inferences can be applied to individuals outside the source population (external validity)?
Internal validity
What is a prerequisite for external validity?
Study validity
What refers to the degree to which the inference drawn from a study is warranted when account is taken of the study method, sample representativeness, and population nature?
Internal Validity
Which type of study validity ensures that observed differences between comparison groups are attributable only to the hypothesized effect under investigation, apart from sampling error?
Generalizability
What is External Validity also referred to as?
External Validity
Which type of study validity produces unbiased inferences regarding a target population beyond the subjects in the study?
Subject-matter-judgment
What is evaluation of generalizability often based on more than internal validity?
Systematic errors
What type of error threatens validity and is associated with a flaw in the design of a study or an instrument used for measurement?
Confounding, Selection bias and generalizability, Information bias
What are three threats to validity, other than systematic errors?
Random errors
What type of error threatens reliability?
Factors which vary from one measurement to another
What causes random errors in measurement?
Increasing the sample size
What action will minimize random errors?
The error will still be there
What happens to systematic error even if the sample size is increased?
When present, the graphs still hover over or are close to the true value of the mean
What visual characteristic is true of graphs affected by random errors (Figure 7)?
A wider and shorter graph
What visual effect do random errors lead to due to more variance?
Increase number of readings and repeat measurements
What two actions minimize random errors, leading to a narrower and taller curve?
The graphs shift from where the true value of the mean is found
When systematic errors are present, what happens to the graphs?
Values to be skewed
What is the result of systematic errors shifting the graph?
Graph shifts to the right AND Leads to a wider and shorter graph
What is the combined visual effect of random and systematic errors?
Confounding
What is the distortion of the estimated effect of an exposure on an outcome caused by an extraneous factor associated both with the exposure and the outcome?
A risk factor for the outcome among non-exposed persons AND associated with the exposure of interest
What two conditions define a confounding variable regarding risk and association?
Not an intermediate step in the causal pathway between exposure and outcome
What must a confounding variable not be?
May mask an actual association OR May falsely demonstrate an apparent association when no real association exists
What are two ways confounding may affect the relationship between treatment and outcome?
PCF is predictive of the outcome even in the absence of exposure
According to Figure 8, what characteristic must a Potential Confounding Factor (PCF) have regarding the outcome?
Associated with the exposure being studied but is not a proxy or surrogate for the exposure
What must a PCF be regarding the exposure?
Exposure cannot have an effect on the confounder
What relationship between exposure and confounder must hold true for confounding to occur, according to Figure 9?
Vertebroplasty
In Case #2, this procedure involves injecting cement into a fractured vertebra to relieve pain.
2.0 (a two-fold risk)
In the unadjusted analysis of vertebroplasty (Case #2), what was the relative risk of subsequent vertebral fractures compared to conservative care?
Smoking status
In Case #2, which potential confounding factor was found to be more common in the Vertebroplasty group (55% vs. 8%)?
Similar between treatment groups in each stratum (close to 1.1 and 1.2)
After stratifying the results by smoking status (Table 5), how did the risk of subsequent fractures compare?
Smoking
What was concluded to be a confounding factor in the vertebroplasty study because it distorted the true relationship?
The design and implementation of the study
When should the potential for confounding always be considered?
Measure and report all potential confounders
What must researchers do regarding potential confounders to address them?
Adjust for them in the analyses
What should be done routinely with confounding factors during data analysis?
Randomization, stratification, or statistical adjustment
What three methods can be used to control confounders?
True value lies close to the mean of measurements; Wide spread with lower peak
Based on Figure 2, what combination describes good validity and poor reliability?
Systematic
What type of error causes the graph to shift away from the true value of the mean, leading to skewed values that may or may not include the true mean?
Bias
What is an unavoidable problem in clinical and epidemiological research, and one of the most common sources of error?
Selection bias
What occurs when the subjects studied are not representative of the target population from which conclusions are to be drawn?
Researchers get a bias estimate of the association between the outcome and the exposure
What happens if an individual with characteristics related to both exposure and outcome is included in the study sample?