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2
Wind speed is taken at a ____ minute average.
Probability Forecasting
Predicting probability of a weather event. (EX: 15% chance of rainfall)
Point Probability
20% chance of rainfall means there is a 20% _____ ______ that rain will hit the ground in the forecast region.
Confidence (Surity), Max Coverage
When predicting rainfall, consider _____ & ____ _______, and then multiply.
Faraday Effect
Lighting is directed around you towards the ground, making cars relatively safe for humans when struck by lightning.
Foundation
mT air is the ______ for thunderstorms.
Thunder
If you hear ______, lightning risk is present.
95%
_____ of thunderstorms are non-severe.
2000
At any given moment, an estimated ____ thunderstorms are in progress worldwide.
1%
Less than ___ of thunderstorms produce tornadoes.
Within, Boundaries
Non-severe thunderstorms are usually found _____ mT airmass. Severe are found on ______.
Atmospheric Instability, Moisture, Lift
Ingredients for Thunderstorms (3)
1in+ Hail, 58mph Wind, Tornado
Conditions for Severe Thunderstorms (3, but only need to meet 1)
5%
Less than ____ of thunderstorms are severe.